TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x88aa…ea6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
94
Categories scored
9
Categories below 50
5

Best Category: Cricket, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Cricket at 60 out of 100; worst Stocks at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT3148.4%15 W · 16 L+4.9wins+0.16per pick32cpaid+27.7%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Cricket — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$29
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$68Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$68
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$14.5
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$71Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+181.7%+$129
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Indian Premier League: Punjab Kings vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+200.4%+$58.15
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Gujarat Titansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+72.6%+$677.92
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$72
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Punjab Kingsbacked Punjab Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$1,903Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$1,435.39
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$1,473Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+169.5%+$2,495.32
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$52Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$148
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Gujarat Titans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$874Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$874.06
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$230Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+150%+$344.91
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$395Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$350.01
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Delhi Capitalsbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$1,521Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$2,378.9
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Punjab Kingsbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.72
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bangalore vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$1,188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,187.67
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$857Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$1,006.21
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Kolkata Knight Riders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$62
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$70
Indian Premier League: Royal Challengers Bengaluru vs Sunrisers Hyderabadbacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-10.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in July?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.1
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,500 by end of June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle over $90 on the final trading day of June 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+150%+$60
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,600 in June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Will Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$43
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$706Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+37%+$261.22
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $4,300 by end of June?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 10, 2026, EDT+173.4%+$302.55
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,300 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$250Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$250.28
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 29?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.5
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $72 in May?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$8,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+150%+$12,000
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 26?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$180Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$179.83
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$146Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$54
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on May 7?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$51.2
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?backed Up · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$4.15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$303Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+378.9%+$1,147.21
Gold (XAUUSD) Up or Down on April 14?backed Down · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.75
Will Crude Oil (CL) settle at $90+ in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$178Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$72.5
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Silver (SI) hit (LOW) $70 by end of February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$107.5
Will Silver (SI) settle over $100 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$160Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$160.02
Will Silver (SI) settle over $120 on the final trading day of January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$29.2
All 23 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT2268.2%15 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.11per pick58cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$158Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$42.11
Cap FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$39Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 27, 2026, EDT+38%+$14.98
Over $100M committed to the Printr public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$28
Billions FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$173.04
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$1,539Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$460.22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$1.5B one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$611Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$689
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+350.5%+$36.59
Genius FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$44
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$216Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$215.99
EdgeX FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+27.4%+$43
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+198.5%+$99.75
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$105Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.95
Over $1M committed to the Cambria public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$48
Aztec FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST+28.2%+$55
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+143.9%+$29.5
Immunefi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST+44.9%+$62
Fogo FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST+40.8%+$69.6
Over $40M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$280Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST+78.6%+$220
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$445Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+34.8%+$155
HumidiFi FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 10, 2025, EST-100%-$60
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$74.1
All 22 picks, newest first.
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-65.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick33cpaid-66.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.5wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Stocks — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+67.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.21
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+235.6%+$140.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.20per pick80cpaid+25.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$81Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+25.1%+$20.26
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.