Token Launches · resolved market
Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb4840e43bbe04f2c4526a1dc5cc67aed93f4d21e5bbdf429f22786883f2947ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,136,975
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,815,863
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,136,975 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 737 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6adc…bebabacked No | 9c | 264,185$24,965 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24,965.03 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfa15…3963backed No | 4c | 226,996$9,807 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,807.05 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 21cpaid | -61.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf74b…95cbbacked No | 4c | 173,693$7,501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,501.1 | 63 | 14.3%9 W · 54 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 12cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…0817backed No | 9c | 162,232$13,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,999.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f4a…7c9fbacked No | 5c | 157,520$8,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,152.09 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -29%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe270…10b5backed No | 5c | 100,000$4,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,780 | 66 | 34.8%23 W · 43 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ed…b5bcbacked No | 7c | 94,602$6,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,472.16 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 16cpaid | -86.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc559…e384backed No | 4c | 79,854$3,460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,460 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4cc2…9271backed No | 16c | 68,703$11,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,082.16 | 47 | 31.9%15 W · 32 L | -5.0wins | -0.11per pick | 43cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x37f9…cc18backed No | 8c | 60,000$4,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,800 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.5wins | -0.17per pick | 28cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab51…2473backed No | 4c | 50,654$1,816 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,815.91 | 134 | 22.4%30 W · 104 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 13cpaid | +175.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x75b0…b60abacked No | 4c | 50,000$1,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.49 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cb1…50ffbacked No | 10c | 43,594$4,247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,247.35 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -1.1wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 0c | 40,200$184 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$184.4 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2f6d…4ad5backed No | 8c | 37,471$2,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,889.84 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.7wins | +0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +65.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa920…be41backed No | 10c | 34,680$3,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,624.24 | 30 | 0%0 W · 30 L | -3.3wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0805…31c0backed No | 8c | 32,941$2,543 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,543.35 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -46%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed No | 7c | 30,206$2,158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,158.41 | 125 | 28%35 W · 90 L | +7.4wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9411…63c7backed No | 8c | 30,000$2,338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,338.1 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d1d…256abacked No | 8c | 25,200$1,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,910 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…0385backed No | 4c | 24,469$976 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$976.19 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x075a…fb98backed No | 0c | 22,540$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 7cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa800…bd7abacked No | 8c | 22,013$1,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,861 | 48 | 31.3%15 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa96c…d1c7backed No | 3c | 21,632$685 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.92 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bfb…1b77backed No | 8c | 20,200$1,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,552 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.1wins | -0.12per pick | 24cpaid | -79.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 9c | 20,000$1,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,800 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8193…96f7backed No | 5c | 20,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.15per pick | 15cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xac9b…d4c5backed No | 8c | 20,000$1,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,600 | 128 | 40.6%52 W · 76 L | +13.8wins | +0.11per pick | 30cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x3fd0…047fbacked No | 6c | 20,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,199.98 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae0f…f647backed No | 10c | 18,271$1,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,827.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 47cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…4bb0backed No | 9c | 18,000$1,680 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,680 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 9c | 17,000$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31f1…b4fbbacked No | 1c | 16,949$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf59…fa2fbacked No | 1c | 15,960$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.96 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 6cpaid | +45.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x59e4…3130backed No | 2c | 15,910$260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$260.17 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 29cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f92…36d7backed No | 1c | 15,849$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5858…fbbfbacked No | 5c | 15,000$785 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$785.5 | 32 | 43.8%14 W · 18 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d1…1a38backed No | 7c | 15,000$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.17per pick | 8cpaid | +74.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd71f…31bdbacked No | 7c | 15,000$1,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,050 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdff5…0bcebacked No | 1c | 14,999$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.21 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x508a…16eabacked No | 0c | 14,907$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ec9…a51ebacked No | 2c | 14,511$362 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.83 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4c…324dbacked No | 7c | 14,000$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$980 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1313…85d8backed No | 5c | 13,519$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa6…2e8cbacked No | 0c | 13,011$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 22cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60d1…0c8fbacked No | 9c | 12,767$1,093 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,093.11 | 155 | 39.4%61 W · 94 L | +6.0wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc76…7842backed No | 16c | 12,737$1,998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,997.99 | 51 | 35.3%18 W · 33 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 28cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0f6…f699backed No | 10c | 12,556$1,203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,203.12 | 238 | 41.2%98 W · 140 L | +25.1wins | +0.11per pick | 31cpaid | +30.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0d…9b6ebacked No | 1c | 12,533$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94 | 237 | 7.2%17 W · 220 L | -4.2wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d1b…f055backed No | 2c | 12,271$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -1.9wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 5c | 11,960$564 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$564.47 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa958…fecfbacked No | 8c | 11,959$950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$949.68 | 28 | 10.7%3 W · 25 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -73.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed No | 5c | 11,836$554 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$553.78 | 94 | 22.3%21 W · 73 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 23cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d61…3fb9backed No | 8c | 11,781$998 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$997.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8a7…6fa3backed No | 12c | 11,311$1,344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,344.26 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc88…c3e6backed No | 9c | 11,111$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ea…ff09backed No | 0c | 11,085$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…9937backed No | 2c | 10,671$265 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$264.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb99…4daebacked No | 7c | 10,541$726 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$725.77 | 92 | 22.8%21 W · 71 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 19cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2441…639dbacked No | 0c | 10,489$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x076c…4e7bbacked No | 1c | 10,244$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.22 | 64 | 31.3%20 W · 44 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…a414backed No | 7c | 10,000$700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$700 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9236…8ccdbacked No | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x23f4…c234backed No | 12c | 10,000$1,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,200 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x839c…dcc6backed No | 8c | 10,000$800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$800 | 13 | 0%0 W · 13 L | -3.4wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x197c…9b94backed No | 6c | 10,000$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 130 | 23.8%31 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9936…c1a9backed No | 17c | 9,990$1,698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,698.3 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3565…8193backed No | 5c | 9,883$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$489.24 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -3.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…f77bbacked No | 5c | 9,756$440 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$440 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7a…df1bbacked No | 0c | 9,250$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.5 | 46 | 2.2%1 W · 45 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -80.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4745…f586backed No | 9c | 9,221$830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$829.91 | 23 | 17.4%4 W · 19 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 24cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf90b…cb6cbacked No | 10c | 8,859$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$894.15 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc67e…b892backed No | 19c | 8,802$1,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,700 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1bc…f954backed No | 8c | 8,800$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$704 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4327…de99backed No | 6c | 8,780$527 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$526.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 13cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf67f…31cfbacked No | 21c | 8,101$1,720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,720.16 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1153…8e32backed No | 1c | 8,038$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.44 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x105a…50ddbacked No | 7c | 7,855$514 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$514.14 | 29 | 17.2%5 W · 24 L | -2.0wins | -0.07per pick | 24cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3841…cd5cbacked No | 12c | 7,715$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc05…f600backed No | 5c | 7,650$388 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$388 | 84 | 21.4%18 W · 66 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | +37%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6c9f…b1e2backed No | 15c | 7,622$1,127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,127.05 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed No | 10c | 7,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.99 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc412…053fbacked No | 14c | 7,393$1,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008.95 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e67…f4a7backed No | 7c | 7,143$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.01 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7b…4416backed No | 7c | 7,038$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.65 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1986…cf16backed No | 5c | 6,944$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.26 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6ec5…257ebacked No | 3c | 6,678$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x00ee…1128backed No | 0c | 6,500$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5d48…d3ddbacked No | 1c | 6,359$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.04 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc7…c424backed No | 9c | 6,080$536 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$536.49 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -70.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6911…947cbacked No | 11c | 6,027$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…248ebacked No | 7c | 6,000$420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$420 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaaf7…2e27backed No | 0c | 5,896$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.99 | 166 | 2.4%4 W · 162 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0106…12a9backed No | 0c | 5,860$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.44 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked No | 3c | 5,710$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.97 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed No | 14c | 5,705$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.97 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9b85…cd3abacked No | 6c | 5,604$336 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$336.26 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfea2…581ebacked No | 4c | 5,494$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.91 | 24 | 4.2%1 W · 23 L | -3.5wins | -0.15per pick | 19cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb50…8cbabacked No | 8c | 5,463$447 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 42cpaid | -72.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…b2fabacked No | 6c | 5,400$324 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$324 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.