Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd11f38c300f8c382b89e72cffcd615439bf04a88feaf94378773d7923a392f0e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $251,924
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $248,149
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $251,924 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 11c | 27,939$3,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,096.66 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd15…5ea7backed Yes | 16c | 14,437$2,278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,278.36 | 17 | 5.9%1 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 10cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25d8…a71fbacked Yes | 7c | 11,543$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$808.81 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 4cpaid | +144.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x00ac…e915backed Yes | 2c | 9,773$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.34 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked No | 79c | 6,786$5,385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,401.19 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 41c | 6,486$2,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,683.31 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed Yes | 6c | 4,398$274 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$274.45 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 39c | 3,777$1,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,471.56 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe617…f251backed Yes | 52c | 2,885$1,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,500 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 2,583$619 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$618.82 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 25c | 2,490$632 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$631.7 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6131…fd16backed Yes | 19c | 2,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.10per pick | 34cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…093abacked Yes | 17c | 1,790$304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304.25 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 16c | 1,750$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$282.27 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3360…955bbacked Yes | 3c | 1,700$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.3 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 11cpaid | -67.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed Yes | 7c | 1,323$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.46 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x054a…f218backed Yes | 3c | 1,236$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 28 | 3.6%1 W · 27 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked Yes | 16c | 1,199$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.87 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…887ebacked Yes | 43c | 1,093$465 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.43 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1d97…d127backed Yes | 3c | 1,069$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.86 | 32 | 15.6%5 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | -48.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked Yes | 6c | 1,003$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.57 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed Yes | 6c | 953.21$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.91 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked Yes | 15c | 950.48$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140.99 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3270backed Yes | 19c | 908.53$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.02 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 69c | 887.71$608 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.36 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x4f72…230abacked Yes | 23c | 851.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 18 | 5.6%1 W · 17 L | -2.6wins | -0.15per pick | 20cpaid | -82.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x85e0…3a93backed Yes | 3c | 756.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…7d2abacked Yes | 67c | 746.81$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.2 | 16 | 18.8%3 W · 13 L | -5.0wins | -0.31per pick | 50cpaid | -69.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4d3c…4914backed Yes | 8c | 665.78$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 21c | 618.21$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.48 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked No | 37c | 600$222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378.3 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 28c | 591.23$163 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$428.29 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked Yes | 27c | 583.49$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.46 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x50a5…bafebacked Yes | 5c | 560.09$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 234 | 11.1%26 W · 208 L | +9.2wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 30c | 525.54$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.14 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76c8…e383backed Yes | 6c | 495.3$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.17 | 90 | 4.4%4 W · 86 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe886…e553backed Yes | 16c | 494.33$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 16 | 6.3%1 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 13cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b4d…7f1dbacked Yes | 69c | 433.75$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…13d4backed Yes | 10c | 411.8$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.18 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4631…3ff9backed Yes | 3c | 400$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 10 | 0%0 W · 10 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6436…da96backed No | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 10c | 400$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…7a84backed Yes | 67c | 384.16$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$257.39 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…81eabacked Yes | 14c | 357.71$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x12d7…30dbbacked Yes | 17c | 352.12$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6253…ce67backed Yes | 20c | 331.76$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.61 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -39.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xed49…721abacked No | 48c | 299.81$142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.32 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +110.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x386d…9bb6backed Yes | 18c | 280$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 43 | 18.6%8 W · 35 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…1434backed Yes | 22c | 257.93$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.14 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 11c | 256.01$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.51 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5a…f31dbacked No | 69c | 239.05$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.43 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.17per pick | 67cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x81b4…da09backed Yes | 24c | 238.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.28 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5803…34b9backed Yes | 16c | 234.01$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e55…760dbacked Yes | 5c | 227.14$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +4.8wins | +0.20per pick | 9cpaid | +125.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…465dbacked No | 65c | 220$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60f1…cb3ebacked Yes | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 122 | 59.8%73 W · 49 L | +5.1wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfd4a…fdfebacked No | 64c | 199.98$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.99 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…98ebbacked Yes | 18c | 196.08$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…feaabacked No | 61c | 187.75$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.47 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…1747backed Yes | 20c | 181.19$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.05 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xec68…a36fbacked Yes | 8c | 171.79$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.06 | 35 | 20%7 W · 28 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 21cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 7c | 167.35$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.67 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…7214backed Yes | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0f93…e8c0backed No | 41c | 159.44$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.63 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.4wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeae5…33c1backed Yes | 13c | 153.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 103 | 15.5%16 W · 87 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 18cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…f27dbacked No | 77c | 150$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.5 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…92afbacked No | 40c | 141.53$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.24 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +149%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f6c…e10dbacked Yes | 17c | 140$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc34…c663backed Yes | 19c | 131.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -67%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…bfb5backed Yes | 13c | 127.13$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.01 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f3a…3b17backed Yes | 10c | 120$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 30cpaid | -76.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 66c | 119.75$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.75 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…ad6fbacked Yes | 24c | 118.2$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.2 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1275…1517backed No | 51c | 115.21$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.45 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ea…105dbacked Yes | 12c | 112.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8444…1cf9backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 136 | 24.3%33 W · 103 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 25cpaid | +4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6918…7816backed No | 78c | 108.94$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…c1b8backed Yes | 34c | 105.43$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.42 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbad6…9963backed No | 67c | 100$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.06per pick | 62cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd43…0699backed Yes | 49c | 100$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5b…dca3backed Yes | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc91…1a88backed No | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +4.0wins | +0.33per pick | 50cpaid | +68%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x14e6…29c7backed Yes | 12c | 99.99$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b16…4ae8backed No | 51c | 98.55$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.98 | 45 | 33.3%15 W · 30 L | +2.3wins | +0.05per pick | 28cpaid | -14%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x80d9…a756backed Yes | 49c | 95.21$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.65 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…e4ebbacked Yes | 54c | 92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.68 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Yes | 24c | 91.72$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.8 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68ed…fbddbacked No | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf6d4…34dbbacked Yes | 32c | 79.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa5…edacbacked Yes | 40c | 75$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 50 | 38%19 W · 31 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb693…6ebcbacked Yes | 27c | 73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.43 | 37 | 21.6%8 W · 29 L | -5.3wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -47.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfbf9…1cc3backed Yes | 46c | 67.89$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.4 | 29 | 10.3%3 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -57.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1297…1fb0backed No | 66c | 67.45$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.72 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf4c…33b5backed No | 74c | 65.96$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.34 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -27%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef24…a44dbacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdce1…f25fbacked No | 36c | 55.79$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.79 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.21per pick | 13cpaid | +39.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4462…b29bbacked Yes | 20c | 51.33$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.34 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 19cpaid | -60.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…b328backed No | 66c | 50$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x07ca…e577backed Yes | 39c | 48$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.39per pick | 39cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb28…e6e5backed Yes | 50c | 40.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 25-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.