TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcc91…1a88

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
116
Categories scored
11
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Crypto Milestones, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.11 per pick).

Best Category Crypto Milestones at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 39.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved May 26, 2026, EDT3151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 31 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$69.49
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$488.24
Fluent FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$131Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$131.45
Genius FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$451Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$450.71
OneFootball FDV above $50M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+332.1%+$636.95
OneFootball FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$192Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+39.2%+$75.24
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$192.9
Over $16M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.79
Over $8M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+139.8%+$64.95
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$118.48
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$4,299Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+155.8%+$6,697.09
Backpack FDV above $500M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+43.4%+$86.23
Backpack FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$736Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+109%+$801.92
Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$403Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$403.33
Flying Tulip FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Zama FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$233Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+103.8%+$242.11
Zama FDV above $800M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+184.7%+$184.75
Zama FDV above $1B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$418Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST+92.8%+$387.86
Over $80M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Over $70M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$66.31
Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$33.71
Over $50M committed to the Ranger public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 10, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Showing 25 of 31 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Cricket — the 26 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 Series England vs India: England vs Indiabacked India · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.2
T20 Series Bangladesh vs. Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$335Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+182.6%+$610.86
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$157Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+91.1%+$143.15
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$244Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$244
ODI Series Bangladesh vs Australia: Bangladesh vs Australiabacked Australia · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$752Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$751.73
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$75.44
Indian Premier League: Sunrisers Hyderabad vs Royal Challengers Bengalurubacked Sunrisers Hyderabad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$20.36
Indian Premier League: Gujarat Titans vs Chennai Super Kingsbacked Chennai Super Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Pakistan win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$1,020Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,019.96
Will the match end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Bangladesh win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$65
Will Pakistan win?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$618Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$618
Indian Premier League: Chennai Super Kings vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$195Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+79.8%+$155.66
Indian Premier League: Lucknow Super Giants vs Rajasthan Royalsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.3
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Royal Challengers Bangalorebacked Royal Challengers Bangalore · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$230Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$229.8
Indian Premier League: Kolkata Knight Riders vs Lucknow Super Giantsbacked Lucknow Super Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$92Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+99.3%+$91.47
Indian Premier League: Delhi Capitals vs Gujarat Titansbacked Delhi Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.32
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.21
Indian Premier League: Mumbai Indians vs Kolkata Knight Ridersbacked Mumbai Indians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$131Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+122.4%+$160.73
International T20 Series: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$40
International ODI: India vs New Zealand (Game 3)backed New Zealand · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 18, 2026, EST+149.4%+$209.1
New Zealand ODI Series: New Zealand vs West Indies (Game 2)backed West Indies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$204.61
Pakistan ODI Series: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka (Game 1)backed Sri Lanka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Showing 25 of 26 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Ethereum reach $2,100 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+25%+$30
Will Ethereum reach $2,000 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$49
Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$45
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+77.5%+$91.45
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$38.89
Will Solana reach $100 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+163.1%+$163.08
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$93.33
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$64
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$312Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+139.3%+$435.19
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$161.39
Will Ethereum reach $2,400 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$193.8
All 12 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT1154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick60cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $95 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$28.22
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$61
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $85 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$95.4
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $65 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$166Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT+29.5%+$48.97
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in June?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$683Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$682.56
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+105.3%+$210.84
Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (HIGH) $4,900 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $90 in May?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$47.95
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 11 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT922.2%2 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick23cpaid-12.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+471.4%+$495
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$207Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$206.8
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.42
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.6
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Australia vs. Türkiye: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Brazil vs. Morocco: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$31.8
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT714.3%1 W · 6 L-3.2wins-0.46per pick60cpaid-74.9%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
Premier League — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.5wins+0.41per pick42cpaid+141.4%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Middle East — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+1.4wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+75.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+23.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 3, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.2
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Jan 17, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hamburger SV win on 2026-01-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 17, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.