Token Launches · resolved market
Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa87fcac5b9bd75a681179e0e04cac5325b27ffb4db669fe900e0d7660a93a591
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,499
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $92,045
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,499 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 190 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed5a…3550backed No | 61c | 7,436$4,502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,933.04 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +77.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 1c | 6,260$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.47 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4256…e529backed Yes | 39c | 4,615$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 52c | 3,113$1,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,503.19 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 18c | 3,000$553 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.34 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x797a…7924backed Yes | 4c | 2,978$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.63 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -38%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe730…e424backed Yes | 12c | 2,800$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.51 | 69 | 34.8%24 W · 45 L | +4.4wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1af0…d21fbacked Yes | 30c | 2,700$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809 | 34 | 20.6%7 W · 27 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -58.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a1c…970abacked No | 77c | 2,474$1,914 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559.68 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b9a…12a5backed Yes | 48c | 2,100$1,017 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,016.99 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2163…7ec2backed No | 73c | 1,691$1,228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.73 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x00aa…17edbacked Yes | 67c | 1,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x6903…b6f9backed Yes | 2c | 1,369$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 3c | 1,294$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.82 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x297a…3c75backed Yes | 52c | 1,286$665 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.3 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +77.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xace9…c41fbacked Yes | 41c | 1,220$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +73.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 66c | 1,210$801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.88 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…81cfbacked Yes | 68c | 1,134$767 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$766.96 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed No | 40c | 1,000$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…6321backed Yes | 9c | 1,000$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23e9…109fbacked Yes | 2c | 909.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -49%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x882e…e757backed Yes | 75c | 888$663 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.61 | 51 | 49%25 W · 26 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 700$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.3 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…2a9bbacked Yes | 14c | 699.77$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes | 74c | 673.29$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 74 | 39.2%29 W · 45 L | +1.9wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 56c | 660.94$370 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$370.47 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 33c | 650.02$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435.75 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 61c | 648.67$397 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$251.49 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf135…84f4backed Yes | 44c | 647$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.68 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x89e8…b06cbacked Yes | 29c | 639.82$185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.58 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5be5…2d9abacked No | 33c | 616.67$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 40cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4030…14c0backed Yes | 66c | 604.99$397 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$397.5 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.25per pick | 47cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7950…1d42backed No | 58c | 599.38$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.38 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.7wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf944…c249backed Yes | 2c | 537.91$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +3.0wins | +0.30per pick | 10cpaid | +507.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x884d…1da6backed Yes | 20c | 528.68$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.74 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.15per pick | 28cpaid | +167.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70c4…dd99backed Yes | 15c | 528.24$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.21 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 28cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked No | 18c | 523.14$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.38 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea5…3fdabacked Yes | 12c | 522.57$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.16 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +4.6wins | +0.16per pick | 29cpaid | +61.7%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 2c | 510.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ae2…acbbbacked No | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +172.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 4c | 500$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.3 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3531…4fb3backed Yes | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 29.3%12 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 498.76$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.28 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76c9…1917backed No | 25c | 498.62$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$373.96 | 53 | 30.2%16 W · 37 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf7bc…6588backed Yes | 30c | 493.17$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.49 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 29c | 485$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.05 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x82c3…8e50backed Yes | 46c | 460.25$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 54c | 448$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$204.96 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd17c…36e0backed Yes | 22c | 444.47$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +64.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3e6…3218backed No | 54c | 427.48$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.19 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +268.2%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed No | 44c | 420.74$185 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.17 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x05d1…2bb3backed No | 75c | 408.48$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.12 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2560…a34fbacked Yes | 61c | 405.05$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.93 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.11per pick | 41cpaid | +74.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe92d…e158backed Yes | 75c | 401.91$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.1wins | -0.35per pick | 46cpaid | -85.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 400$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…1059backed No | 55c | 399.99$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe7db…feb0backed Yes | 46c | 398.71$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.42 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | +23.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5edf…b5f2backed Yes | 13c | 384.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c2…a50ebacked No | 53c | 378.51$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.51 | 11 | 100%11 W · 0 L | +4.8wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +97.6%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x39d2…2ef7backed Yes | 6c | 377.89$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 26 | 3.8%1 W · 25 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 12cpaid | -70.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes | 16c | 376$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.94 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedda…2e39backed Yes | 67c | 359.98$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.79 | 92 | 40.2%37 W · 55 L | +3.3wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed No | 66c | 356.49$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.33 | 130 | 54.6%71 W · 59 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x44ff…997fbacked Yes | 14c | 355.31$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 35 | 28.6%10 W · 25 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d45…97f4backed No | 32c | 350$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238 | 109 | 48.6%53 W · 56 L | +11.9wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +54%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…da20backed No | 29c | 349.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.71per pick | 29cpaid | +249.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…b445backed No | 43c | 348.96$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.96 | 59 | 45.8%27 W · 32 L | +2.8wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb30…8a73backed Yes | 24c | 336.92$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.49 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dcfabacked Yes | 13c | 336.33$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f89…619bbacked No | 73c | 332.53$243 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.78 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 66cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…82d3backed Yes | 11c | 330.91$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcea0…bf6dbacked No | 43c | 330$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.8 | 27 | 44.4%12 W · 15 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 42c | 324.75$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.96 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd473…3febbacked Yes | 39c | 320$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +2.7wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x783e…d7c8backed Yes | 27c | 313.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.51 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x296d…70f9backed No | 40c | 306.29$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.49 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | +4.8wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e45…6f64backed No | 50c | 300.32$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.43 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +5.4wins | +0.19per pick | 43cpaid | +69.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 75c | 300$225 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…47eabacked No | 62c | 299.99$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +117%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x124e…ab7cbacked Yes | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -27%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 63c | 253.17$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.85 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7482…8464backed No | 19c | 250$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.5 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +2.9wins | +0.48per pick | 19cpaid | +323.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4529…243ebacked No | 40c | 248.46$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.46 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 46cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6166…e5a0backed Yes | 10c | 245$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.5 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -63.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd550…c36cbacked Yes | 76c | 242.96$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.56 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…eb4cbacked Yes | 53c | 240$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.8 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 7c | 230.28$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.1 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…0f36backed Yes | 9c | 213.6$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 68c | 200$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 167 | 40.7%68 W · 99 L | -10.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 13c | 200$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$174 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0ff7…17aabacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 48cpaid | +29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaa4a…d651backed Yes | 25c | 199.62$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.91 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 13cpaid | +99.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6138…97a0backed No | 52c | 199.61$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.81 | 159 | 41.5%66 W · 93 L | +9.4wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62c2…9646backed Yes | 23c | 189.42$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.7 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 48c | 180.37$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.96 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c2…498ebacked No | 29c | 180$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.8 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +3.9wins | +0.49per pick | 38cpaid | +132%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x61d7…01f0backed No | 71c | 169.69$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.21 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -19%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 35c | 168.23$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.03 | 463 | 20.5%95 W · 368 L | -68.1wins | -0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 36c | 168.19$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.72 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.