TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Saint Louis Billikens vs. Michigan Wolverines

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Michigan Wolverinesof Saint Louis Billikens, Michigan Wolverines
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$4,423,110

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,423,110 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 288 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe749…f660backed Saint Louis Billikens13c1,337,414$173,813 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$173,812.56540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-26%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x07b8…8e25backed Saint Louis Billikens12c499,888$59,987 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59,986.574334.9%15 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick35cpaid-18.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x03e8…1697backed Saint Louis Billikens12c300,000$36,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,0001421.4%3 W · 11 L-3.5wins-0.25per pick46cpaid-60.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcf6c…7e66backed Saint Louis Billikens12c167,307$20,077 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,076.835541.8%23 W · 32 L-1.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Saint Louis Billikens0c146,574$147 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$146.572222.7%5 W · 17 L-3.0wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-59.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xc58a…b8f8backed Saint Louis Billikens0c129,264$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$310.424946.9%23 W · 26 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-8.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc8ab…6418backed Saint Louis Billikens11c69,642$7,441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,441.259839.8%39 W · 59 L+0.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-18.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1327…ac1cbacked Saint Louis Billikens13c62,057$7,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,776.8410%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x8bd8…f306backed Saint Louis Billikens0c60,000$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-29.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3cf…0ebdbacked Saint Louis Billikens9c57,714$5,012 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,011.634343.4%149 W · 194 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+10.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3348…c819backed Saint Louis Billikens12c50,000$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,0001225%3 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-42.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Saint Louis Billikens12c45,727$5,487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,487.281,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e7…b14fbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c40,867$4,953 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,953.1539454.6%215 W · 179 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf28e…cab2backed Saint Louis Billikens5c40,037$2,098 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,098.4921636.1%78 W · 138 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8be8…0425backed Saint Louis Billikens12c37,708$4,525 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,525.014240.5%17 W · 25 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick37cpaid-7.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Saint Louis Billikens8c35,553$2,871 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,871.065,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Saint Louis Billikens13c29,881$3,885 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,884.561,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6a7e…1cc7backed Saint Louis Billikens12c27,672$3,321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,320.684628.3%13 W · 33 L-2.3wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-44.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x22e4…ef1cbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c25,000$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0001540%6 W · 9 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-20.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x28b3…30c8backed Saint Louis Billikens12c20,000$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,400333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-51.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f8b…01aabacked Saint Louis Billikens12c19,992$2,399 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,399.044436.4%16 W · 28 L+1.2wins+0.03per pick34cpaid-11.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaa59…75ecbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c18,855$2,263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,262.5914346.9%67 W · 76 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xccf1…25a0backed Saint Louis Billikens14c17,721$2,520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,520.0444146.5%205 W · 236 L+7.5wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8188…b171backed Saint Louis Billikens12c16,045$1,893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,892.685933.9%20 W · 39 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Saint Louis Billikens11c15,719$1,689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.6112,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Saint Louis Billikens9c12,849$1,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,141.175,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc50f…3ad3backed Saint Louis Billikens13c12,286$1,597 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,597.24656.5%26 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x223f…2050backed Saint Louis Billikens13c11,323$1,424 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,423.6970936.1%256 W · 453 L-27.3wins-0.04per pick40cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Saint Louis Billikens12c10,820$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.0733438.9%130 W · 204 L-16.2wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-23.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0206…479fbacked Saint Louis Billikens11c10,396$1,144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,143.56250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-23.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecb1…5da3backed Saint Louis Billikens12c10,000$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.996643.9%29 W · 37 L+2.6wins+0.04per pick40cpaid-5.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbca6…73e3backed Saint Louis Billikens0c9,167$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.338946.1%41 W · 48 L+1.5wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Saint Louis Billikens0c8,914$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.853993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe7ca…a175backed Saint Louis Billikens7c8,865$659 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.210543.8%46 W · 59 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ada…2f28backed Saint Louis Billikens1c8,782$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.620548.8%100 W · 105 L+13.1wins+0.06per pick42cpaid+35.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x26eb…c940backed Saint Louis Billikens12c8,176$982 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$982.481442.9%6 W · 8 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick32cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Saint Louis Billikens10c7,385$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$713.351,91049.6%947 W · 963 L+30.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Saint Louis Billikens15c7,078$1,027 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,027.092,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Saint Louis Billikens9c6,713$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$632.821,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c60…b19cbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c6,498$758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$758.49520%1 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick18cpaid-63%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe283…7190backed Saint Louis Billikens7c6,485$483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$482.91118.2%2 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.03per pick21cpaid+31.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbf32…d1f2backed Saint Louis Billikens3c5,997$187 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.5110%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xedc8…3296backed Saint Louis Billikens13c5,983$778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$777.82128.6%6 W · 15 L-3.3wins-0.16per pick44cpaid-41.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xd817…ac33backed Saint Louis Billikens12c5,592$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6718444%37 W · 47 L-1.3wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-12.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb752…cabcbacked Saint Louis Billikens11c5,510$606 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$606.444454.5%24 W · 20 L+5.1wins+0.12per pick43cpaid+18.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x46fb…2b75backed Saint Louis Billikens11c5,500$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6253138.7%12 W · 19 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-18.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb43…3c74backed Saint Louis Billikens6c5,470$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.2128539.6%113 W · 172 L-14.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb8a7…9e97backed Saint Louis Billikens13c5,287$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$687.2710%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x067f…e041backed Saint Louis Billikens7c5,268$342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$342.4330139.2%118 W · 183 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x85b9…906dbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46bc…2d14backed Saint Louis Billikens7c5,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x030e…3b5abacked Saint Louis Billikens12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x21c1…692cbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c5,000$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$600922.2%2 W · 7 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbee0…aa9fbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c4,992$599 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5997643.4%33 W · 43 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf21…be19backed Saint Louis Billikens11c4,681$524 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$524.3920%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Saint Louis Billikens9c4,648$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$398.383,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb6ae…4df8backed Saint Louis Billikens12c4,513$542 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541.5617643.8%77 W · 99 L-8.2wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-8.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5d63…2cbfbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c4,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$540633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-39.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f8d…6790backed Saint Louis Billikens12c4,500$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5404535.6%16 W · 29 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa84d…74a8backed Saint Louis Billikens11c4,371$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.178444%37 W · 47 L+0.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefa5…b417backed Saint Louis Billikens12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4801618.8%3 W · 13 L-2.2wins-0.13per pick32cpaid-58.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf295…508fbacked Saint Louis Billikens13c4,000$520 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5202548%12 W · 13 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x707e…a614backed Saint Louis Billikens12c4,000$480 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfd08…2d36backed Saint Louis Billikens1c4,000$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3820%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9747…478dbacked Saint Louis Billikens14c3,996$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$539.5510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc6ae…afe9backed Saint Louis Billikens13c3,831$498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$498.029711.3%11 W · 86 L-3.7wins-0.04per pick15cpaid-41.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ecd…0787backed Saint Louis Billikens1c3,817$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.082213.6%3 W · 19 L-4.1wins-0.18per pick32cpaid-65.4%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed Saint Louis Billikens9c3,693$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.6281528.8%235 W · 580 L-19.9wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Saint Louis Billikens15c3,598$539 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$538.9661446.1%283 W · 331 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-17.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x14ac…dd9fbacked Saint Louis Billikens13c3,566$455 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.474221.4%9 W · 33 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-38%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7592…f661backed Saint Louis Billikens5c3,335$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.43647.2%17 W · 19 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-14.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed Saint Louis Billikens15c3,265$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.9225145.8%115 W · 136 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb000…bbe6backed Saint Louis Billikens10c3,190$319 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$318.993215.6%5 W · 27 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick18cpaid-42.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x83e4…757dbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c3,176$381 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$381.151637.5%6 W · 10 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick33cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe8e6…b2eabacked Saint Louis Billikens11c3,022$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2037…473dbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c3,021$363 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.532425%6 W · 18 L-4.1wins-0.17per pick42cpaid-62.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x94a5…4eb8backed Saint Louis Billikens12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36013447%63 W · 71 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x76e2…2e18backed Saint Louis Billikens12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x64a8…7bc3backed Saint Louis Billikens13c3,000$390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39017062.9%107 W · 63 L-9.0wins-0.05per pick68cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7681…ac03backed Saint Louis Billikens12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36042934.3%147 W · 282 L+21.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d58…1aeabacked Saint Louis Billikens8c3,000$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2314654.3%25 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x878d…1a9bbacked Saint Louis Billikens12c3,000$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360728.6%2 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-41.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5a5d…909abacked Saint Louis Billikens10c3,000$295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Saint Louis Billikens6c2,994$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$179.581,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x17bf…5a53backed Saint Louis Billikens10c2,911$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.977812.8%10 W · 68 L-17.2wins-0.22per pick35cpaid-78.6%equal weight31-0.17 edge/pick
0x3f08…ed44backed Saint Louis Billikens12c2,887$334 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$334.146446.8%217 W · 247 L+6.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5dd8…858ebacked Saint Louis Billikens5c2,872$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.69619.8%6 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-47.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x095e…4965backed Saint Louis Billikens6c2,236$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.81616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-55.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3c83…cf0abacked Saint Louis Billikens12c2,200$264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26413343.6%58 W · 75 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa010…112ebacked Saint Louis Billikens11c2,200$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.240%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf2dc…67d0backed Saint Louis Billikens12c2,152$258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1df2…89a0backed Saint Louis Billikens5c2,005$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3718548.6%90 W · 95 L+5.4wins+0.03per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Saint Louis Billikens7c2,000$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1322429.2%7 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.13per pick42cpaid-39.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x88aa…ea6fbacked Saint Louis Billikens7c2,000$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x691a…d113backed Saint Louis Billikens8c1,995$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.6422043.2%95 W · 125 L-0.6wins0.00per pick43cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8b17…cb13backed Saint Louis Billikens13c1,992$259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$258.97616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.24per pick40cpaid-66.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed Saint Louis Billikens13c1,978$253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.581,15248.9%563 W · 589 L+3.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbf8b…8272backed Saint Louis Billikens10c1,862$186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186.2510%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe2e1…c20abacked Saint Louis Billikens15c1,614$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.1139742.8%170 W · 227 L-15.2wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-22.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec7…1e38backed Saint Louis Billikens13c1,609$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209.175933.9%20 W · 39 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-21.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.