Token Launches · resolved market
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x00b27d1d2a180ed36aa6ccfc336c9c413d28ea059ac6c1cd2ebe75ff0c2201d8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $71,728
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,137
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $71,728 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xae7f…d4febacked Yes | 27c | 6,395$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.33 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +3.5wins | +0.29per pick | 30cpaid | +657.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c90…5bacbacked Yes | 15c | 3,453$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.79 | 53 | 20.8%11 W · 42 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 1c | 3,100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 76c | 2,825$2,139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$686.08 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbbf…b4f5backed Yes | 45c | 2,500$1,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,125 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb7…dad6backed Yes | 4c | 2,216$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.46 | 47 | 29.8%14 W · 33 L | -2.5wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1fd…3ecfbacked Yes | 33c | 2,011$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$669.27 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 33cpaid | +24.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0826…0b32backed No | 66c | 2,000$1,310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$689.45 | 49 | 38.8%19 W · 30 L | -4.5wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 19c | 1,744$323 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$323.32 | 105 | 21.9%23 W · 82 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 18cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaddf…c6bfbacked Yes | 31c | 1,677$512 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$512.14 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d06…ec01backed Yes | 19c | 1,263$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.86 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…593dbacked Yes | 22c | 1,101$246 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$245.51 | 87 | 28.7%25 W · 62 L | -14.9wins | -0.17per pick | 46cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 35-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf6cb…3f69backed Yes | 4c | 1,060$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.88 | 131 | 34.4%45 W · 86 L | -3.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85d5…bbf0backed Yes | 21c | 1,047$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.16 | 27 | 3.7%1 W · 26 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 12cpaid | -86.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd689…c745backed No | 75c | 1,038$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.71 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…f992backed Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 58 | 46.6%27 W · 31 L | +4.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e37…cccbbacked Yes | 23c | 1,000$230 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$230 | 101 | 43.6%44 W · 57 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0474…9ffabacked No | 73c | 1,000$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$270 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x981d…ed7fbacked No | 55c | 965.75$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.42 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcaea…90dcbacked No | 55c | 935.2$514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.84 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed Yes | 3c | 839.89$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2256…e997backed No | 74c | 811.59$604 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.97 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | -5.1wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5c2c…a94cbacked No | 76c | 800.14$607 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 72cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fda…3fd7backed Yes | 21c | 764.96$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.14 | 100 | 47%47 W · 53 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x196c…0ffdbacked No | 72c | 700$504 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f7…d8febacked Yes | 28c | 676.17$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186.62 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.8wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | +304.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1ac9…30c7backed Yes | 31c | 610.26$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.8 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…ebaebacked No | 67c | 603.17$402 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.78 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x72ae…1dbabacked Yes | 27c | 591.17$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.29 | 20 | 55%11 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…74e1backed No | 79c | 541.01$425 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.07 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab90…a576backed Yes | 17c | 499.65$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.94 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 22cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5209…b249backed Yes | 30c | 490.78$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.1 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.14per pick | 47cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe79c…c715backed No | 55c | 476.1$262 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.25 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | +2.8wins | +0.07per pick | 25cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde1a…35eebacked Yes | 10c | 446.66$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.49 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14b0…8d0ebacked No | 62c | 394.41$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.18 | 141 | 41.8%59 W · 82 L | +8.8wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x71ec…e48cbacked No | 77c | 377.59$290 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e27…c659backed Yes | 7c | 368.75$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.98 | 61 | 14.8%9 W · 52 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 19cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6e9…40dfbacked Yes | 27c | 330.77$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33e9…30ccbacked Yes | 45c | 311.32$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked Yes | 23c | 300$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc101…e6d1backed Yes | 12c | 300$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 181 | 44.8%81 W · 100 L | +23.4wins | +0.13per pick | 32cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c9b…7a04backed No | 67c | 299.99$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -2.2wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea2…de87backed Yes | 33c | 275.24$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.44 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.08per pick | 32cpaid | +59.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed No | 72c | 267.14$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.24 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd10…fc0bbacked Yes | 20c | 266.86$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.15 | 32 | 62.5%20 W · 12 L | +2.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf28e…40d2backed Yes | 38c | 263$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c6f…f5c1backed No | 78c | 219.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.82 | 18 | 61.1%11 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9a77…4fcfbacked Yes | 19c | 200$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4a…7fcabacked Yes | 26c | 200$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1ea…6765backed No | 71c | 197.61$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.31 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.8wins | +0.32per pick | 46cpaid | +75.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x74bc…124abacked Yes | 6c | 190.22$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.41 | 103 | 38.8%40 W · 63 L | +10.9wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +26.2%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa2d1…62c2backed No | 58c | 187.76$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.31 | 85 | 58.8%50 W · 35 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -14%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ee1…0de9backed No | 62c | 166.99$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.74 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.7wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -40.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…b4e5backed No | 70c | 150$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.5 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.16per pick | 70cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x97b7…6843backed No | 79c | 149.72$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.72 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5592…737cbacked Yes | 32c | 114.49$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.31 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x711e…8858backed No | 68c | 114.31$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.03 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +207.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31ba…9255backed Yes | 12c | 109.23$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x238f…3015backed Yes | 13c | 105.7$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.95 | 33 | 3%1 W · 32 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -65.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…d03abacked Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x321d…ed56backed Yes | 21c | 99.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 73 | 46.6%34 W · 39 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd104…7c02backed Yes | 33c | 96.72$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 119 | 42%50 W · 69 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfa10…8f6bbacked Yes | 26c | 93.15$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.98 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x73b6…5db1backed Yes | 27c | 80.9$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.18 | 51 | 27.5%14 W · 37 L | +2.4wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4916…f56fbacked Yes | 28c | 80.2$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.22 | 86 | 43%37 W · 49 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Yes | 20c | 75.52$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 349 | 5.7%20 W · 329 L | -25.3wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -66.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6b6…80adbacked No | 69c | 69.23$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +26.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 26c | 67.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.46 | 193 | 36.3%70 W · 123 L | -5.0wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe5…8b99backed Yes | 16c | 65.26$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.14 | 114 | 30.7%35 W · 79 L | -15.2wins | -0.13per pick | 44cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x6be6…8742backed No | 74c | 65.07$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.95 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -3.9wins | -0.24per pick | 62cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1093…9a10backed Yes | 35c | 62.65$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.93 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e2e…2ed6backed No | 79c | 60$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.9 | 26 | 34.6%9 W · 17 L | -2.5wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…51dabacked Yes | 30c | 59.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdad6…0d14backed Yes | 24c | 55.66$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.36 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.6wins | +0.15per pick | 31cpaid | +57.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5175…1546backed No | 52c | 47.37$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.74 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.29per pick | 46cpaid | +53.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a58…4ababacked No | 57c | 46.51$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | +1.7wins | +0.15per pick | 39cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x898e…31c4backed Yes | 34c | 45.25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.38 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9288…b4b8backed Yes | 43c | 42.69$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.36 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -47.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8168…7837backed No | 68c | 28.62$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.16 | 28 | 50%14 W · 14 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed No | 55c | 23.66$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.66 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1ccd…510dbacked No | 70c | 21.27$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.38 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbff7…554fbacked No | 65c | 18.59$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.52 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb449…23fbbacked No | 68c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?this page
- OneFootball FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?Yes won
- OneFootball FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $35M one day after launch?Yes won
- OneFootball FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.