Token Launches · resolved market
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3491c599941a8912de5fee7e1582c31d5d61eb499ed0ab943987c02a38373ecc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $205,340
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $201,041
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $205,340 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 266 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe3b6…86abbacked Yes | 39c | 17,913$7,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,075.32 | 44 | 25%11 W · 33 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 17cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x829b…0473backed Yes | 0c | 12,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 75c | 9,803$7,336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,335.7 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf9f2…5cbabacked Yes | 0c | 9,477$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.91 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f8…6efebacked Yes | 0c | 5,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed Yes | 71c | 4,063$2,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,878.64 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fca…f72ebacked No | 21c | 2,892$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,282.09 | 131 | 31.3%41 W · 90 L | +12.1wins | +0.09per pick | 22cpaid | +164.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9fc…6033backed No | 19c | 2,530$468 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,061.38 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x95f2…3de3backed No | 22c | 2,334$513 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,820.87 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe99a…e9fbbacked No | 73c | 2,322$1,695 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.9 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed Yes | 70c | 2,249$1,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.27 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 65c | 2,105$1,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.79 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a67…df6fbacked Yes | 6c | 2,090$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.43 | 48 | 16.7%8 W · 40 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 18cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30ef…de6bbacked No | 37c | 2,045$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,295.47 | 23 | 21.7%5 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed Yes | 34c | 1,869$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$639.84 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes | 4c | 1,845$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 766 | 3.3%25 W · 741 L | -23.5wins | -0.03per pick | 6cpaid | -75.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a2b…c3cbbacked No | 16c | 1,824$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.53 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 27cpaid | +106.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf416…6ec9backed No | 50c | 1,691$846 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$844.52 | 107 | 56.1%60 W · 47 L | +8.8wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ca…960bbacked No | 70c | 1,632$1,143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$489.73 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 39cpaid | +4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e56…c3f3backed No | 47c | 1,528$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.13 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -38.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Yes | 30c | 1,453$443 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$442.94 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b25…73b4backed No | 27c | 1,363$369 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$993.43 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x943a…82d4backed No | 32c | 1,337$423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$913.91 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 35cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xead3…b125backed No | 25c | 1,330$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,000.2 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x514b…ad6abacked Yes | 2c | 1,325$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 14cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x429a…d58cbacked No | 35c | 1,323$464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.83 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 34cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2076…bf0dbacked No | 78c | 1,313$1,020 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.02 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb807…99cbbacked No | 16c | 1,305$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,096.73 | 103 | 20.4%21 W · 82 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6e…6246backed Yes | 80c | 1,300$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,035 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda24…4af9backed No | 18c | 1,251$231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,020.35 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.07per pick | 10cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d8…19e6backed Yes | 80c | 1,200$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.11per pick | 23cpaid | -63.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b6…83d8backed No | 16c | 1,200$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,003.99 | 80 | 17.5%14 W · 66 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 15cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 36c | 1,078$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.01 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4706…286ebacked Yes | 3c | 1,066$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.69 | 77 | 3.9%3 W · 74 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 5cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4951…42e3backed No | 27c | 1,034$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$752.37 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8329…5488backed No | 49c | 1,020$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa575…e736backed Yes | 3c | 1,020$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.57 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6539…f6cdbacked No | 25c | 1,010$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$758.63 | 99 | 20.2%20 W · 79 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -46.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5316…4ae5backed No | 10c | 1,000$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$900 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xae98…210cbacked Yes | 75c | 999.99$748 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$747.99 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -3.2wins | -0.25per pick | 63cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xba94…d855backed Yes | 53c | 999.99$525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$525.13 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…f4a7backed No | 32c | 935$299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.1 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 13c | 841.79$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.36 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…5f5bbacked No | 13c | 824.07$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$718.1 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 16cpaid | +94.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6e…b0e0backed No | 25c | 805.08$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +70.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 26c | 800.05$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$588.45 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3f9b…47eabacked No | 13c | 800$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$696 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | +7.7wins | +0.29per pick | 36cpaid | +117%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xbad9…dbe1backed No | 19c | 770.55$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$620.55 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 18cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xec82…b44ebacked No | 24c | 751.14$179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.31 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +175%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec3c…d68ebacked Yes | 3c | 700$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.2 | 60 | 1.7%1 W · 59 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa05f…4ea4backed Yes | 66c | 656$434 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -49%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9dc2…0727backed Yes | 3c | 633.54$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.41 | 112 | 2.7%3 W · 109 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -65.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd493…7f04backed Yes | 2c | 624.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 119 | 0.8%1 W · 118 L | -4.7wins | -0.04per pick | 5cpaid | -85.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1101…dcfabacked Yes | 3c | 608$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.77 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fca…7033backed No | 16c | 600$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…6345backed Yes | 2c | 594.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.43 | 254 | 1.6%4 W · 250 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5c4…0926backed No | 72c | 592.54$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.91 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa143…2ea6backed No | 12c | 590$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$519.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 31cpaid | +126.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe09b…d14cbacked No | 17c | 588.24$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$488.24 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked No | 34c | 580.88$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.96 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x247b…6610backed No | 27c | 561.57$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$411.57 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcef…7388backed Yes | 2c | 553.05$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 45 | 2.2%1 W · 44 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0aa5…427abacked No | 32c | 550$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$375.15 | 48 | 22.9%11 W · 37 L | -4.8wins | -0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5c95…30cbbacked No | 35c | 538.87$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.07 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x440c…4a48backed No | 34c | 526.67$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$346.62 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x58c8…0300backed Yes | 68c | 525.84$358 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358 | 156 | 37.2%58 W · 98 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3d16…8ac4backed No | 17c | 520$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.2 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc9bc…9b04backed No | 20c | 510$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$410 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -23%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 16c | 500$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.6 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 23c | 500$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$385 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37d8…36fdbacked No | 29c | 500$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.4wins | +0.10per pick | 29cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed No | 10c | 499.99$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$449.99 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36e7…46e6backed No | 19c | 499.99$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$404.99 | 41 | 63.4%26 W · 15 L | +4.3wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +36.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd688…1059backed No | 20c | 490$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe9b8…5197backed Yes | 4c | 476.19$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +86.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf7…a1abbacked No | 33c | 475.33$155 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.33 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0835…668cbacked Yes | 50c | 465.06$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.53 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -2.7wins | -0.20per pick | 36cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xad0a…64f2backed No | 22c | 450.43$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$350.43 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.36per pick | 39cpaid | +96%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2220…9f1cbacked No | 23c | 436.09$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$336.09 | 38 | 36.8%14 W · 24 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa2…16dcbacked No | 23c | 431.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$331.31 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 29cpaid | +58.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3abe…6c5ebacked Yes | 48c | 416.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…afb9backed No | 75c | 397.88$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc37…5e40backed Yes | 26c | 382.82$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec00…7a8cbacked No | 17c | 377.76$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.76 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…bbe8backed No | 27c | 373.01$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$273.06 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ae7…9603backed No | 14c | 363.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.06 | 66 | 56.1%37 W · 29 L | +9.0wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 13c | 359.34$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.77 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28bb…4982backed No | 76c | 358.93$272 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea22…747abacked Yes | 7c | 350.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2fef…24d6backed No | 61c | 346.67$211 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.63 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x72ab…1a3ebacked Yes | 73c | 339.25$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.1 | 103 | 70.9%73 W · 30 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x990e…e789backed No | 30c | 330$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 38cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48fe…b2b6backed No | 80c | 329.72$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.18 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -54.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3cea…1996backed No | 30c | 329.41$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.41 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.08per pick | 35cpaid | +25.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4d…1ee4backed No | 16c | 312.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$262.5 | 44 | 15.9%7 W · 37 L | -2.6wins | -0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -28%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4c6b…d8f6backed No | 32c | 308.31$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.31 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.27per pick | 47cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdc…2a9bbacked No | 33c | 303.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.33 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a68…6679backed No | 31c | 300$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206 | 153 | 62.7%96 W · 57 L | +22.4wins | +0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xc135…21b0backed No | 26c | 300$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221 | 48 | 43.8%21 W · 27 L | +8.0wins | +0.17per pick | 27cpaid | +64.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddc3…c453backed No | 12c | 300$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264 | 30 | 33.3%10 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?this page
- Will Almanak FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $120M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $140M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $160M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $250M one day after launch?No won
- Will Almanak FDV above $80M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.