Venezuela · resolved market
Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbfd64511446e0cce9de039d5b5e8867a993b93bd14acb3465a898c82bed372c3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $167,757
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $151,532
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $167,757 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2b1a…0b78backed Yes | 44c | 9,536$4,228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,228.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 7c | 9,093$605 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$604.74 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd221…a44bbacked Yes | 14c | 8,868$1,245 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,245.04 | 24 | 8.3%2 W · 22 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 12cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 20c | 8,699$1,740 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,739.8 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed No | 40c | 5,912$2,371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,541.29 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 9c | 4,897$432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$432.14 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 29c | 3,623$1,039 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,038.68 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xde1b…ccc9backed Yes | 10c | 3,500$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -52%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 9c | 3,448$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.97 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 10c | 2,786$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.08 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x448b…181abacked Yes | 5c | 2,733$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.05 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 8cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 73c | 2,568$1,879 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$688.99 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a9d…69fbbacked Yes | 21c | 2,000$418 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$418.08 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 14cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ee…9e81backed Yes | 25c | 2,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 69c | 2,000$1,380 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1016…c866backed Yes | 6c | 1,967$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.99 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb464…1d98backed Yes | 3c | 1,922$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed Yes | 1c | 1,693$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.56 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x60a9…5a71backed Yes | 19c | 1,655$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +5.0wins | +0.07per pick | 29cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6d…7c15backed Yes | 21c | 1,600$340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed No | 80c | 1,468$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.53 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc71b…e265backed Yes | 4c | 1,437$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.1 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 8cpaid | +128%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 79c | 1,402$1,102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.18 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeec5…b6febacked No | 79c | 1,364$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.37 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +3.8wins | +0.31per pick | 60cpaid | +118.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 79c | 1,166$916 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.95 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0562…9d66backed No | 60c | 1,031$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$412.26 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5fc…4b6fbacked Yes | 5c | 1,005$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed No | 80c | 1,000$798 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.1wins | +0.22per pick | 43cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x93bd…59cebacked Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 9c | 950$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.5 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d1b…e56dbacked Yes | 2c | 797.59$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x063b…efbebacked Yes | 3c | 717.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.22 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 16cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c9e…db3dbacked Yes | 2c | 716.58$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.57 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4ce…c8b7backed No | 75c | 667.19$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63c6…43a5backed No | 78c | 634.27$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.4 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 62cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ec…f444backed Yes | 3c | 625.37$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca12…b108backed Yes | 33c | 615.19$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf82a…d221backed Yes | 5c | 601.69$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.97 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee7e…61bbbacked Yes | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 11cpaid | +173.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x641b…5433backed No | 79c | 574.76$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.7 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.5wins | +0.27per pick | 61cpaid | +52.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xed3a…9b17backed No | 79c | 500$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.44 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 80c | 500$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e6…30a2backed Yes | 40c | 499.99$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba23…814dbacked Yes | 4c | 477.75$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xafac…8e76backed Yes | 23c | 465.69$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.1wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb2ca…5fb0backed No | 80c | 437.43$349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.98 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 22c | 436.55$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 65 | 21.5%14 W · 51 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 27cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 26c | 428.73$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.86 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | +4.2wins | +0.11per pick | 26cpaid | +38%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6a18…fe45backed Yes | 24c | 416.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c2…cfb5backed Yes | 5c | 414.35$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 19c | 410.68$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.99 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb51b…b4d9backed No | 75c | 402.03$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.03 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d29…16bdbacked Yes | 5c | 401.48$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fc5…610ebacked Yes | 11c | 400$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -3.3wins | -0.23per pick | 30cpaid | -90.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1e26…2020backed No | 36c | 400$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.69per pick | 32cpaid | +222.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 7c | 400$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 59 | 5.1%3 W · 56 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 3cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 6c | 383.56$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.71 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf49…6cfebacked Yes | 3c | 364$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.28 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 26cpaid | -74%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac6a…2ed3backed No | 79c | 340.91$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.59 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dde…b8f1backed No | 80c | 338$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x17e1…1e82backed Yes | 37c | 325.75$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf2…887dbacked Yes | 8c | 300$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x477d…55a9backed Yes | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 24 | 62.5%15 W · 9 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 44cpaid | +26%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf3f0…f05fbacked No | 73c | 293$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4657…00d6backed Yes | 27c | 293$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b14…3e42backed Yes | 53c | 282.9$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +714.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x49b1…0f4dbacked Yes | 29c | 279.99$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.1 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdf8d…ad1fbacked Yes | 37c | 267.44$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0523…e38bbacked No | 69c | 250$173 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.16per pick | 34cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6268…6031backed Yes | 8c | 249.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 11cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…02a4backed Yes | 22c | 241.39$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.04 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0727…9b66backed Yes | 23c | 239.78$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 8c | 236.66$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca24…4acbbacked No | 76c | 234.29$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.29 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +58.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…6eaabacked Yes | 8c | 229.82$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bc…6f51backed Yes | 35c | 225.48$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8420…6183backed Yes | 24c | 220$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5081…a309backed Yes | 8c | 210$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 30 | 6.7%2 W · 28 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…f17abacked No | 40c | 200$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.60per pick | 40cpaid | +150%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe061…93f9backed Yes | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 23 | 0%0 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd10f…f12fbacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…b4e5backed Yes | 6c | 199.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.24per pick | 14cpaid | +105.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 38c | 194.95$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.02 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 70c | 176.84$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.54 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1873…37b6backed No | 75c | 175.84$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.96 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 72cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5c…4ce5backed Yes | 28c | 175.2$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.75 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa46c…3878backed No | 68c | 170.6$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.57 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93c4…feb7backed Yes | 10c | 170$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x82f7…7362backed Yes | 30c | 165.7$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.71 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb46…f68bbacked No | 46c | 165.17$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.19 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -17%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce60…6705backed No | 66c | 160$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.01 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79c1…497dbacked Yes | 25c | 158.58$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.38 | 29 | 69%20 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.17per pick | 52cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x417b…18d3backed Yes | 20c | 150.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.1 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -43%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe04…9a42backed Yes | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.26per pick | 34cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed Yes | 30c | 147.45$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.56 | 124 | 25.8%32 W · 92 L | -8.1wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -33.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd71a…78c9backed No | 76c | 142.93$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +32.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf836…5d34backed No | 71c | 140.85$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.85 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x753c…eb95backed No | 71c | 140.55$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 32c | 135.69$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.74 | 164 | 4.9%8 W · 156 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 6cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?this page
- Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?Yes won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?No won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.