Venezuela · resolved market
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe2b36c7e59f1cf30ae07960ed4d0789357960a419c240cf4e1017ef564f672d0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $612,192
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $672,180
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $612,192 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 332 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 19c | 57,079$10,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,949.59 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 22c | 21,524$4,692 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,692.2 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 74c | 19,659$14,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.55 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 11c | 15,239$1,666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,665.78 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362c…39dbbacked Yes | 12c | 10,069$1,167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,167.19 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x682c…17aebacked Yes | 6c | 10,032$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582.09 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +2.0wins | +0.11per pick | 17cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 9c | 9,631$881 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$881.41 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 80c | 9,308$7,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,907.55 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14bf…e3a6backed Yes | 19c | 7,741$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa02e…8331backed Yes | 7c | 6,814$511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$510.94 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3a6…fd55backed Yes | 10c | 6,188$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.75 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 5c | 5,371$268 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.97 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 19c | 5,000$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$950 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b0e…e3eabacked Yes | 4c | 4,865$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.74 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 16cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…bb2ebacked Yes | 5c | 4,713$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.59 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 7cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82d0…3808backed Yes | 2c | 4,545$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x80a0…5708backed Yes | 16c | 4,451$712 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$712.13 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.24per pick | 32cpaid | +42.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 5c | 4,411$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$205.92 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde6e…0169backed Yes | 7c | 3,825$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251.76 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 5c | 3,669$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.78 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 5c | 3,614$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.46 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 9c | 3,376$301 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$301.23 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03c8…0e01backed Yes | 24c | 3,000$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 32 | 6.3%2 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.05per pick | 11cpaid | -82.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 5c | 2,975$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.92 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x867d…3f3bbacked Yes | 16c | 2,784$445 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$445.41 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9b3…778dbacked Yes | 18c | 2,728$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 10c | 2,599$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.22 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70b7…5745backed No | 80c | 2,580$2,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33e0…7d46backed Yes | 19c | 2,306$438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$438.21 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 7c | 2,098$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.78 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 23c | 2,000$459 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.13 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fc…a926backed No | 79c | 2,000$1,580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.99 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.11per pick | 64cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 7c | 1,989$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.34 | 47 | 4.3%2 W · 45 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d6…f2a8backed No | 78c | 1,985$1,552 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.96 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd38d…5895backed Yes | 16c | 1,913$314 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$313.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…59cebacked Yes | 1c | 1,900$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8e76backed Yes | 9c | 1,882$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe54b…aa14backed No | 75c | 1,736$1,301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.14per pick | 64cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bdb…a90dbacked Yes | 19c | 1,648$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$309.34 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84ea…17ebbacked Yes | 20c | 1,600$312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$312 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 2c | 1,597$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 2c | 1,580$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.27 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 7c | 1,579$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110.8 | 44 | 9.1%4 W · 40 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 4cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 74c | 1,570$1,165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.62 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 17c | 1,500$252 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$252.03 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a4…2bb1backed Yes | 1c | 1,500$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…181abacked Yes | 5c | 1,500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,470$328 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.39 | 43 | 16.3%7 W · 36 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Yes | 38c | 1,445$549 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$548.93 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 24c | 1,415$334 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.31 | 80 | 13.8%11 W · 69 L | -6.7wins | -0.08per pick | 22cpaid | -52.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x27db…e863backed No | 75c | 1,388$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$344.06 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 21c | 1,350$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.87 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7619…6ee7backed Yes | 9c | 1,292$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.37 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0280…b1a0backed Yes | 20c | 1,272$256 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0934…f376backed Yes | 6c | 1,250$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.45 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.14per pick | 6cpaid | +230%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked Yes | 1c | 1,250$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.5 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 3c | 1,150$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.02 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a25…c24dbacked Yes | 9c | 1,138$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 4c | 1,084$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.36 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +1.0wins | +0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,020$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49d3…ea4ebacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.57 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbdf5…149bbacked Yes | 2c | 1,000$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fe…423abacked Yes | 21c | 1,000$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5aed…e7bbbacked No | 79c | 1,000$790 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$210 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x426e…acd0backed Yes | 2c | 1,000$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde1f…f004backed Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x210c…d6c1backed No | 75c | 1,000$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc17…52e6backed Yes | 36c | 1,000$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.72 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -46.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb2…682cbacked No | 61c | 1,000$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$390 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.22per pick | 65cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7780…c3e5backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…30a2backed Yes | 26c | 999.99$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5f33…a23abacked Yes | 9c | 974.24$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 6c | 946.09$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.7 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bea…f95abacked Yes | 21c | 942.31$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5188…c804backed No | 60c | 928.34$561 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$367.11 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5db…3c45backed Yes | 23c | 924.17$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212.28 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8df5…e945backed Yes | 11c | 909$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.99 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 34cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b49…f2dfbacked Yes | 2c | 889.19$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.33 | 70 | 2.9%2 W · 68 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 3cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 11c | 842.7$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1fc9…ace5backed Yes | 3c | 841.52$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.13 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf44d…60afbacked No | 80c | 837$670 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.4 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 52cpaid | +46%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e26…5198backed Yes | 12c | 833.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4e1…5c0cbacked Yes | 15c | 799.98$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 24cpaid | +102.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1f9d…348dbacked Yes | 18c | 750$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked Yes | 22c | 742.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.99 | 60 | 40%24 W · 36 L | -4.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f2…7027backed Yes | 24c | 732.11$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.99 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -3.6wins | -0.21per pick | 33cpaid | -83.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xece0…7cdfbacked Yes | 14c | 723.25$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 19cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 18c | 710.18$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.14 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.15per pick | 24cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…efbebacked Yes | 2c | 702.4$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…f11abacked No | 64c | 700.63$448 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429c…5f41backed Yes | 17c | 699$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.83 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7362backed Yes | 14c | 695.28$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab6…fa77backed Yes | 3c | 625.05$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 33 | 0%0 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x696a…e23abacked Yes | 8c | 625$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -63.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e7a…565dbacked Yes | 22c | 613.64$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e02…11dbbacked Yes | 20c | 600$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 3c | 596.04$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.2 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…b108backed Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 8c | 579.08$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.57 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?this page
- Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Yes won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?No won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.