Token Launches · resolved market
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1871456f221d5a3e1105ce3f50020dbcd7d312652902ea37ad095c6b466bdf43
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,436,390
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,601,789
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,436,390 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked No | 35c | 90,699$31,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,892.48 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…3963backed No | 28c | 86,406$24,280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,280.43 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18ba…de51backed Yes | 48c | 63,862$30,681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,180.58 | 6 | 100%6 W · 0 L | +2.8wins | +0.47per pick | 53cpaid | +131.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 36c | 40,835$14,601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,600.6 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 58c | 37,384$21,856 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,528.38 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47fa…8bf8backed Yes | 65c | 34,358$22,284 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,074.8 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 37cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x088f…c9e7backed No | 37c | 32,631$12,149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,148.52 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -1.9wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x48af…9ad1backed Yes | 56c | 32,114$18,018 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,095.64 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 59cpaid | +32.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 29c | 26,306$7,569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,569.27 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeefa…c780backed No | 4c | 25,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -65.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed Yes | 69c | 24,650$16,892 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,758.66 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1319…d7dbbacked Yes | 59c | 23,322$13,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,664.6 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.7wins | +0.19per pick | 37cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc6…8283backed Yes | 49c | 22,838$11,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,670.75 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa672…f083backed Yes | 67c | 22,500$15,053 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,447.04 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3939…e549backed No | 32c | 22,020$7,005 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,005.4 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…727dbacked Yes | 68c | 21,860$14,836 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,024.35 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…f954backed Yes | 44c | 21,747$9,661 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,085.51 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked No | 43c | 20,548$8,918 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,917.92 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd61c…84fbbacked Yes | 70c | 20,428$14,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,128.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2769…5cccbacked Yes | 65c | 20,000$13,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,000 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +79.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…63c7backed No | 43c | 20,000$8,555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,554.86 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…f258backed Yes | 75c | 19,534$14,659 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,874.36 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 52c | 19,500$10,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,092.59 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…3400backed Yes | 53c | 19,471$10,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,137.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 55c | 19,250$10,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,502.62 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecb1…5da3backed No | 48c | 18,934$9,170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,170.15 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed No | 30c | 17,060$5,173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,172.72 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x17ce…beecbacked No | 10c | 16,915$1,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,757.25 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9970…5f93backed Yes | 68c | 16,100$10,948 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,152 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +47.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e5…0e18backed Yes | 58c | 15,937$9,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,623.1 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 33cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7045…fdc0backed Yes | 47c | 15,599$7,332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,267.68 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.28per pick | 32cpaid | +43.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…a414backed No | 35c | 15,405$5,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,320.91 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5405…41b2backed Yes | 66c | 15,178$9,961 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,217.25 | 9 | 100%9 W · 0 L | +3.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +112.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0a55…1d25backed Yes | 61c | 15,000$9,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,899.99 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -3.4wins | -0.29per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x82cf…0998backed No | 56c | 14,614$8,253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,253.14 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa88f…a634backed No | 70c | 14,286$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed Yes | 58c | 14,242$8,215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,026.87 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f61…011abacked Yes | 60c | 14,226$8,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,725.93 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2f6…5817backed No | 50c | 13,664$6,879 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,879.16 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 46c | 13,500$6,180 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,180 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 34c | 13,347$4,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,474.94 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x741b…d021backed Yes | 76c | 12,677$9,591 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,086.39 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93b7…7d51backed No | 50c | 12,224$6,139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,139.16 | 205 | 51.2%105 W · 100 L | +13.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbbd1…6feebacked Yes | 58c | 11,632$6,738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,894.26 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | +6.9wins | +0.13per pick | 35cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 58c | 11,392$6,636 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,756.04 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 50c | 11,128$5,593 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,535 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…b2fabacked No | 44c | 10,790$4,751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,750.76 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4629…73dbbacked Yes | 59c | 10,500$6,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,294.8 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 58c | 10,127$5,893 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,234.42 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9015…2ed7backed Yes | 51c | 10,080$5,179 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,901.46 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes | 50c | 10,000$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,000 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +3.7wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +148.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36ba…9294backed Yes | 76c | 10,000$7,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,400 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01f4…47c1backed Yes | 29c | 9,721$2,845 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,875.97 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +57.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes | 56c | 9,602$5,418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,183.88 | 68 | 36.8%25 W · 43 L | +4.6wins | +0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x011b…e44dbacked No | 45c | 9,575$4,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,338.41 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +4.1wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4489…2452backed Yes | 58c | 9,325$5,432 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,893.25 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0fb0…4141backed No | 50c | 8,926$4,506 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,505.95 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 42cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 30c | 8,811$2,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,670.47 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74cc…f578backed Yes | 43c | 8,794$3,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,994.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.17per pick | 33cpaid | +37.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…ffc2backed No | 54c | 8,465$4,599 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,599.05 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed Yes | 66c | 8,342$5,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.33 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x87ef…6c47backed Yes | 65c | 8,320$5,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,920.16 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +89.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6bab…1292backed No | 39c | 8,220$3,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,182.5 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +6.7wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +95.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 42c | 7,705$3,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,454.94 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed No | 27c | 7,669$2,063 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,062.74 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdb44…8accbacked No | 23c | 7,514$1,703 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,703.3 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2048…f572backed No | 57c | 7,506$4,298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,298.45 | 90 | 46.7%42 W · 48 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 44c | 7,373$3,249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,248.52 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb919…5e9abacked No | 16c | 7,000$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05d6…29f7backed Yes | 55c | 7,000$3,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,159.99 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.15per pick | 45cpaid | +24.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x869c…2483backed Yes | 52c | 6,954$3,610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,343.78 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -3.2wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe167…03a1backed Yes | 56c | 6,872$3,850 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,021.26 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda0f…f0e7backed No | 25c | 6,820$1,681 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680.69 | 72 | 34.7%25 W · 47 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61d3…fd3bbacked Yes | 59c | 6,779$4,014 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,765.72 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e1…c852backed No | 57c | 6,615$3,747 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,747.02 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 54cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 66c | 6,415$4,202 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,212.93 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 18c | 6,309$1,136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,135.67 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x82a2…94edbacked Yes | 54c | 6,248$3,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,874.07 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xffad…6c76backed No | 32c | 6,228$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5684…7874backed No | 35c | 6,000$2,070 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,070 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes | 19c | 6,000$1,140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,859.98 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x006d…06f8backed Yes | 47c | 5,981$2,839 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,141.48 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2917…be8fbacked No | 50c | 5,890$2,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,960.44 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.16per pick | 59cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeb36…7afbbacked No | 30c | 5,681$1,678 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,678.03 | 17 | 17.6%3 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 28cpaid | -61.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed Yes | 61c | 5,570$3,404 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,166.74 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbce4…60e7backed No | 25c | 5,551$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -2.2wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb8d7…3e75backed Yes | 36c | 5,264$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,380.62 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 32cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d00…0349backed Yes | 61c | 5,198$3,151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,047.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +65%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 44c | 5,040$2,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,238.99 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcba6…5adabacked No | 36c | 5,010$1,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,804 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xff98…908ebacked Yes | 61c | 5,000$3,050 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,950 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +57%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x17f3…d38cbacked No | 65c | 5,000$3,230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,230 | 44 | 47.7%21 W · 23 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +51.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 38c | 5,000$1,895 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,895 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed No | 35c | 5,000$1,744 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,744.24 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…15bfbacked No | 51c | 5,000$2,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,550 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…047fbacked No | 24c | 5,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x987b…0d57backed Yes | 76c | 5,000$3,783 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,216.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 69cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7e5e…7315backed No | 43c | 5,000$2,150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,149.99 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ca1…9ca2backed Yes | 64c | 4,828$3,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,728.42 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +55.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.