Token Launches · resolved market
OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x60afc2022c9d117ddd1a28114c5dadf5a36d19e553b8c7b3e751800cd3c20c24
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Token Launchesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $75,148
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $53,316
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $75,148 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Token Launches is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Token Launches | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xee67…67a6backed No | 1c | 11,690$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.91 | 206 | 1.9%4 W · 202 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked No | 1c | 6,260$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.5 | 171 | 2.9%5 W · 166 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b03…a61dbacked No | 5c | 3,341$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.58 | 26 | 7.7%2 W · 24 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 10cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3d4…4e29backed No | 3c | 3,300$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.3 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5c04…6e10backed No | 3c | 3,030$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.34per pick | 16cpaid | +69.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ffe…26f4backed No | 1c | 2,900$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.1 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -4.9wins | -0.13per pick | 24cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x407c…49aabacked No | 2c | 2,567$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.7 | 114 | 21.9%25 W · 89 L | +8.5wins | +0.07per pick | 14cpaid | +122.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x83a7…74e1backed No | 4c | 2,285$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.1 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.24per pick | 51cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f2a…58afbacked No | 1c | 2,004$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.18per pick | 25cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x119c…ab2abacked No | 3c | 1,362$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b29…ebaebacked No | 6c | 1,315$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.21 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -4.0wins | -0.20per pick | 40cpaid | -63%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xbf14…5d95backed No | 2c | 1,127$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.85 | 19 | 10.5%2 W · 17 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -55.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca8f…d963backed No | 2c | 1,103$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.35 | 328 | 3%10 W · 318 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c1e…9514backed No | 2c | 968.63$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.17 | 144 | 37.5%54 W · 90 L | +11.5wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x772b…b16dbacked No | 10c | 612.93$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.29 | 69 | 27.5%19 W · 50 L | -3.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0e8…904cbacked No | 4c | 582.08$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.11 | 87 | 44.8%39 W · 48 L | +4.8wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x547f…961fbacked No | 5c | 559.33$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.53 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.19per pick | 41cpaid | -60.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8262…eddebacked No | 5c | 400$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.2 | 143 | 35.7%51 W · 92 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4762…7eb8backed No | 6c | 364.55$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.61 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b69…66b0backed No | 4c | 348.61$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 43 | 37.2%16 W · 27 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a1b…5b46backed No | 4c | 274.86$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97c5…d03abacked Yes | 74c | 52.27$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.59 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Token Launches and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 7 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- OneFootball FDV above $20M one day after launch?this page
- OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $200M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $300M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $35M one day after launch?Yes won
- OneFootball FDV above $500M one day after launch?No won
- OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.