Venezuela · resolved market
Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xfcc93de88db8519da63a0f56b47f895b4b5921f116ec7830910fe10ed151bd33
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Venezuelaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $659,463
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $647,172
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $659,463 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 386 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Venezuela is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Venezuela | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x36c0…67d5backed Yes | 22c | 79,344$17,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,888.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde0d…469abacked Yes | 23c | 76,086$17,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58,586.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.77per pick | 23cpaid | +334.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb163…b3c5backed No | 78c | 22,106$17,243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,242.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48c4…60f3backed No | 78c | 21,339$16,644 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,644.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa550…74bfbacked No | 77c | 21,253$16,365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,364.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc428…7093backed No | 77c | 20,515$15,797 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,796.55 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…d73bbacked No | 77c | 20,324$15,649 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,649.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5109…5e9cbacked No | 1c | 20,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedff…b037backed No | 78c | 18,578$14,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,490.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x041f…fd1bbacked No | 78c | 17,321$13,510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,510.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28df…16debacked No | 77c | 13,994$10,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,775.38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.77per pick | 77cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed0…8112backed Yes | 22c | 13,250$2,915 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,335 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1144…99f1backed No | 0c | 12,530$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 0c | 9,600$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c59…1766backed No | 0c | 8,888$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.27per pick | 23cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 69c | 7,858$5,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,385.65 | 75 | 37.3%28 W · 47 L | -6.2wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x05df…882dbacked No | 1c | 7,042$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x784f…5df9backed No | 0c | 6,698$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.68 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +29.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd039…2532backed No | 0c | 5,000$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 1c | 4,539$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.21 | 31 | 3.2%1 W · 30 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…01b4backed Yes | 44c | 3,679$1,607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,071.25 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked No | 68c | 3,653$2,487 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,487.09 | 38 | 28.9%11 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73c9…8b7dbacked No | 78c | 3,650$2,847 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,847 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…dea8backed Yes | 35c | 3,518$1,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,280.57 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +3.2wins | +0.14per pick | 31cpaid | +118.6%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x362b…3859backed No | 78c | 3,500$2,730 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,730 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 30c | 3,441$1,022 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,418.38 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 27cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked No | 0c | 3,333$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.38per pick | 12cpaid | +121.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x434f…8451backed No | 78c | 3,300$2,574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,574 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad52…11acbacked Yes | 19c | 2,967$560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,406.48 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | +2.4wins | +0.08per pick | 20cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61c1…70d8backed Yes | 52c | 2,939$1,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,414.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9619…b939backed No | 78c | 2,800$2,184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,184 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3112…09a8backed No | 80c | 2,789$2,219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,218.94 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78a1…e6bdbacked No | 11c | 2,669$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 24cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x708d…ea78backed No | 1c | 2,645$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.05 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.3wins | +0.38per pick | 29cpaid | +168.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7562…2ec5backed Yes | 55c | 2,517$1,392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,124.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff99…5602backed Yes | 24c | 2,479$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,879.1 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +164.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c6…44e8backed No | 72c | 2,400$1,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,719 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 79c | 2,228$1,760 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,760.12 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xae92…01f5backed No | 10c | 2,200$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0262…a9d2backed No | 7c | 2,149$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.43 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -51.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8e77…c4f3backed No | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,120 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +3%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8030…7b74backed No | 33c | 1,940$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.59 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9363…52cabacked No | 9c | 1,900$175 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e84…ef69backed Yes | 14c | 1,889$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,627.53 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 24cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 23c | 1,858$431 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,426.74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +138.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 34c | 1,771$603 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,168.32 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +14%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbacd…ab35backed No | 11c | 1,706$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.42 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61f0…529ebacked Yes | 21c | 1,654$347 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,306.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +2.8wins | +0.40per pick | 17cpaid | +164%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xeca0…e8f8backed No | 64c | 1,534$978 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$978.36 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +3.9wins | +0.12per pick | 44cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 28c | 1,436$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,033.92 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.13per pick | 33cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf19…6402backed Yes | 16c | 1,423$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,195.55 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.84per pick | 16cpaid | +525%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed Yes | 22c | 1,407$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,097.46 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +71.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0e3…6677backed No | 8c | 1,400$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x64c2…c527backed Yes | 15c | 1,356$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,152.6 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 20cpaid | +360.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc624…ee24backed No | 73c | 1,345$982 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$982 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9648…6825backed Yes | 30c | 1,330$399 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.01 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6989…b412backed No | 61c | 1,321$802 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$801.64 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3177…cb28backed No | 10c | 1,300$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf27d…e6d3backed Yes | 11c | 1,279$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.53 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +2.6wins | +0.20per pick | 26cpaid | +184.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2d03…ef8ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,256$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$979.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd9c…be4dbacked No | 39c | 1,252$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe154…0b7fbacked No | 20c | 1,250$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 44 | 4.5%2 W · 42 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 7cpaid | -81.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d73…216bbacked No | 77c | 1,244$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.03 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 26c | 1,208$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$895.89 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 21cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 22c | 1,206$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$940.68 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.37per pick | 30cpaid | +149.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…644ebacked Yes | 22c | 1,203$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$938.34 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.51per pick | 49cpaid | +193.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 21c | 1,183$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$934.57 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf977…aff0backed No | 72c | 1,156$832 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.32 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…bf74backed Yes | 22c | 1,122$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbdd2…0bd8backed No | 72c | 1,105$796 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$795.67 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90b6…a1b0backed No | 61c | 1,101$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$676 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d24…a2e9backed No | 78c | 1,085$846 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$846.3 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.4wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0482…6b0abacked Yes | 58c | 1,074$618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.68 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…9c76backed Yes | 22c | 1,060$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$826.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 18cpaid | +127.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x46e2…f8bbbacked No | 66c | 1,037$687 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$686.82 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97f3…0ebabacked Yes | 34c | 1,029$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$679.41 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3f…43dcbacked Yes | 41c | 1,028$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.85 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +6.0wins | +0.13per pick | 33cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd52b…5c72backed No | 10c | 1,021$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed No | 78c | 1,012$789 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.36 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a79…1ccbbacked No | 75c | 1,006$756 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.75per pick | 75cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc26…32cabacked No | 49c | 1,000$490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$490 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb886…81b3backed Yes | 17c | 958.22$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$794.15 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +19%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78ba…f02dbacked No | 78c | 912$711 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$711.36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.78per pick | 78cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x38c1…2f84backed Yes | 22c | 897$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…cfefbacked Yes | 22c | 897$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$699.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd8e0…a63bbacked Yes | 22c | 893$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc70…50c0backed Yes | 18c | 892$164 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$727.92 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.82per pick | 18cpaid | +443.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xabeb…7a78backed Yes | 21c | 891$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 72c | 873$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.56 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaef9…0acbbacked Yes | 12c | 870$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$765.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.88per pick | 12cpaid | +733.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x293b…09a9backed No | 72c | 849$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.28 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.72per pick | 72cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcae4…ccecbacked Yes | 21c | 843$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$665.97 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.79per pick | 21cpaid | +376.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 22c | 835$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$651.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.78per pick | 22cpaid | +354.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd77e…83a4backed Yes | 28c | 834$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.48 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 33cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad90…9090backed Yes | 21c | 819$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$647.01 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.41per pick | 25cpaid | +148.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…783dbacked Yes | 34c | 799.66$276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$523.78 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x673d…e929backed Yes | 22c | 766$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$597.48 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.5wins | +0.73per pick | 27cpaid | +283.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 79c | 765$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.79per pick | 79cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed No | 70c | 757.5$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$527.38 | 48 | 39.6%19 W · 29 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9d84…1344backed No | 57c | 749.99$427 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$427.5 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Venezuela and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Another US strike on Venezuela by December 31?this page
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 10?No won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?No won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by January 31?No won
- Another US strike on Venezuela by March 31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.