TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1e67…f4a7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
37
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
2

Best Category: Premier League, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Premier League at 56 out of 100; worst F1 at 49.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1936.8%7 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick33cpaid+22.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$797Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$797.04
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$498Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$2,431.9
Backpack FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.99
Fabric FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$210
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$10
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$243Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+175.7%+$426.94
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+233.3%+$350
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$500.01
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$540Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST+85.2%+$460
Lighter Airdrop on December 29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST-100%-$65
Over $200M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$49.94
Over $100M committed to the Gensyn public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$502Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 20, 2025, EST-100%-$501.5
Will Almanak FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$299Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 13, 2025, EST+212.8%+$636.1
Over 25,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50.6
Over 20,000 ETH committed to the Aztec public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$490Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$490
Over $5M committed to the Makina public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$174Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST-100%-$174.2
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+28.2%+$282.04
Over $250M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$266Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST+400%+$1,064
Will Trump launch a coin before the election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 17, 2024, EDT-100%-$115
All 19 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT944.4%4 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-30.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$602Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$418.2
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$4,062Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT+47.7%+$1,938
France vs. Spain: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$1,240Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,240.47
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$964Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+28.6%+$275.9
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Will Ukraine win on 2026-03-26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.3
Will Austria win on 2025-11-18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$36
Will Ukraine win on 2025-11-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+81.8%+$16.2
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.77per pick23cpaid+413.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-02-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+212.5%+$68
Will Vinicius Jr win the Ballon D’Or?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 28, 2024, EDT+614.3%+$122.86
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 22, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.76per pick24cpaid+316.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-03-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 22, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Sep 25, 2024, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.60per pick40cpaid+150%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Zelensky say "we need" 3 or more times during his UN address?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageSep 25, 2024, EDT+150%+$15
All 1 picks, newest first.
Boxing Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Boxing — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Boxing, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Glory in Giza: Oleksandr Usyk vs. Rico Verhoevenbacked Usyk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$85.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+93.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+93.4%+$46.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$1,584Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$616
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverinesbacked Saint Louis Billikens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
F1 Inactivelast resolved Dec 6, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
F1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in F1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Lando Norris get pole position at the 2025 F1 Abu Dhabi Grand Prix?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$10.12
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.