Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x1edaa983170f8d4a1f3d5c8fd51d81fad747dcf1ceb38b0020bf5c274ee50262

Rebuilt 9 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Noof Yes, No
Resolved: Jan 10, 2026, ESTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $406,309
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $423,606

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $406,309 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 196 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x05ab…8145backed Yes	4c	13,838$535 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$535.13	85	32.9%28 W · 57 L	+1.9wins	+0.02per pick	31cpaid	-11.1%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd61b…0385backed Yes	15c	10,805$1,614 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,613.75	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.1wins	-0.01per pick	24cpaid	-62.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3013…e5b2backed Yes	7c	10,031$717 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$716.64	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+1.7wins	+0.16per pick	12cpaid	+54.4%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8c25…8d52backed Yes	0c	10,000$10 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$10	45	28.9%13 W · 32 L	+1.5wins	+0.03per pick	26cpaid	-18.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa8c6…c596backed Yes	12c	8,121$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.6wins	+0.15per pick	35cpaid	+9.7%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5bfb…1b77backed Yes	8c	7,720$638 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$637.58	17	11.8%2 W · 15 L	-2.1wins	-0.12per pick	24cpaid	-79.3%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1f25…21a4backed Yes	14c	7,388$1,000 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,000	15	40%6 W · 9 L	+0.9wins	+0.06per pick	34cpaid	+13.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc7eb…28a9backed Yes	15c	7,076$1,067 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,066.72	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.1wins	+0.12per pick	22cpaid	+28.5%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1d0d…9b6ebacked Yes	2c	6,214$141 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$140.92	237	7.2%17 W · 220 L	-4.2wins	-0.02per pick	9cpaid	-38.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x07f7…338bbacked Yes	24c	5,071$1,200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,200	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.24per pick	24cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd0b8…28a0backed Yes	18c	4,970$884 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$883.83	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.25per pick	25cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Yes	12c	4,650$548 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$547.5	61	16.4%10 W · 51 L	+1.4wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+95.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Yes	1c	4,499$37 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36.64	766	3.3%25 W · 741 L	-23.5wins	-0.03per pick	6cpaid	-75.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x90ed…b5bcbacked Yes	11c	4,479$507 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$506.57	15	6.7%1 W · 14 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	16cpaid	-86.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc934…99e7backed Yes	13c	4,448$559 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$559.45	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-3.1wins	-0.07per pick	26cpaid	-4.4%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbfe6…bfacbacked Yes	12c	4,017$499 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$498.95	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xaaf7…2e27backed Yes	1c	4,008$21 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$20.9	166	2.4%4 W · 162 L	+1.1wins	+0.01per pick	2cpaid	-14.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x468f…5f3dbacked Yes	13c	3,813$495 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$495	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x741b…d021backed Yes	11c	3,624$383 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$382.91	37	35.1%13 W · 24 L	+2.0wins	+0.05per pick	30cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xd444…67d6backed Yes	12c	3,348$399 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$399.32	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-0.3wins	-0.03per pick	14cpaid	-76.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4327…de99backed Yes	12c	3,000$360 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$360	5	20%1 W · 4 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	13cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7054…82b8backed Yes	13c	2,749$350 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$350	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.0wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-66.6%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes	18c	2,727$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.3wins	-0.10per pick	25cpaid	-64.1%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfa15…3963backed Yes	1c	2,540$22 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$21.62	12	16.7%2 W · 10 L	-0.5wins	-0.05per pick	21cpaid	-61.3%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f4a…7c9fbacked Yes	12c	2,495$305 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.46	23	39.1%9 W · 14 L	+1.2wins	+0.05per pick	34cpaid	-29%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0x64e2…3babbacked Yes	20c	2,487$500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$500	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.6wins	-0.30per pick	30cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5f45…a77abacked No	75c	2,406$1,804 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$601.39	48	47.9%23 W · 25 L	-0.6wins	-0.01per pick	49cpaid	-4.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc412…053fbacked Yes	13c	2,350$306 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$305.5	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.5wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x425e…b2fabacked Yes	11c	2,339$257 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$257.26	9	22.2%2 W · 7 L	-0.2wins	-0.03per pick	25cpaid	-52.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44f8…f560backed Yes	16c	2,259$357 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$357.28	21	42.9%9 W · 12 L	+1.2wins	+0.06per pick	37cpaid	-8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes	12c	2,209$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$272	87	39.1%34 W · 53 L	+3.5wins	+0.04per pick	35cpaid	+20.2%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Yes	12c	2,205$267 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$266.8	51	9.8%5 W · 46 L	-4.7wins	-0.09per pick	19cpaid	-78.3%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0xca8f…d963backed Yes	7c	2,144$147 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$147.21	328	3%10 W · 318 L	-3.0wins	-0.01per pick	4cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Yes	14c	2,138$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300.43	357	12.9%46 W · 311 L	-29.9wins	-0.08per pick	21cpaid	-55.3%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x4ca9…c3f5backed Yes	12c	2,040$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$244.4	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.8wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0580…edc5backed Yes	15c	2,035$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ad7…0971backed Yes	1c	2,035$12 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$11.84	19	0%0 W · 19 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	1cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6c67…21eebacked Yes	20c	1,982$400 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$400	34	11.8%4 W · 30 L	-3.7wins	-0.11per pick	23cpaid	-45.2%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1eab…4a74backed Yes	12c	1,950$234 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$234	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.5wins	-0.23per pick	23cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0fc9…851cbacked Yes	9c	1,915$181 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$180.96	20	45%9 W · 11 L	+1.4wins	+0.07per pick	38cpaid	+8%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3057…7a96backed Yes	13c	1,780$231 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$231.4	59	37.3%22 W · 37 L	-3.9wins	-0.07per pick	44cpaid	-10.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3e9…63d0backed No	79c	1,759$1,387 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$372	178	59.6%106 W · 72 L	+18.3wins	+0.10per pick	49cpaid	+21%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes	9c	1,737$151 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150.98	24	16.7%4 W · 20 L	-2.5wins	-0.10per pick	27cpaid	-69.4%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4c8…8618backed Yes	11c	1,570$166 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$166	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.7wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4d8f…6a69backed Yes	7c	1,515$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	10	40%4 W · 6 L	+2.1wins	+0.21per pick	19cpaid	+59.8%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0x8e12…0ea4backed Yes	10c	1,500$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.06per pick	6cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3252…81cfbacked Yes	7c	1,500$102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$102	37	32.4%12 W · 25 L	-1.8wins	-0.05per pick	37cpaid	-30.1%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba80…f5edbacked Yes	19c	1,454$272 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$271.8	4	25%1 W · 3 L	-0.1wins	-0.03per pick	28cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xecd7…30c5backed Yes	8c	1,365$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-0.3wins	-0.04per pick	18cpaid	-76.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe656…5e07backed Yes	10c	1,300$135 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$135	40	25%10 W · 30 L	-3.0wins	-0.07per pick	32cpaid	-52.3%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Yes	2c	1,262$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25.04	209	4.3%9 W · 200 L	-7.3wins	-0.04per pick	8cpaid	-73.5%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x869c…2483backed Yes	13c	1,223$159 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$159	18	33.3%6 W · 12 L	-3.2wins	-0.18per pick	51cpaid	-43.5%equal weight	42-0.08 edge/pick
0x04f1…b550backed Yes	17c	1,187$199 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$198.95	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	+0.7wins	+0.06per pick	21cpaid	-10.5%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x80e4…dc76backed Yes	13c	1,169$154 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$154.29	41	46.3%19 W · 22 L	+1.7wins	+0.04per pick	42cpaid	-9.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0xefff…bb1abacked Yes	18c	1,117$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.3wins	+0.08per pick	42cpaid	-27%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f5c…bb60backed Yes	11c	1,113$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.42	22	50%11 W · 11 L	+3.7wins	+0.17per pick	33cpaid	+148.2%equal weight	59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1a47…846fbacked Yes	11c	1,100$121 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$121	24	20.8%5 W · 19 L	+0.6wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-26.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2796…2aedbacked Yes	9c	1,080$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	15	26.7%4 W · 11 L	-0.3wins	-0.02per pick	28cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1b…5f4cbacked No	78c	1,016$791 in	Won — open this pick on its own page	+$225.74	25	60%15 W · 10 L	-0.6wins	-0.03per pick	63cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0518…d205backed Yes	20c	1,012$206 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$206.2	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.5wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd493…7f04backed Yes	8c	1,000$77 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$77.3	119	0.8%1 W · 118 L	-4.7wins	-0.04per pick	5cpaid	-85.7%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	40	30%12 W · 28 L	-1.4wins	-0.04per pick	34cpaid	-29.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e98…6345backed Yes	8c	1,000$84 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$84.2	254	1.6%4 W · 250 L	-7.7wins	-0.03per pick	5cpaid	-71.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7402…6a0cbacked Yes	10c	1,000$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	74	39.2%29 W · 45 L	+1.9wins	+0.03per pick	37cpaid	+10.9%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7eb…009cbacked Yes	13c	1,000$130 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$130	7	42.9%3 W · 4 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-3.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x3cd3…da1ebacked Yes	11c	999.98$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	22	31.8%7 W · 15 L	+0.2wins	+0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x4002…d41ebacked Yes	11c	954.55$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.19per pick	19cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90e…2b7cbacked Yes	11c	920.97$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.2	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-2.5wins	-0.27per pick	38cpaid	-82.9%equal weight	42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2ae7…9603backed Yes	16c	911.88$146 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$145.9	66	56.1%37 W · 29 L	+9.0wins	+0.14per pick	42cpaid	+39.2%equal weight	61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8634…55cfbacked Yes	14c	857.14$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.4wins	-0.21per pick	21cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6885…03d1backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	7	14.3%1 W · 6 L	-1.2wins	-0.17per pick	31cpaid	-80.6%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0xafa6…0846backed Yes	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.8wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf91b…7f5fbacked Yes	11c	821.05$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.31	22	27.3%6 W · 16 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	27cpaid	-39.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x1319…d7dbbacked Yes	7c	800$56 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$56	9	55.6%5 W · 4 L	+1.7wins	+0.19per pick	37cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7d80…5cfcbacked Yes	13c	799.99$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104	9	44.4%4 W · 5 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	44cpaid	-30.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x63fb…b5a3backed Yes	13c	780.31$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.44	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.13per pick	13cpaid	-100%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xf25f…a9e9backed Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.4wins	+0.07per pick	43cpaid	+13.3%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3bf5…7a6abacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	11	27.3%3 W · 8 L	-0.2wins	-0.02per pick	29cpaid	-38.6%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Yes	13c	769.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	29	10.3%3 W · 26 L	-2.7wins	-0.09per pick	20cpaid	-63%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7418…6858backed Yes	16c	761.89$122 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$122.23	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.2wins	-0.16per pick	16cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…4d2dbacked Yes	9c	752.5$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$68.73	75	4%3 W · 72 L	-1.2wins	-0.02per pick	6cpaid	-52.9%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0e66…c5a2backed Yes	14c	705.66$99 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$98.79	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.6wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd160…0af6backed Yes	5c	700$36 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$36	49	24.5%12 W · 37 L	-0.1wins	0.00per pick	25cpaid	-11.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9dc2…0727backed Yes	10c	700$69 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$69	112	2.7%3 W · 109 L	-2.5wins	-0.02per pick	5cpaid	-65.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2340…5365backed Yes	21c	698.8$148 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b4b…b93cbacked Yes	12c	681.79$79 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$78.59	54	16.7%9 W · 45 L	-3.6wins	-0.07per pick	23cpaid	-51.2%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3a56…387cbacked Yes	12c	680.79$83 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$82.78	85	28.2%24 W · 61 L	-9.0wins	-0.11per pick	39cpaid	-45.9%equal weight	41-0.08 edge/pick
0x642f…d742backed Yes	12c	680.18$82 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$81.62	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+0.9wins	+0.23per pick	27cpaid	+24.9%equal weight	54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcb82…4bf9backed Yes	21c	674$142 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$141.54	24	25%6 W · 18 L	+0.5wins	+0.02per pick	23cpaid	+3.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1473…5cefbacked Yes	11c	672.82$74 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.01	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+0.6wins	+0.31per pick	19cpaid	+78.6%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe4c9…3477backed Yes	3c	668.97$19 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$19.4	11	36.4%4 W · 7 L	+1.5wins	+0.14per pick	22cpaid	+19.9%equal weight	55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1f18…0d6cbacked Yes	15c	660.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	6	50%3 W · 3 L	+0.6wins	+0.11per pick	39cpaid	-6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7495…26b5backed Yes	16c	639.88$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105	26	34.6%9 W · 17 L	-0.8wins	-0.03per pick	38cpaid	-17.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x948c…42eebacked Yes	12c	625$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$75	36	33.3%12 W · 24 L	-1.1wins	-0.03per pick	36cpaid	-26.7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe061…93f9backed Yes	8c	619.97$49 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49	134	3.7%5 W · 129 L	-1.7wins	-0.01per pick	5cpaid	-52.4%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb171…32f0backed Yes	10c	600$57 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$57	42	19%8 W · 34 L	-0.5wins	-0.01per pick	20cpaid	-26.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6c6e…9faebacked Yes	11c	554.55$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xc7c2…2f69backed Yes	9c	550$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.5	6	16.7%1 W · 5 L	+0.1wins	+0.02per pick	15cpaid	-70.2%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9b5e…7eb0backed Yes	18c	546.82$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	4	25%1 W · 3 L	+0.1wins	+0.04per pick	21cpaid	-55.4%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0x8cfa…b608backed Yes	13c	540$70 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$70.2	28	53.6%15 W · 13 L	+5.8wins	+0.21per pick	33cpaid	+340.2%equal weight	62+0.11 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event