TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Crypto Milestones · resolved market

Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$251,924
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$248,149

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,924 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xcc50…4c82backed Yes11c27,939$3,097 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,096.6658126.9%156 W · 425 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick28cpaid-39.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes16c14,437$2,278 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,278.36175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.05per pick10cpaid+15.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes7c11,543$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.81185.6%1 W · 17 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick4cpaid+144.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x00ac…e915backed Yes2c9,773$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.3480%0 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick2cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6e1d…d0fabacked No79c6,786$5,385 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,401.193946.2%18 W · 21 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick42cpaid-35.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes41c6,486$2,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,683.3187828.4%249 W · 629 L+2.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-32.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb5a…3965backed Yes6c4,398$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.454436.4%16 W · 28 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-30.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x41ae…51e0backed Yes39c3,777$1,472 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,471.5614019.3%27 W · 113 L+5.4wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+119.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe617…f251backed Yes52c2,885$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-28.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Yes24c2,583$619 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$618.8228113.2%37 W · 244 L-4.9wins-0.02per pick15cpaid-68.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0970…5ae4backed Yes25c2,490$632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$631.728021.1%59 W · 221 L+6.1wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-27.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6131…fd16backed Yes19c2,000$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3801643.8%7 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.10per pick34cpaid+3.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe983…093abacked Yes17c1,790$304 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304.251428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-36.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ab7…d144backed Yes16c1,750$282 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$282.27478.5%4 W · 43 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick16cpaid+31.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3360…955bbacked Yes3c1,700$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.34311.6%5 W · 38 L+0.2wins0.00per pick11cpaid-67.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84a1…2842backed Yes7c1,323$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90.461483.4%5 W · 143 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-56.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x054a…f218backed Yes3c1,236$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31283.6%1 W · 27 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick4cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes16c1,199$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.872126.6%14 W · 198 L+0.7wins0.00per pick6cpaid-37.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc34c…887ebacked Yes43c1,093$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.4340%0 W · 4 L-2.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1d97…d127backed Yes3c1,069$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.863215.6%5 W · 27 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick20cpaid-48.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes6c1,003$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.57994%4 W · 95 L-0.2wins0.00per pick4cpaid-34.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes6c953.21$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.911043.8%4 W · 100 L-0.4wins0.00per pick4cpaid-44.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes15c950.48$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.9911328.3%32 W · 81 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-11.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf412…3270backed Yes19c908.53$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$169.021330.8%4 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-46.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2fa9…5f77backed No69c887.71$608 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.365168.6%35 W · 16 L+7.2wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+21.8%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x4f72…230abacked Yes23c851.41$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200185.6%1 W · 17 L-2.6wins-0.15per pick20cpaid-82.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x85e0…3a93backed Yes3c756.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20110%0 W · 11 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9870…7d2abacked Yes67c746.81$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.21618.8%3 W · 13 L-5.0wins-0.31per pick50cpaid-69.7%equal weight37-0.12 edge/pick
0x4d3c…4914backed Yes8c665.78$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x726f…d8e7backed Yes21c618.21$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.4811330.1%34 W · 79 L-6.9wins-0.06per pick36cpaid-41.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xbbcf…20aebacked No37c600$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.32412.5%3 W · 21 L-2.2wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-70.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x1464…8748backed No28c591.23$163 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.297112.7%9 W · 62 L-6.4wins-0.09per pick22cpaid-50.1%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x1944…c05dbacked Yes27c583.49$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.464969.4%34 W · 15 L+8.0wins+0.16per pick53cpaid+23.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x50a5…bafebacked Yes5c560.09$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.223411.1%26 W · 208 L+9.2wins+0.04per pick7cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes30c525.54$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.143625%9 W · 27 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x76c8…e383backed Yes6c495.3$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.17904.4%4 W · 86 L+0.1wins0.00per pick4cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe886…e553backed Yes16c494.33$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77166.3%1 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick13cpaid-65.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0b4d…7f1dbacked Yes69c433.75$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30030%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x309b…13d4backed Yes10c411.8$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.181421.4%3 W · 11 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick15cpaid-10.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4631…3ff9backed Yes3c400$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6100%0 W · 10 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6436…da96backed No50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2001428.6%4 W · 10 L-2.2wins-0.15per pick44cpaid-47.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes10c400$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3812012.5%15 W · 105 L-8.9wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-55.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1e3b…7a84backed Yes67c384.16$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.39425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4aa4…81eabacked Yes14c357.71$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.14per pick25cpaid-68.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x12d7…30dbbacked Yes17c352.12$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.7810%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6253…ce67backed Yes20c331.76$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$66.61825%2 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-39.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xed49…721abacked No48c299.81$142 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.321100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x386d…9bb6backed Yes18c280$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.44318.6%8 W · 35 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick25cpaid-42.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x997c…1434backed Yes22c257.93$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33fb…897cbacked Yes11c256.01$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.515614.3%8 W · 48 L+2.3wins+0.04per pick10cpaid+21.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3f5a…f31dbacked No69c239.05$166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.43450%2 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.17per pick67cpaid-31.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x81b4…da09backed Yes24c238.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.2830%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5803…34b9backed Yes16c234.01$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.4410%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2e55…760dbacked Yes5c227.14$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.252429.2%7 W · 17 L+4.8wins+0.20per pick9cpaid+125.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8d2c…465dbacked No65c220$143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772642.3%11 W · 15 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick38cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes72c200$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14412259.8%73 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd4a…fdfebacked No64c199.98$128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+13.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xda74…98ebbacked Yes18c196.08$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.18per pick32cpaid+7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf194…feaabacked No61c187.75$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.47933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-37.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab36…1747backed Yes20c181.19$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.05540%2 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xec68…a36fbacked Yes8c171.79$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.063520%7 W · 28 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick21cpaid-37.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes7c167.35$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.671931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-42.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbfa4…7214backed Yes12c166.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20560%3 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.37per pick23cpaid+91.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x0f93…e8c0backed No41c159.44$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.632157.1%12 W · 9 L+2.4wins+0.11per pick46cpaid+7.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xeae5…33c1backed Yes13c153.85$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010315.5%16 W · 87 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick18cpaid+28.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03cf…f27dbacked No77c150$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.52360.9%14 W · 9 L+5.3wins+0.23per pick38cpaid+53.4%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x1927…92afbacked No40c141.53$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.24366.7%2 W · 1 L+1.0wins+0.34per pick32cpaid+149%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x0f6c…e10dbacked Yes17c140$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.82450%12 W · 12 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid+17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbc34…c663backed Yes19c131.58$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251811.1%2 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick9cpaid-67%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x747c…bfb5backed Yes13c127.13$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.011233.3%4 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes10c120$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick30cpaid-76.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xcd14…1c17backed Yes66c119.75$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.755954.2%32 W · 27 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4b1b…ad6fbacked Yes24c118.2$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.21040%4 W · 6 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick35cpaid-25.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1275…1517backed No51c115.21$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.452552%13 W · 12 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ea…105dbacked Yes12c112.53$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.762128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8444…1cf9backed Yes27c111.11$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3013624.3%33 W · 103 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x6918…7816backed No78c108.94$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.471656.3%9 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick61cpaid-24.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28bc…c1b8backed Yes34c105.43$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35.42425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-64.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbad6…9963backed No67c100$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$332755.6%15 W · 12 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick62cpaid-17.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd43…0699backed Yes49c100$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$492853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.0wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0b5b…dca3backed Yes10c100$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc91…1a88backed No36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$641283.3%10 W · 2 L+4.0wins+0.33per pick50cpaid+68%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x14e6…29c7backed Yes12c99.99$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x7b16…4ae8backed No51c98.55$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.984533.3%15 W · 30 L+2.3wins+0.05per pick28cpaid-14%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x80d9…a756backed Yes49c95.21$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.652650%13 W · 13 L-0.7wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x7af9…e4ebbacked Yes54c92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.68666.7%4 W · 2 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick43cpaid+65.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Yes24c91.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.81637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-34.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x68ed…fbddbacked No51c80$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.22560%15 W · 10 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf6d4…34dbbacked Yes32c79.99$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.910%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes40c75$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305038%19 W · 31 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-8.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb693…6ebcbacked Yes27c73$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.433721.6%8 W · 29 L-5.3wins-0.14per pick36cpaid-47.6%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes46c67.89$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.42910.3%3 W · 26 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-57.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1297…1fb0backed No66c67.45$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.72560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-9.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf4c…33b5backed No74c65.96$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.344341.9%18 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-27%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xef24…a44dbacked Yes31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20450%2 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+19.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdce1…f25fbacked No36c55.79$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.791233.3%4 W · 8 L+2.5wins+0.21per pick13cpaid+39.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x4462…b29bbacked Yes20c51.33$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.341711.8%2 W · 15 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick19cpaid-60.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5239…b328backed No66c50$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$171241.7%5 W · 7 L-3.0wins-0.25per pick67cpaid-41.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x07ca…e577backed Yes39c48$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.910%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.39per pick39cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb28…e6e5backed Yes50c40.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.