NFL · resolved market
Stefon Diggs arrested by March 31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x120a43c108202f029133104531990a595af4f3700a92bbda4403535235bc4c82
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NFLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $69,999
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $67,585
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $69,999 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 178 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NFL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NFL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5fbd…fb37backed Yes | 32c | 2,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d77…abd5backed No | 68c | 1,471$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.87 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 69c | 1,259$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…f7eabacked Yes | 31c | 1,131$351 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350.61 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.23per pick | 52cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x02a5…c0edbacked Yes | 33c | 1,119$366 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.9 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.9wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfc3…b21fbacked Yes | 30c | 1,113$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.37 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…b9b4backed Yes | 31c | 1,082$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$335.42 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefdd…8370backed Yes | 30c | 1,063$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed Yes | 31c | 1,035$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.85 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58e1…a5cdbacked No | 76c | 998$756 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.86 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +32%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d38…e898backed No | 74c | 995$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.81 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8349…69e5backed Yes | 32c | 880$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.6 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 37cpaid | -64.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c0…c4c9backed No | 74c | 876$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.76 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 74cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70a7…b884backed No | 74c | 869.23$648 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7d4…5735backed No | 68c | 865$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$276.8 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.7wins | +0.21per pick | 41cpaid | +110.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2d…ddd6backed Yes | 25c | 773$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.25 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf42b…7577backed No | 69c | 759$524 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.29 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +119.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7e33…1482backed No | 60c | 743.23$446 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.29 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +4.4wins | +0.34per pick | 43cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…d215backed Yes | 31c | 734$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$227.54 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked No | 75c | 733$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$183.25 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 48cpaid | -73.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x636c…ea28backed Yes | 30c | 723$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.9 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x848d…76c1backed No | 69c | 708$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.48 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.8wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…7d60backed No | 67c | 704$472 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14d4…cc6fbacked No | 74c | 689$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.14 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39be…5e7bbacked No | 69c | 677$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.87 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.19per pick | 59cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5fa…f3f8backed Yes | 26c | 675$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ea1…6487backed No | 68c | 668$454 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.76 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -63%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 28c | 663$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.13 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb338…1ff0backed Yes | 31c | 648$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.88 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.14per pick | 56cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 69c | 629$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.34 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f6…ea40backed Yes | 32c | 618$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.76 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.6wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed No | 79c | 608.66$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$130.04 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a94…7154backed No | 68c | 601$409 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.49 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe54d…c913backed No | 69c | 600$414 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3024…0c79backed Yes | 23c | 584$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.32 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x76fd…e8c4backed No | 69c | 581$403 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.41 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +55.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71d2…e109backed Yes | 31c | 551$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.81 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.22per pick | 35cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2604…13ccbacked No | 77c | 540$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.2 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf298…12f8backed Yes | 26c | 537$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.62 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 44cpaid | +83%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76f8…5145backed Yes | 32c | 536$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171.52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe136…cacebacked Yes | 26c | 533$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 52cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x07d9…4c53backed No | 67c | 533$357 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb5e2…e599backed No | 67c | 525.24$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.24 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -35.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0f…98e8backed Yes | 31c | 524$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6558…e485backed Yes | 25c | 517$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.25 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91af…95c8backed No | 69c | 507$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.17 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecd7…c7e1backed No | 69c | 506.66$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x322a…3274backed Yes | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb6a4…aa57backed No | 69c | 484$334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x04da…dc10backed No | 67c | 473$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.09 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ea6…32d9backed Yes | 23c | 464$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -39%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc895…9bfabacked No | 69c | 463$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.03 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa647…d77dbacked No | 69c | 450$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.5 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb5f…f3dcbacked Yes | 31c | 440$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02ee…5adebacked Yes | 33c | 424$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.92 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x787a…a54dbacked Yes | 23c | 417$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.91 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc713…891fbacked Yes | 30c | 412$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.4 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +44.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6317…e864backed Yes | 31c | 401$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.31 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.17per pick | 46cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ceb…7fc8backed No | 68c | 390$265 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +54.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfbec…8dccbacked No | 69c | 372$257 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.32 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.21per pick | 46cpaid | -63.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x964c…44acbacked Yes | 31c | 368$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.08 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdfec…09a7backed Yes | 31c | 366$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.46 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -63%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed No | 68c | 362$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.84 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -28%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 25c | 357$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.25 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -56.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6ef…095ebacked No | 75c | 357$268 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.25 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -33.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb407…a978backed No | 69c | 355$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.05 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a9…d4f7backed No | 74c | 348$258 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.48 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bcd…e98bbacked No | 68c | 337$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -51%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed No | 69c | 333$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.23 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x159f…333fbacked Yes | 32c | 332$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.24 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 31cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec0…87f3backed Yes | 30c | 329.38$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe335…cd12backed No | 77c | 326$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.98 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 68cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x290d…9e42backed Yes | 23c | 325$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.75 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a88…513ebacked Yes | 32c | 322$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.04 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -49%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a10…e442backed Yes | 31c | 321$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81ba…b311backed No | 75c | 312$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 54cpaid | +59.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88fa…2cf4backed Yes | 25c | 312$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e17…c6b5backed Yes | 33c | 305$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.49 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06db…5244backed Yes | 33c | 300$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…b38fbacked No | 77c | 295$227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.12per pick | 55cpaid | +131.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x334a…832ebacked Yes | 33c | 294$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 33c | 290$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.7wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x67f2…6a72backed No | 67c | 290$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.7 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.3wins | +0.27per pick | 53cpaid | +54.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc406…07d9backed No | 76c | 278.66$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.66 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe87e…4f70backed No | 69c | 277$191 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.87 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f2…55d9backed No | 69c | 274$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.94 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda7f…c93dbacked Yes | 33c | 272$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90ee…801bbacked No | 69c | 270.44$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa815…9cbebacked Yes | 6c | 265.21$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 67c | 265$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.88 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 58cpaid | -62.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x036f…31a9backed No | 77c | 264$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x45d3…53dcbacked No | 70c | 256$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…a64bbacked Yes | 31c | 238$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.78 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd502…4974backed No | 67c | 237$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd134…5558backed Yes | 31c | 215$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.65 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x66a7…6569backed No | 69c | 214$148 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.34 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.29per pick | 49cpaid | -71%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf351…6284backed Yes | 31c | 210$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.1 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x090a…cd55backed No | 69c | 210$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b82…1712backed Yes | 31c | 207$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.17 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -53.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e2…fdf8backed Yes | 29c | 204.59$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.54 | 314 | 39.8%125 W · 189 L | -16.0wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NFL and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.