TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe2b5…326d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
68
Categories scored
16
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Fifa International, grading 53 out of 100 (+0.03 per pick).

Best Category Fifa International at 53 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 23, 2026, EDT1741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick35cpaid-14%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on April 22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.68
Will the highest temperature in Houston be 72°F or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.6
Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 70-71°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT+37.8%+$9.19
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 64°F or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.05
Will the highest temperature in London be 14°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.12
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 56-57°F on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+25%+$6.13
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 21°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+59.7%+$14.7
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 23°C or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+499.9%+$113.51
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 22°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+41%+$9.96
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.51
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.93
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 17°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 18°C or higher on April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.52
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 9°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+32.8%+$7.98
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on April 21?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+65.5%+$15.74
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$14
All 17 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT1163.6%7 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick68cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $80 in July?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+38.6%+$9.65
Will Bitcoin reach $68,000 July 20-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Will XRP reach $1.20 July 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$12.31
Will XRP reach $1.20 June 22-28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$14.06
Will Solana dip to $70 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 June 1-7?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Solana reach $90 May 25-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$21.3
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 25-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Bitcoin dip to $74,000 May 25-31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Will Hyperliquid reach $48 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.3%+$9.19
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$11.78
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.9wins-0.28per pick71cpaid-44.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick23cpaid-75.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.13per pick62cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-26.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Middle East — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 25, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-30.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 9, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.28per pick39cpaid+37.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Stocks Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Stocks — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick42cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.74per pick26cpaid+279.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+279.9%+$41.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: RB Leipzig (-1.5)backed RB Leipzig · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+100%+$24.25
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best Math AI model at the end of May 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Apr 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Chongqing Tonglianglong FC vs. Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.95
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 10, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will annual inflation increase by 3.3% in March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.62
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.