Cricket · resolved market
Will Bangladesh win?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8322a4918762a14bc3b281954e53ea9ab63b1d200961d19e06180a0dc5401bc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Cricketevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $50,680
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $49,673
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $50,680 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 65 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Cricket is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Cricket | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x10ff…5088backed No | 43c | 13,556$5,811 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,810.86 | 315 | 43.2%136 W · 179 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb45e…605fbacked No | 79c | 6,059$4,779 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,779.15 | 44 | 72.7%32 W · 12 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 69cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8b0…9f87backed Yes | 17c | 3,358$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,786.17 | 147 | 30.6%45 W · 102 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4df3…788fbacked Yes | 23c | 3,010$702 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,307.29 | 287 | 49.5%142 W · 145 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Yes | 47c | 2,034$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,086.74 | 137 | 48.2%66 W · 71 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x404a…575dbacked Yes | 20c | 1,865$372 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,493.09 | 105 | 52.4%55 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b9e…0bcdbacked No | 80c | 1,738$1,386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,386.11 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Yes | 28c | 1,398$392 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,006.21 | 573 | 37.3%214 W · 359 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd04a…7cffbacked Yes | 33c | 1,067$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$717.33 | 109 | 47.7%52 W · 57 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3e…783bbacked Yes | 50c | 1,000$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$500 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.9wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x940c…b266backed Yes | 54c | 907.32$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$417.4 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked No | 51c | 666.82$338 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$337.71 | 767 | 51.6%396 W · 371 L | +30.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x300a…4c94backed Yes | 26c | 641$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$472.25 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 30cpaid | +127.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b59…9db6backed No | 11c | 616.34$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.52 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -34%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x327a…2381backed No | 75c | 604.35$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.13 | 121 | 22.3%27 W · 94 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -47.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x381b…6270backed Yes | 41c | 523.4$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.03 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb19…e7a3backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$435 | 187 | 13.4%25 W · 162 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9faa…bbedbacked Yes | 28c | 384.37$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$277.37 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4e80…c709backed Yes | 20c | 380.55$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$303.94 | 156 | 44.9%70 W · 86 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked No | 59c | 341$202 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.51 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbefa…300dbacked Yes | 10c | 310$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279 | 43 | 27.9%12 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079a…d3dfbacked Yes | 29c | 267.94$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.94 | 107 | 63.6%68 W · 39 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc076…d987backed Yes | 38c | 245.69$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.84 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +5.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x43fe…26eebacked Yes | 36c | 210$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 470 | 61.5%289 W · 181 L | +18.8wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…d038backed Yes | 19c | 196.67$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.07 | 116 | 25%29 W · 87 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe196…0ab5backed Yes | 50c | 190$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9a57…913fbacked No | 55c | 189.98$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.69 | 291 | 51.9%151 W · 140 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6767…246fbacked Yes | 34c | 187.1$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.6 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +211.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xba58…28c2backed Yes | 53c | 182.51$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.78 | 194 | 50%97 W · 97 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdfb…aaa1backed Yes | 37c | 145.28$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.28 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffd…74bfbacked Yes | 31c | 144.57$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.68 | 68 | 17.6%12 W · 56 L | -5.1wins | -0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -53%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe7f3…3173backed Yes | 37c | 134.76$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.9 | 46 | 28.3%13 W · 33 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5028…91c5backed Yes | 37c | 133.95$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.78 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +2.1wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +38%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 15c | 130.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.26 | 164 | 16.5%27 W · 137 L | -22.6wins | -0.14per pick | 30cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd6cf…432ebacked Yes | 46c | 127.46$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.83 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.08per pick | 68cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dcc…e8ccbacked Yes | 53c | 127$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.64 | 22 | 40.9%9 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.09per pick | 32cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1eba…1ab4backed Yes | 23c | 127$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.72 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8f6…4f7fbacked Yes | 48c | 111.66$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.06 | 43 | 48.8%21 W · 22 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed Yes | 35c | 100$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9dd…ca07backed Yes | 40c | 83.35$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.19 | 144 | 43.8%63 W · 81 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d56…343dbacked Yes | 50c | 82$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 75 | 48%36 W · 39 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…510fbacked Yes | 37c | 77.6$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 65 | 53.8%35 W · 30 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a0dabacked Yes | 16c | 66.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.07 | 46 | 34.8%16 W · 30 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86da…39f5backed No | 70c | 65.19$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.45 | 98 | 55.1%54 W · 44 L | -5.3wins | -0.05per pick | 60cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfa6…8476backed Yes | 48c | 61.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.88 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 62cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5a…4138backed Yes | 50c | 60.58$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +101.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5f…e612backed Yes | 25c | 60$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 50 | 54%27 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f0b…7b0fbacked Yes | 43c | 57.94$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.94 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Yes | 53c | 56.8$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe527…c8cbbacked Yes | 20c | 52.99$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.57 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed No | 56c | 51.78$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.01 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x431a…50d7backed Yes | 49c | 51.02$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.02 | 77 | 45.5%35 W · 42 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x144e…d596backed Yes | 71c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.8 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.3wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cf5…3ea3backed Yes | 35c | 40$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +4.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6a90…0febbacked Yes | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 42 | 50%21 W · 21 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3eac…fe52backed Yes | 44c | 35$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.65 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b43…33cebacked No | 59c | 33.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.86 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc85f…0fe1backed Yes | 48c | 30.09$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6b…83c7backed Yes | 50c | 30$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7a1…e821backed Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 235 | 55.3%130 W · 105 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7a…500cbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 237 | 54.4%129 W · 108 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4690…94fbbacked Yes | 40c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18 | 151 | 51.7%78 W · 73 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa42c…5a6ebacked No | 73c | 27.07$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.76 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.10per pick | 65cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71c6…3eb8backed No | 76c | 19$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.76per pick | 76cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91f2…83bbbacked No | 74c | 17.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Cricket and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bangladesh win?this page
- Will Pakistan win?No won
- Will the match end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.