Crypto Milestones · resolved market
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xba89444039c5732a8aca4488883262d2b27a08118571ab96800a3ba364b8f443
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Crypto Milestonesevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $66,476
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $65,348
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $66,476 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 102 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Crypto Milestones is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeee9…7ecbbacked Yes | 49c | 4,464$2,187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,277.49 | 878 | 28.4%249 W · 629 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…8748backed No | 29c | 3,350$959 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$959.42 | 71 | 12.7%9 W · 62 L | -6.4wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -50.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb1f6…a293backed No | 48c | 3,308$1,576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,575.54 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -34.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86e9…4cdfbacked No | 53c | 3,145$1,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,666.73 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.44per pick | 59cpaid | -81.6%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xcc50…4c82backed Yes | 25c | 2,762$697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,064.21 | 581 | 26.9%156 W · 425 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -39.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e1d…d0fabacked Yes | 64c | 2,695$1,722 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$973.22 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc250…8d6ebacked No | 80c | 2,500$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 59 | 64.4%38 W · 21 L | -5.3wins | -0.09per pick | 73cpaid | -12%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x24ed…8a18backed No | 77c | 1,280$980 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.8 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.28per pick | 61cpaid | -48.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe983…093abacked Yes | 46c | 1,273$586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.36 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 35cpaid | -36.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1944…c05dbacked No | 50c | 1,175$590 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$589.86 | 49 | 69.4%34 W · 15 L | +8.0wins | +0.16per pick | 53cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xccfe…1ed1backed Yes | 26c | 1,098$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$815.59 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7495…7fcfbacked No | 2c | 800$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 212 | 6.6%14 W · 198 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 6cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 51c | 790.25$401 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$389.04 | 281 | 13.2%37 W · 244 L | -4.9wins | -0.02per pick | 15cpaid | -68.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa041…a24fbacked Yes | 63c | 706.09$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$261.43 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96c3…d0efbacked Yes | 54c | 700.15$377 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.28 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6408…c7aebacked Yes | 47c | 700$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.2 | 50 | 24%12 W · 38 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43a6…8b32backed No | 70c | 690$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481 | 54 | 70.4%38 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.03per pick | 68cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa772…05efbacked No | 69c | 632.62$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$435.35 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +34%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84a1…2842backed No | 8c | 609$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.54 | 148 | 3.4%5 W · 143 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -56.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd14…1c17backed Yes | 63c | 586.04$368 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.64 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41a9…0d8bbacked Yes | 41c | 576.41$237 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$339.78 | 36 | 25%9 W · 27 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa9…5f77backed No | 71c | 576.28$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 51 | 68.6%35 W · 16 L | +7.2wins | +0.14per pick | 54cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xce7b…7677backed Yes | 25c | 570.07$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$427.55 | 46 | 17.4%8 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 21cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa33c…0ff2backed No | 8c | 546.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.21 | 104 | 3.8%4 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1247…9ce9backed Yes | 65c | 500$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175 | 40 | 62.5%25 W · 15 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6b…1ab6backed No | 11c | 496$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.56 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbcf…20aebacked No | 45c | 385.73$174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$174.49 | 24 | 12.5%3 W · 21 L | -2.2wins | -0.09per pick | 22cpaid | -70.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2af6…e0c7backed No | 71c | 368.46$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.53 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -47.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x309b…13d4backed Yes | 28c | 357.14$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.14 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 15cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x726f…d8e7backed Yes | 41c | 337.08$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.46 | 113 | 30.1%34 W · 79 L | -6.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -41.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa4…7214backed Yes | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.8wins | +0.37per pick | 23cpaid | +91.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…de7dbacked Yes | 30c | 300$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209 | 120 | 12.5%15 W · 105 L | -8.9wins | -0.07per pick | 20cpaid | -55.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdb5a…3965backed No | 29c | 286.31$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.61 | 44 | 36.4%16 W · 28 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab36…1747backed Yes | 35c | 282.36$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.63 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1927…92afbacked No | 37c | 200$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.34per pick | 32cpaid | +149%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x41ae…51e0backed Yes | 42c | 200$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116 | 140 | 19.3%27 W · 113 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +119.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a69…c2a0backed No | 57c | 195.44$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.4 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd81d…20f7backed No | 59c | 168.22$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 100 | 67%67 W · 33 L | +7.5wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf412…3270backed Yes | 42c | 156.43$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.73 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa219…60e8backed Yes | 20c | 150$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.12per pick | 32cpaid | -46.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x03cf…f27dbacked Yes | 37c | 150$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | +5.3wins | +0.23per pick | 38cpaid | +53.4%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa4…81eabacked Yes | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.86 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.14per pick | 25cpaid | -68.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0970…5ae4backed Yes | 31c | 140$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$96.96 | 280 | 21.1%59 W · 221 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 19cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39d4…f1f5backed Yes | 64c | 125.43$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.47 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +2.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e3d…bd04backed Yes | 62c | 121.34$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.02 | 37 | 62.2%23 W · 14 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1173…eb6ebacked Yes | 62c | 121.33$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.87 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb42c…c27bbacked No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 99 | 4%4 W · 95 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 4cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe5…94b3backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 13cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd068…779abacked Yes | 30c | 99.99$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.70per pick | 30cpaid | +233.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5fd…989abacked Yes | 46c | 87.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.14 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 45cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 28c | 85.96$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.86 | 115 | 33%38 W · 77 L | -7.0wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -34.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28bc…c1b8backed Yes | 70c | 85.49$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.93 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -64.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ab7…d144backed Yes | 45c | 83.18$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 47 | 8.5%4 W · 43 L | -3.5wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x37a1…54abbacked Yes | 50c | 80$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.51per pick | 50cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af9…e4ebbacked Yes | 63c | 78.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.22 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.4wins | +0.23per pick | 43cpaid | +65.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3d60…6df2backed No | 80c | 75$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd72e…b1c2backed Yes | 26c | 73.15$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.13 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +99.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9c57…59f1backed Yes | 73c | 68.49$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x438f…f79bbacked Yes | 45c | 66.67$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31cb…59e2backed Yes | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +108.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2590…8fa2backed No | 20c | 62.08$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.25 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 23cpaid | -31%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd0…a85bbacked No | 43c | 60.92$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.26 | 113 | 28.3%32 W · 81 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a7…00b1backed Yes | 21c | 60$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.4 | 20 | 20%4 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -48.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7875…e0efbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.82 | 32 | 40.6%13 W · 19 L | -1.2wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecd…5d94backed No | 80c | 54.25$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf194…feaabacked No | 33c | 53.61$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.69 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -37.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1137…4ed5backed Yes | 47c | 53.36$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.36 | 216 | 51.4%111 W · 105 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc7d0…1f8abacked Yes | 41c | 50.25$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.54 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33fb…897cbacked Yes | 30c | 50.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 56 | 14.3%8 W · 48 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +21.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Yes | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d2c…465dbacked Yes | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf27…f35fbacked No | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 39 | 64.1%25 W · 14 L | +3.4wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7fca…ac29backed No | 70c | 44.37$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -3.4wins | -0.34per pick | 74cpaid | -47%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2554…bb52backed No | 34c | 44$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.96 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.25per pick | 25cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b28…e3c6backed No | 43c | 41.66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.91 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe297…aae4backed Yes | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.82 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -66%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe524…4760backed Yes | 35c | 40.34$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.22 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x747c…bfb5backed Yes | 44c | 40.27$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.45 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa2f1…2d22backed No | 70c | 38.17$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.72 | 377 | 45.9%173 W · 204 L | +15.4wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfe61…e9c2backed Yes | 60c | 36$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 24 | 79.2%19 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 65cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb32a…1b31backed No | 63c | 35$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.05 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.51per pick | 51cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5239…b328backed No | 54c | 34.99$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -3.0wins | -0.25per pick | 67cpaid | -41.9%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…158cbacked No | 31c | 34.53$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8afc…5831backed Yes | 58c | 33.9$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.14 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 77c | 32.47$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93f0…c807backed No | 62c | 32.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.74 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc34c…887ebacked No | 60c | 30.44$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.15 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -2.0wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b1b…ad6fbacked Yes | 38c | 30.31$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.7 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c8a…7764backed No | 52c | 30.2$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…7423backed Yes | 65c | 29.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.27 | 348 | 48.6%169 W · 179 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2474…ec29backed No | 58c | 24.97$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.48 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xda74…98ebbacked Yes | 46c | 23.45$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.59 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.18per pick | 32cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac00…b58dbacked Yes | 69c | 23.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.16 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.8wins | +0.31per pick | 58cpaid | +47.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…aca1backed Yes | 46c | 23$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.39 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef0…b8a0backed Yes | 70c | 23$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.9 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb059…6633backed Yes | 50c | 22.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.50per pick | 50cpaid | +99.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x19d0…7d9abacked No | 56c | 20.57$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.5 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.29per pick | 69cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4dc7…0936backed No | 73c | 17.61$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.86 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -46.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d75…b263backed Yes | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc72b…5b5ebacked Yes | 66c | 15.19$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Crypto Milestones and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 12 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?this page
- Will Bitcoin dip to $64,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $68,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $72,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin dip to $76,000 May 25-31?Yes won
- Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $84,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $86,000 May 25-31?No won
- Will Bitcoin reach $92,000 May 25-31?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.