Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1ff351aa5614ebe120c6d06af1f01dc487fa3b79e4b30d5adf567e2dccca4f23

Rebuilt 8 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Yesof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,908,518
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $2,463,022

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,908,518 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 292 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0xfa15…3963backed No	9c	110,760$9,602 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$9,602.43	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xdef0…3d06backed No	0c	104,261$437 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$437.49	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	-2.9wins	-0.12per pick	33cpaid	-67.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xab51…2473backed No	3c	95,880$2,733 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,732.98	134	22.4%30 W · 104 L	+12.7wins	+0.09per pick	13cpaid	+175.3%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No	1c	52,136$354 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$353.82	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc559…e384backed No	5c	42,190$2,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,000	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdff5…0bcebacked No	1c	31,500$193 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$193	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.2wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked No	9c	29,370$2,618 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$2,618.17	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7744…999ebacked No	1c	29,222$233 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$233.27	35	25.7%9 W · 26 L	+1.6wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-36%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbefa…300dbacked No	1c	17,300$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	171	2.9%5 W · 166 L	-0.9wins	-0.01per pick	3cpaid	-37.7%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x8de5…e8bbbacked No	0c	15,146$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$73.95	14	35.7%5 W · 9 L	-1.5wins	-0.11per pick	46cpaid	-39.8%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1461…30a1backed No	10c	13,735$1,438 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,438.42	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.2wins	-0.09per pick	38cpaid	-44.9%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d6b…94b4backed No	2c	13,687$217 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$217.08	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x03f0…63e0backed No	4c	12,828$553 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$553.25	94	22.3%21 W · 73 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x7cc7…c424backed No	1c	12,515$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	20%3 W · 12 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	23cpaid	-70.5%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeefa…c780backed No	0c	12,279$46 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$45.95	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	10cpaid	-65.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4cc2…9271backed No	2c	10,713$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	47	31.9%15 W · 32 L	-5.0wins	-0.11per pick	43cpaid	-42.8%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0xac9b…d4c5backed No	13c	10,000$1,300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,300	128	40.6%52 W · 76 L	+13.8wins	+0.11per pick	30cpaid	+20.5%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xa4e2…b8f5backed No	2c	8,923$170 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$170	29	20.7%6 W · 23 L	-0.9wins	-0.03per pick	24cpaid	-64.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x776b…138dbacked No	1c	8,849$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.1wins	-0.02per pick	16cpaid	-78.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6606…1338backed No	1c	8,200$71 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.6	24	54.2%13 W · 11 L	+2.1wins	+0.09per pick	46cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd105…7b2cbacked No	4c	7,539$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2086…a554backed No	7c	7,499$554 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$554.37	3	33.3%1 W · 2 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-54.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x44c3…e1a4backed No	2c	7,078$119 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$119.4	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	15cpaid	-82.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d1b…f055backed No	6c	6,906$395 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395	29	17.2%5 W · 24 L	-1.9wins	-0.07per pick	24cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…dc98backed No	3c	6,511$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+1.2wins	+0.21per pick	29cpaid	+23%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf0f6…f699backed No	13c	6,231$818 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$817.77	238	41.2%98 W · 140 L	+25.1wins	+0.11per pick	31cpaid	+30.1%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x28b2…ff45backed No	13c	5,970$776 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$776.04	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-1.1wins	-0.04per pick	24cpaid	-23.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc766…e803backed No	2c	5,902$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$99.81	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-68.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1a47…846fbacked No	1c	5,669$59 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.42	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed No	5c	5,065$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.09	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7e5e…7315backed No	13c	5,000$650 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$650	30	36.7%11 W · 19 L	+1.0wins	+0.03per pick	33cpaid	-12.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc4dd…eaa2backed No	8c	5,000$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-82.3%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3fd0…047fbacked No	9c	5,000$450 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$450	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	+0.6wins	+0.08per pick	21cpaid	-0.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x739c…e7abbacked No	6c	5,000$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	16	37.5%6 W · 10 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	37cpaid	-21.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xee25…ad21backed No	2c	4,790$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75.34	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-0.4wins	-0.08per pick	28cpaid	-70.1%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbd45…3dd4backed No	17c	4,789$800 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$800	36	30.6%11 W · 25 L	+0.9wins	+0.02per pick	28cpaid	+83.2%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2ed…ffc2backed No	15c	4,107$600 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$600	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	33cpaid	-20.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x508a…16eabacked No	2c	4,005$91 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.64	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xa77f…e578backed No	18c	4,000$720 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$720	31	29%9 W · 22 L	-2.0wins	-0.07per pick	36cpaid	-46.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc29…7774backed No	18c	3,902$700 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$700	13	38.5%5 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+14.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c7d…d30bbacked No	14c	3,575$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	11	9.1%1 W · 10 L	-3.5wins	-0.31per pick	41cpaid	-86.1%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xeed0…350cbacked No	7c	3,372$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$224.88	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed No	13c	3,353$436 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$435.89	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29af…2473backed No	3c	3,333$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	17	29.4%5 W · 12 L	+2.3wins	+0.13per pick	16cpaid	+28.9%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c25…8d52backed No	9c	3,328$299 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$299.19	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc36f…7ec1backed No	16c	3,313$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$530	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xff0e…f09fbacked No	16c	3,311$530 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$529.73	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.5wins	+0.25per pick	26cpaid	+42.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6452…30a1backed No	1c	3,219$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	63	50.8%32 W · 31 L	+12.0wins	+0.19per pick	32cpaid	+108.3%equal weight	65+0.14 edge/pick
0xf6cb…3f69backed No	1c	3,000$15 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$15	131	34.4%45 W · 86 L	-3.4wins	-0.03per pick	37cpaid	-22.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf9a2…a79abacked No	1c	3,000$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$27	103	36.9%38 W · 65 L	+8.4wins	+0.08per pick	29cpaid	+63.2%equal weight	57+0.07 edge/pick
0xfd56…78cabacked No	2c	2,997$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	8	50%4 W · 4 L	+1.0wins	+0.13per pick	37cpaid	-9.1%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8db9…8b0fbacked No	3c	2,978$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	40%2 W · 3 L	+0.2wins	+0.04per pick	36cpaid	-47.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfc88…c3e6backed No	18c	2,800$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.6wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93c7…6b2bbacked No	1c	2,788$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.12	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.14per pick	28cpaid	-78%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ddc…2618backed No	1c	2,768$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$35	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.4wins	-0.16per pick	27cpaid	-84.6%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8cb1…50ffbacked No	9c	2,593$240 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$240.06	19	26.3%5 W · 14 L	-1.1wins	-0.06per pick	32cpaid	-49.8%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x012a…314cbacked No	8c	2,589$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	12	8.3%1 W · 11 L	-1.4wins	-0.12per pick	20cpaid	-78.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb80c…8cd0backed No	4c	2,508$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.5wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2796…2aedbacked No	4c	2,505$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x41f1…3dccbacked No	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+3.9wins	+0.11per pick	25cpaid	+16.5%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x412d…c974backed No	4c	2,500$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-1.0wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x16c3…5373backed No	1c	2,490$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.06	39	17.9%7 W · 32 L	-5.1wins	-0.13per pick	31cpaid	-39.6%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdb44…8accbacked No	1c	2,473$27 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$26.58	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed No	3c	2,410$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$79.64	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked No	6c	2,400$133 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$133.3	75	4%3 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1703…c298backed No	15c	2,375$359 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$359.33	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x96b8…223ebacked No	2c	2,210$35 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34.96	1	0%0 W · 1 L	0.0wins	-0.02per pick	2cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1ad8…5b77backed No	2c	2,201$40 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$40	14	7.1%1 W · 13 L	-1.2wins	-0.08per pick	15cpaid	-43.3%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8d61…d501backed No	9c	2,116$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.85	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	24cpaid	-67%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdf12…d24bbacked No	17c	2,111$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.38per pick	38cpaid	-100%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x9fe5…a206backed No	1c	2,055$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	43	27.9%12 W · 31 L	+3.6wins	+0.08per pick	20cpaid	+30.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe016…1d15backed No	1c	2,000$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.4wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8796…9937backed No	6c	2,000$124 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$124	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.4wins	-0.04per pick	31cpaid	-57.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xded3…b470backed No	1c	2,000$18 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$18	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8697…f8a9backed No	1c	2,000$24 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$24	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	+0.1wins	+0.01per pick	10cpaid	-51.7%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc11e…75c8backed No	2c	1,900$30 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$30.4	17	0%0 W · 17 L	-0.5wins	-0.03per pick	3cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93b7…7d51backed No	5c	1,855$86 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$85.64	205	51.2%105 W · 100 L	+13.3wins	+0.07per pick	45cpaid	+9.5%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1773…f2f2backed No	1c	1,785$13 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.28	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed No	5c	1,763$89 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88.55	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x75f9…f89fbacked No	2c	1,705$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.06	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.7wins	-0.17per pick	17cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7a79…d6cebacked No	18c	1,702$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+0.6wins	+0.07per pick	27cpaid	-29.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x675c…6ef0backed No	4c	1,672$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2e2c…1b6ebacked No	18c	1,667$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	5	20%1 W · 4 L	-1.5wins	-0.30per pick	50cpaid	-69.7%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed No	5c	1,650$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$83.13	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfb99…4daebacked No	6c	1,600$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$96	92	22.8%21 W · 71 L	+3.8wins	+0.04per pick	19cpaid	+60.2%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0x16e0…ad22backed No	5c	1,600$80 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$80	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.04per pick	4cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc234…70febacked No	4c	1,569$68 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.34	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xfea2…581ebacked No	6c	1,559$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.02	24	4.2%1 W · 23 L	-3.5wins	-0.15per pick	19cpaid	-89.2%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3b06…bd19backed No	2c	1,553$29 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$29.43	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.3wins	+0.14per pick	41cpaid	+4.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed No	13c	1,538$202 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$201.58	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfcf2…a469backed No	16c	1,507$241 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$241.05	40	32.5%13 W · 27 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	33cpaid	-42.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa800…bd7abacked No	17c	1,504$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	48	31.3%15 W · 33 L	-2.2wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-47.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x983a…02adbacked No	7c	1,429$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.7wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf301…4ce1backed No	4c	1,413$62 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$62	21	33.3%7 W · 14 L	+1.3wins	+0.06per pick	27cpaid	-9.3%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0430…4b6ebacked No	1c	1,304$17 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$16.9	10	30%3 W · 7 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	33cpaid	-41.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe06f…6981backed No	17c	1,300$221 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$221	15	13.3%2 W · 13 L	-1.9wins	-0.13per pick	26cpaid	-71.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked No	2c	1,286$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-63%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3416…b842backed No	16c	1,284$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.6	7	28.6%2 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-60.1%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b1a…270cbacked No	8c	1,250$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.6wins	-0.07per pick	18cpaid	-70%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x11e1…4cc0backed No	2c	1,247$20 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20	8	25%2 W · 6 L	+0.3wins	+0.03per pick	22cpaid	-52%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event