Token Launches · resolved market
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x0a5e3143e3638b0d7fdf15dab6a4b86be864e0659b83dd870405d6db03c7822f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $210,057
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $217,058
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $210,057 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 130 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b6c…70a8backed Yes | 0c | 85,614$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.61 | 23 | 8.7%2 W · 21 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 7cpaid | -69.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 64c | 9,999$6,438 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,438.21 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed No | 29c | 6,744$1,985 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,758.73 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a61…af24backed Yes | 17c | 4,419$751 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$751.22 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 19cpaid | +128.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…b4f5backed Yes | 54c | 4,086$2,207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,207.4 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fdb…38e1backed Yes | 70c | 2,985$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.49 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 45c | 2,500$1,130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.99 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3257…2f3bbacked No | 72c | 2,220$1,604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$615.86 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 31c | 2,056$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.32 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…ec01backed Yes | 67c | 1,784$1,188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,187.75 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 47c | 1,773$841 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$931.28 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f28…ba03backed Yes | 73c | 1,748$1,273 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,273.05 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 59cpaid | +74.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed Yes | 49c | 1,728$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed Yes | 67c | 1,440$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$957.88 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x94df…2dcebacked Yes | 69c | 1,183$817 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$816.79 | 54 | 59.3%32 W · 22 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7fb…eca8backed Yes | 74c | 1,053$774 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$774.41 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 34c | 1,021$346 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.74 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b23…4528backed Yes | 64c | 1,000$640 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$640 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +5.9wins | +0.13per pick | 48cpaid | +53.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked No | 16c | 998.67$160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.88 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…d8febacked Yes | 64c | 946.2$602 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.97 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 47c | 934.79$437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.56 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf07…c770backed Yes | 6c | 849.15$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.95 | 36 | 36.1%13 W · 23 L | +3.3wins | +0.09per pick | 27cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed No | 23c | 828.75$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$636.95 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd7ee…9597backed No | 12c | 818.87$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$722.64 | 162 | 47.5%77 W · 85 L | +13.9wins | +0.09per pick | 39cpaid | +35.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x479f…5bfcbacked No | 29c | 805.84$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.57 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.25per pick | 25cpaid | +46.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…ebaebacked No | 42c | 750.4$312 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$438.47 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…6e10backed No | 29c | 678.15$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.15 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x61b9…20a3backed Yes | 31c | 655.71$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.45 | 41 | 22%9 W · 32 L | -3.5wins | -0.09per pick | 31cpaid | -53.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…62c2backed No | 72c | 640.05$463 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.84 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…fc0bbacked Yes | 75c | 639.18$482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.33 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…30c7backed Yes | 75c | 621.42$468 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$467.93 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe75e…81e2backed No | 36c | 570.91$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$363.25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99bc…4f35backed Yes | 24c | 541.76$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.27 | 254 | 22%56 W · 198 L | -9.0wins | -0.04per pick | 26cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x25ab…1072backed No | 49c | 538.11$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$271.95 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.22per pick | 28cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x102b…a7acbacked Yes | 18c | 528.11$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 22c | 511.99$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.42 | 154 | 1.9%3 W · 151 L | -5.3wins | -0.03per pick | 5cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda57…e628backed No | 43c | 510.86$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.7 | 50 | 48%24 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 31c | 500.25$157 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.7 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36ce…daddbacked Yes | 50c | 500$251 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$251 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked No | 46c | 479.58$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.78 | 47 | 59.6%28 W · 19 L | +6.1wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed No | 34c | 440.87$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$291.09 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9868…907ebacked Yes | 25c | 424.8$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.7 | 33 | 15.2%5 W · 28 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x088d…773dbacked No | 74c | 370.74$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.65 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 55c | 365.02$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.93 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…a9fcbacked Yes | 64c | 311.39$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.4 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +2.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd05d…88c5backed Yes | 40c | 299.99$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e53…6ba9backed Yes | 71c | 299.15$211 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$211.25 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88aa…ea6fbacked Yes | 79c | 274.99$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.99 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 58cpaid | +23.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed Yes | 55c | 259.69$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.97 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe172…5483backed No | 44c | 244.42$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$137.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +89.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b93…b57cbacked No | 36c | 231.32$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.75 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +180.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf625…9d5dbacked No | 56c | 228.92$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.31 | 52 | 19.2%10 W · 42 L | -2.0wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -50.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbcb4…1231backed Yes | 38c | 223.77$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.64 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…90dcbacked No | 32c | 216.41$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$147.79 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 13c | 210$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.3 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked Yes | 52c | 208.28$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.35 | 333 | 29.7%99 W · 234 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed No | 21c | 207$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.38 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…8858backed Yes | 79c | 206.2$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$163.91 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…40d2backed Yes | 65c | 202.81$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 9c | 199.99$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa363…a3fdbacked Yes | 44c | 194.25$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.13 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb8…f7debacked Yes | 9c | 191.54$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 7cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecb2…a30cbacked No | 26c | 191.42$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.65 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e9…63d0backed No | 48c | 185.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.21 | 178 | 59.6%106 W · 72 L | +18.3wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +21%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x237e…fb35backed Yes | 23c | 180.82$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.83 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x027c…b158backed No | 20c | 154.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.75 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.29per pick | 31cpaid | +142.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…a94cbacked Yes | 68c | 153.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.3 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b5f…1d83backed No | 30c | 153.03$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.93 | 36 | 19.4%7 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 23cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 25c | 153$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.87 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0713…c185backed Yes | 41c | 151.62$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.93 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 47cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xad70…4ccfbacked Yes | 10c | 149.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.82 | 58 | 22.4%13 W · 45 L | -3.5wins | -0.06per pick | 29cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a23…0f72backed Yes | 22c | 147.5$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed No | 53c | 146.72$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.56 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ba…9255backed Yes | 20c | 145.94$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.52 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf38f…4f52backed Yes | 35c | 145.67$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 64cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x119c…ab2abacked Yes | 69c | 142.8$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21b8…47f4backed Yes | 38c | 134.63$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.71 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +2.7wins | +0.44per pick | 39cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde1a…35eebacked No | 29c | 131.59$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.54 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c64…36b4backed Yes | 51c | 125.78$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.31 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…160ebacked Yes | 78c | 124.09$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.84 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +21.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…b720backed Yes | 56c | 118.32$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.68 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7afe…6620backed Yes | 41c | 115.52$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.83 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…74e1backed No | 54c | 111.45$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.27 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…d03abacked Yes | 67c | 110$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.7 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 55c | 109.6$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.32 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8463…f801backed Yes | 27c | 106.32$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.31 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x041c…70fabacked Yes | 69c | 105.86$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.05 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -3.2wins | -0.29per pick | 38cpaid | -87.4%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x65dd…4664backed Yes | 72c | 105.71$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.86 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Yes | 11c | 100$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xbd32…50cabacked Yes | 74c | 100$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +101%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…ed56backed Yes | 65c | 100$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 25c | 99.14$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.35 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x33ef…c498backed Yes | 35c | 93.64$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.06 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -4.6wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb23…b501backed Yes | 34c | 90.5$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.10per pick | 35cpaid | -52%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x27f6…72a6backed No | 33c | 81.95$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.82 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +113.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 67c | 76.58$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.5 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…23fbbacked Yes | 67c | 74.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.24 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x553a…39dcbacked Yes | 41c | 73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.93 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.20per pick | 60cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?this page
- OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
- OneFootball FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $35M one day after launch?Yes won
- OneFootball FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.