Token Launches · resolved market
Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x85418e54506dce4abf065d34e3b38a16168f43b5960aea4d8ff8e9113cd0530b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $828,372
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $783,560
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $828,372 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 518 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0ad7…0971backed Yes | 0c | 72,925$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.32 | 19 | 0%0 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f1…c334backed Yes | 1c | 57,831$329 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$328.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.29per pick | 51cpaid | +34.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x05ab…8145backed Yes | 27c | 41,899$11,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,375.9 | 85 | 32.9%28 W · 57 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x396f…7f78backed Yes | 0c | 30,141$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.69 | 26 | 23.1%6 W · 20 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa643…d43dbacked Yes | 14c | 17,000$2,420 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,420 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa43f…fc07backed Yes | 1c | 12,524$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.23 | 57 | 12.3%7 W · 50 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7758…7125backed Yes | 1c | 12,321$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.01 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…80e6backed No | 56c | 11,483$6,374 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,108.7 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34ab…840ebacked Yes | 41c | 11,453$4,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,666.72 | 24 | 75%18 W · 6 L | +7.3wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xf164…97d4backed Yes | 1c | 10,372$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 15cpaid | +94.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ac8…a414backed Yes | 0c | 10,000$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.09per pick | 20cpaid | -80.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5972…cfa6backed Yes | 5c | 10,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.32per pick | 18cpaid | +81%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e4…bf9dbacked Yes | 15c | 10,000$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,499.99 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 30cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1bc3…8548backed Yes | 5c | 9,122$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 33 | 30.3%10 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f45…a77abacked No | 44c | 9,000$3,980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,019.99 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x828d…c9a5backed Yes | 38c | 9,000$3,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,399.99 | 28 | 42.9%12 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +33.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbbec…dcbdbacked Yes | 18c | 8,432$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,490 | 24 | 16.7%4 W · 20 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -69.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x78a8…9850backed Yes | 14c | 7,604$1,099 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,099.18 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x543b…4bb0backed Yes | 16c | 6,319$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 19cpaid | -5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8c35…370abacked Yes | 27c | 5,989$1,613 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,612.56 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -3.0wins | -0.18per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe78f…727dbacked Yes | 35c | 4,789$1,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,676.31 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0b48…9e7abacked Yes | 6c | 4,500$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | +3.0wins | +0.11per pick | 25cpaid | +83.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd189…b261backed Yes | 37c | 4,322$1,606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,606.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd22…9ef1backed Yes | 6c | 4,153$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.9 | 27 | 14.8%4 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 23cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f25…21a4backed Yes | 48c | 4,151$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9eac…7cdcbacked No | 64c | 4,068$2,608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,459.24 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed3…aa68backed Yes | 2c | 3,850$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.99 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.0wins | -0.13per pick | 25cpaid | -81.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…a3d6backed No | 56c | 3,809$2,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.67 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +1.9wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76bd…f258backed Yes | 46c | 3,553$1,622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,621.51 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.14per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…15bfbacked No | 75c | 3,500$2,625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$875 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 61cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40d4…fe90backed Yes | 24c | 3,255$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ac7…e0efbacked Yes | 23c | 3,222$743 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$743.31 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0694…4a4ebacked No | 64c | 3,122$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,136.73 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd61b…0385backed No | 65c | 3,104$2,028 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,076.61 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -62.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc694…1171backed Yes | 10c | 3,001$297 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$297 | 71 | 23.9%17 W · 54 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked Yes | 15c | 3,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$449.69 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x08a0…11f9backed Yes | 18c | 2,998$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$545.22 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -1.9wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x02b1…c764backed Yes | 16c | 2,970$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486.41 | 17 | 23.5%4 W · 13 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 34cpaid | -57.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7054…82b8backed Yes | 51c | 2,938$1,486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,486.13 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 23cpaid | -66.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1a47…846fbacked Yes | 7c | 2,835$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.27 | 24 | 20.8%5 W · 19 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed Yes | 30c | 2,645$783 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.5 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6f58…3ef4backed Yes | 4c | 2,633$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1a…270cbacked Yes | 4c | 2,632$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 18cpaid | -70%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc94b…217ebacked Yes | 9c | 2,563$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$232.17 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.7wins | +0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -28.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c25…8d52backed Yes | 22c | 2,545$550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$550 | 45 | 28.9%13 W · 32 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce1d…1b9bbacked No | 62c | 2,500$1,550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$949.99 | 100 | 45%45 W · 55 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd76f…0767backed No | 61c | 2,475$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.52 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -2.2wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xad23…47c4backed No | 60c | 2,453$1,483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$970.78 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +11.1wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe058…d73ebacked No | 64c | 2,438$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$877.47 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc445…552cbacked Yes | 41c | 2,419$990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.76 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 54cpaid | +65.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Yes | 18c | 2,314$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.07 | 357 | 12.9%46 W · 311 L | -29.9wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd7b0…bd69backed Yes | 58c | 2,265$1,312 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,311.71 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7205…ffd4backed No | 70c | 2,240$1,558 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.6 | 74 | 31.1%23 W · 51 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec59…bb35backed No | 61c | 2,170$1,329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$840.4 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -54.9%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ca…bcbdbacked Yes | 11c | 2,156$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.01 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +2.0wins | +0.20per pick | 30cpaid | +41.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x97e5…d1f0backed Yes | 18c | 2,089$384 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.41per pick | 34cpaid | +101.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed No | 78c | 2,044$1,602 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442.57 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3013…e5b2backed Yes | 14c | 2,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +1.7wins | +0.16per pick | 12cpaid | +54.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4c88…9a3cbacked Yes | 2c | 1,905$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 10cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd94…6b1ebacked Yes | 27c | 1,854$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2ed…ffc2backed Yes | 27c | 1,852$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x74c1…ab9bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,803$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400b…8458backed No | 77c | 1,768$1,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$402 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.27per pick | 56cpaid | -57.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa79d…5feebacked Yes | 11c | 1,750$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c58…ec18backed No | 42c | 1,744$733 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,011.64 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8ebf…83cebacked No | 77c | 1,700$1,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.9 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8624…b484backed Yes | 30c | 1,684$505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$505.2 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…12ffbacked Yes | 4c | 1,579$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 9 | 0%0 W · 9 L | -1.9wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcc29…7774backed No | 70c | 1,570$1,100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470.17 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3252…81cfbacked Yes | 34c | 1,460$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.8 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -1.8wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8092…b8a2backed Yes | 20c | 1,458$291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.62 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x317e…b4f0backed Yes | 18c | 1,414$249 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.63 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Yes | 6c | 1,391$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 209 | 4.3%9 W · 200 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 8cpaid | -73.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce61…8ef6backed Yes | 23c | 1,299$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 38 | 23.7%9 W · 29 L | -4.5wins | -0.12per pick | 36cpaid | -38.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c9…975ebacked Yes | 25c | 1,297$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$327.36 | 72 | 8.3%6 W · 66 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 17cpaid | -69.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xefe8…fe1abacked Yes | 27c | 1,250$341 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$340.98 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.4wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x19ff…5f1dbacked No | 80c | 1,249$999 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.87 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a5a…779cbacked Yes | 29c | 1,227$356 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$355.83 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 36cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd3…4191backed No | 61c | 1,207$731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$475.37 | 72 | 31.9%23 W · 49 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Yes | 34c | 1,201$407 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.21 | 51 | 9.8%5 W · 46 L | -4.7wins | -0.09per pick | 19cpaid | -78.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe492…fe1bbacked No | 51c | 1,200$610 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$590 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.11per pick | 31cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d59…bdf3backed Yes | 32c | 1,199$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.41 | 87 | 39.1%34 W · 53 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x425e…b2fabacked Yes | 8c | 1,187$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -52.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 10c | 1,167$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.49 | 56 | 23.2%13 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa095…66bcbacked Yes | 6c | 1,163$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.71 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +158.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b23…0a3cbacked Yes | 25c | 1,136$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3578…804fbacked No | 68c | 1,125$760 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$364.66 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.17per pick | 40cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Yes | 2c | 1,100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.91 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -12%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c3…5373backed Yes | 13c | 1,100$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.2 | 39 | 17.9%7 W · 32 L | -5.1wins | -0.13per pick | 31cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…9937backed No | 55c | 1,091$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490.91 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -57.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf869…8be1backed Yes | 2c | 1,063$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdf2…23e3backed Yes | 48c | 1,033$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 25cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad4…3d8cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,030$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.5 | 147 | 32%47 W · 100 L | +12.7wins | +0.09per pick | 23cpaid | +44%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa2ff…772cbacked Yes | 45c | 1,020$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.8 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe446…dd57backed Yes | 17c | 1,006$172 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$172.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.21per pick | 46cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b14…5d9cbacked Yes | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | +2.4wins | +0.06per pick | 34cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe6…9b73backed Yes | 15c | 1,000$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b0b…5e43backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 28cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6041…20ebbacked Yes | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -73.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e4c…de5bbacked Yes | 27c | 1,000$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.08 | 28 | 28.6%8 W · 20 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Over $90M committed to the Ranger public sale?this page
- Over $100M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $120M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $140M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $15M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $160M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $180M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $200M committed to the Ranger public sale?No won
- Over $20M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $30M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
- Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.