Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x6c64501c07f84c85541df50d7b61b4a811a4c27c9803d807b4feb8f4349b47ab

Rebuilt 19 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $627,739
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $650,883

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $627,739 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 96 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xdb45…b5d6backed Yes	1c	110,000$560 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$560	55	7.3%4 W · 51 L	+1.3wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	-76.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f4a…7c9fbacked Yes	5c	38,360$1,726 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,726.18	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	6c	20,574$1,175 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,174.7	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9b05…e6c2backed Yes	4c	20,000$880 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$880	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+0.2wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	-17.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xba7c…2a2abacked Yes	3c	18,946$608 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$608	13	61.5%8 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.05per pick	57cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc6e5…0e18backed Yes	5c	18,812$999 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$999.4	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	+0.7wins	+0.10per pick	33cpaid	-18.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa672…f083backed Yes	9c	17,000$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.58	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd61b…0385backed Yes	8c	14,442$1,178 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,177.55	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1f25…21a4backed Yes	3c	9,896$333 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$333.01	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xef44…8ee2backed Yes	2c	9,215$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$204.58	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x05ab…8145backed Yes	4c	8,674$325 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$325.26	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x741b…d021backed Yes	3c	8,509$256 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$255.68	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes	3c	6,698$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	27	40.7%11 W · 16 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	40cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes	4c	6,052$245 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$245.3	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	3c	5,218$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.97	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	4c	5,206$205 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$205.16	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7eb…28a9backed Yes	7c	5,179$382 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.27	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	4c	4,449$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.15	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc934…99e7backed Yes	3c	4,352$131 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$131.36	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3d28…9b1cbacked Yes	3c	3,655$111 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.05	32	28.1%9 W · 23 L	+1.2wins	+0.04per pick	24cpaid	+11.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed2b…083bbacked Yes	5c	3,543$190 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$190.42	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.2wins	+0.08per pick	26cpaid	-41.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7054…82b8backed Yes	6c	3,394$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x08b9…3d3bbacked Yes	3c	3,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.8wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4345…7897backed Yes	4c	3,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6c9f…b1e2backed Yes	4c	2,969$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	11	0%0 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3057…7a96backed Yes	3c	2,730$87 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$86.62	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes	6c	2,702$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.19	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa42e…b3d9backed Yes	6c	2,679$152 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$151.97	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x19c7…6045backed Yes	4c	2,632$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Yes	4c	2,632$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-63%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b3c…c600backed Yes	3c	2,600$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65	71	32.4%23 W · 48 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	30cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3bcf…dc5cbacked Yes	2c	2,550$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54.65	68	36.8%25 W · 43 L	+4.6wins	+0.07per pick	30cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	4c	2,531$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$106.15	75	4%3 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c64…12ffbacked Yes	6c	2,455$153 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$153	9	0%0 W · 9 L	-1.9wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x7dd2…33b8backed Yes	5c	2,381$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$114.92	24	33.3%8 W · 16 L	+0.8wins	+0.03per pick	30cpaid	+4.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0ba3…61b7backed Yes	2c	2,315$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	36cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9015…2ed7backed Yes	4c	2,217$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+1.0wins	+0.10per pick	30cpaid	-23.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd808…6f89backed Yes	2c	2,147$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.45	8	37.5%3 W · 5 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x149f…7ab5backed Yes	3c	2,020$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.05	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	29cpaid	-76.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5155…197dbacked Yes	5c	2,000$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.75	12	33.3%4 W · 8 L	+1.6wins	+0.13per pick	20cpaid	-15.4%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes	2c	2,000$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	28	35.7%10 W · 18 L	+3.0wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x0e66…c5a2backed Yes	5c	1,998$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.53	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	4c	1,986$76 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.84	119	0.8%1 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	5c	1,959$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.98	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	4c	1,951$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.72	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x994e…cd69backed Yes	1c	1,923$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.8	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.5wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	4c	1,834$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.47	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	4c	1,833$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.25	112	2.7%3 W · 109 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	5c	1,823$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc4c8…8618backed Yes	6c	1,738$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.99	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes	4c	1,668$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58.56	28	32.1%9 W · 19 L	+1.3wins	+0.04per pick	28cpaid	-33.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2f92…36d7backed Yes	6c	1,640$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8697…f8a9backed Yes	3c	1,624$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.44	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e48…bb18backed Yes	6c	1,597$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.68	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xba80…f5edbacked Yes	7c	1,500$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa1e8…8014backed Yes	4c	1,438$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$61.8	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd160…0af6backed Yes	4c	1,300$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$54	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9474…5091backed Yes	5c	1,238$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.68	349	5.7%20 W · 329 L	-25.3wins	-0.07per pick	13cpaid	-66.5%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	5c	1,198$63 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$63.14	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	1,189$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.79	166	2.4%4 W · 162 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1f4b…7d45backed Yes	5c	1,146$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.1wins	+0.05per pick	29cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked Yes	3c	1,100$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.3	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes	6c	1,000$58 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$58	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.16per pick	12cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc29a…1d16backed Yes	7c	1,000$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70	8	0%0 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4d8f…6a69backed Yes	3c	957.34$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x40a0…802dbacked Yes	6c	905.4$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.8wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x52b3…3a58backed Yes	5c	904.67$44 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$43.86	27	25.9%7 W · 20 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	22cpaid	-35.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2028…b468backed Yes	5c	871.49$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$46.81	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf8c0…b63fbacked Yes	6c	854.41$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3739…307fbacked Yes	3c	800$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.5	25	32%8 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	35cpaid	-25%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x960d…ea9abacked Yes	5c	771.91$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	29cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbe29…b07ebacked Yes	6c	638$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35.09	28	14.3%4 W · 24 L	-1.4wins	-0.05per pick	19cpaid	-22.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x555d…5523backed Yes	3c	629.09$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	+0.4wins	+0.14per pick	20cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdaf…cfcdbacked Yes	6c	613.01$38 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$37.67	18	27.8%5 W · 13 L	+1.4wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+116.1%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf079…874dbacked Yes	6c	608.92$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.98	16	68.8%11 W · 5 L	+2.7wins	+0.17per pick	52cpaid	+12.4%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0x5a75…2816backed Yes	5c	580$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.86	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3dd9…11afbacked Yes	9c	468.98$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+0.4wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-25.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed81…82eebacked Yes	6c	455.08$26 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.23	78	34.6%27 W · 51 L	+1.6wins	+0.02per pick	33cpaid	-9.4%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc75…e4bcbacked Yes	5c	452.49$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$22	24	50%12 W · 12 L	+3.9wins	+0.16per pick	34cpaid	+17.7%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x520e…d75abacked Yes	3c	435.44$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.06	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.28per pick	28cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb1e4…0e38backed Yes	5c	390.24$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	17	47.1%8 W · 9 L	+0.6wins	+0.03per pick	44cpaid	-9.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4206…8d81backed Yes	5c	353.39$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.12	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.05per pick	5cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xb6fa…d3bbbacked Yes	4c	337.61$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.11	6	66.7%4 W · 2 L	+1.4wins	+0.24per pick	43cpaid	+21.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd60f…5165backed Yes	8c	335.69$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.5	23	43.5%10 W · 13 L	+3.4wins	+0.15per pick	29cpaid	+38.6%equal weight	58+0.07 edge/pick
0x21b2…b602backed Yes	5c	318.8$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15.3	59	42.4%25 W · 34 L	+1.1wins	+0.02per pick	41cpaid	+32.4%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4512…c4a9backed Yes	4c	302.04$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13	21	28.6%6 W · 15 L	-1.3wins	-0.06per pick	35cpaid	-42.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8496…46aabacked Yes	5c	300$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.19	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	42cpaid	-67.5%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x80e4…dc76backed Yes	4c	298.74$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$12.36	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x74f1…a655backed Yes	7c	284.34$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.2wins	-0.18per pick	18cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5b59…50bcbacked Yes	6c	252.17$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.09per pick	24cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x46b0…efa6backed Yes	7c	248.26$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$17.38	10	0%0 W · 10 L	-1.6wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x83dc…19aabacked Yes	8c	240$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.3	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-1.6wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb6c3…cf5cbacked Yes	5c	200$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	38	31.6%12 W · 26 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	27cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x22af…c837backed Yes	8c	170.48$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14.15	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbc5b…1e41backed Yes	8c	138$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.59	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.10per pick	40cpaid	+2.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x172b…9a01backed Yes	9c	120$11 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10.67	12	41.7%5 W · 7 L	+1.1wins	+0.09per pick	32cpaid	-2.6%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event