Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe216b76886f3da9f66886fdb2c7ea5bc99f0d02b5e2891c54fc3f28e3701f659
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $99,435
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $93,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $99,435 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 161 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked Yes | 0c | 17,225$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf229…d5f7backed Yes | 24c | 12,256$2,973 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,973.2 | 39 | 28.2%11 W · 28 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x585a…26ecbacked Yes | 0c | 5,134$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33d8…7b73backed Yes | 0c | 2,614$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…997cbacked No | 75c | 1,925$1,452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.44 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | +2.6wins | +0.11per pick | 28cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4789…b286backed Yes | 19c | 1,846$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.63 | 75 | 24%18 W · 57 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d85…6008backed Yes | 3c | 1,219$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.42 | 54 | 25.9%14 W · 40 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 20cpaid | -11%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x765f…1508backed No | 79c | 1,039$821 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$218.24 | 330 | 18.8%62 W · 268 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2ed…0208backed Yes | 1c | 954.77$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa054…a95dbacked No | 75c | 858.28$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.05 | 399 | 66.2%264 W · 135 L | +33.6wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b13…62d3backed Yes | 24c | 542.79$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.9 | 1,052 | 31.2%328 W · 724 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed No | 80c | 499.99$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a8d…50f9backed Yes | 17c | 464.96$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.45 | 9,799 | 44.6%4,367 W · 5,432 L | +256.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…e7c8backed Yes | 21c | 448.69$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.05 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15b1…a8e8backed No | 75c | 423.99$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106 | 163 | 35%57 W · 106 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x60cd…93f5backed No | 76c | 385.26$293 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.46 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | -3.2wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a2f…7760backed Yes | 25c | 374.81$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.47 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6dce…4490backed No | 76c | 365.02$277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.61 | 1,285 | 19.5%250 W · 1,035 L | +44.3wins | +0.03per pick | 16cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x906f…371abacked No | 74c | 363.35$270 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.12 | 2,495 | 69.9%1,744 W · 751 L | +80.3wins | +0.03per pick | 67cpaid | +5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9345…b1b1backed Yes | 26c | 333.49$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.35 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x538c…d669backed Yes | 5c | 304.75$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ab…6418backed Yes | 9c | 300$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 1,322 | 32.2%426 W · 896 L | -43.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9fa2…7e87backed No | 70c | 299.99$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 63 | 17.5%11 W · 52 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf132…c706backed Yes | 14c | 298.31$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 308 | 13.6%42 W · 266 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 12cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…88e6backed Yes | 23c | 279.16$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.26 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 19cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 23c | 274.3$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.18 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8ae4…bf8cbacked No | 74c | 263.95$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.63 | 32 | 53.1%17 W · 15 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed No | 76c | 263.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.16 | 2,001 | 38.4%768 W · 1,233 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x343f…bb4dbacked Yes | 17c | 262.46$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.91 | 135 | 33.3%45 W · 90 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cae…def2backed No | 77c | 258.43$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.22 | 36 | 69.4%25 W · 11 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c8c…f5e2backed Yes | 20c | 225.06$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.02 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -4.3wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -27.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xabc6…acb4backed Yes | 23c | 203.31$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.13 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf56c…ad84backed Yes | 5c | 200$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 507 | 3.4%17 W · 490 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 4cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7d4…3a45backed Yes | 23c | 197.74$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.17 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 32cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x23d8…f6b9backed No | 77c | 197.39$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 251 | 75.7%190 W · 61 L | +24.7wins | +0.10per pick | 66cpaid | +14%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…eed5backed Yes | 25c | 179.67$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.34 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe1e5…3adcbacked Yes | 28c | 167.26$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.34 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.12per pick | 38cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28a1…69a1backed No | 74c | 167.15$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.46 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x511b…c8f6backed Yes | 26c | 157.87$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 16c | 154.34$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.13 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24f…81d3backed No | 76c | 153.41$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.28 | 985 | 71%699 W · 286 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 15c | 151.21$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.88 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf096…28a8backed Yes | 26c | 147.65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.39 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5c3ebacked No | 77c | 141.6$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.14 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Yes | 25c | 136.91$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.23 | 5,897 | 49.4%2,913 W · 2,984 L | -103.3wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde9b…467fbacked No | 75c | 126.51$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.1 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x755d…fb59backed No | 74c | 124.82$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.28 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae47…638dbacked No | 75c | 124.62$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.31 | 525 | 71.2%374 W · 151 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x947b…b05ebacked Yes | 30c | 124.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.19 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cf6…9f21backed Yes | 18c | 123.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.21 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f93…07b1backed Yes | 25c | 122.7$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.43 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4338…cb41backed Yes | 20c | 121.82$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.96 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x118b…38c8backed Yes | 23c | 121.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.84 | 85 | 42.4%36 W · 49 L | +4.7wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2c42…d6b9backed Yes | 21c | 118.61$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.76 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a7e…465cbacked Yes | 22c | 118.35$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.04 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 24cpaid | +61.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x729d…4c8abacked No | 76c | 117.49$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 75cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c8…b823backed No | 79c | 117.13$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.38 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 66cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4950…32cdbacked No | 79c | 115.46$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.59 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.05per pick | 76cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe009…121ebacked Yes | 26c | 113.29$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 26 | 38.5%10 W · 16 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 80c | 112.02$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.7 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3b…b989backed No | 76c | 108.77$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.11 | 59 | 50.8%30 W · 29 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed No | 76c | 108.66$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.08 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1112…90dbbacked Yes | 26c | 107.75$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.77 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3334…69b0backed Yes | 27c | 101.11$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.75 | 464 | 44.4%206 W · 258 L | -18.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71a2…e17dbacked No | 78c | 100.31$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.07 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -2.7wins | -0.18per pick | 58cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7ad4…fa20backed Yes | 27c | 100$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.13per pick | 45cpaid | +36.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc12f…5c57backed Yes | 20c | 100$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 193 | 38.9%75 W · 118 L | -6.4wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37de…f512backed Yes | 12c | 100$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 496 | 46%228 W · 268 L | +16.9wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8f34…2f50backed No | 74c | 99.09$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.6 | 4,120 | 60.8%2,506 W · 1,614 L | +32.7wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29de…d9e6backed No | 76c | 98.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.74 | 111 | 22.5%25 W · 86 L | -9.3wins | -0.08per pick | 31cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe752…2200backed Yes | 25c | 98.32$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.58 | 1,204 | 25.3%305 W · 899 L | +18.2wins | +0.02per pick | 24cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaf33…0d65backed Yes | 23c | 98.26$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.14 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 24cpaid | -14%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1f7…dae0backed No | 73c | 97.3$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 97 | 47.4%46 W · 51 L | +2.3wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfa4d…57b9backed Yes | 27c | 96.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.19 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0275…b936backed Yes | 18c | 93.95$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.76 | 11 | 9.1%1 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 16cpaid | -45.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2213…baa8backed Yes | 20c | 91.02$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.4 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f6…eadabacked No | 76c | 89.94$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.72 | 165 | 75.8%125 W · 40 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8208…a737backed No | 75c | 88.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.06 | 226 | 75.7%171 W · 55 L | +9.0wins | +0.04per pick | 72cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc85e…5d37backed Yes | 21c | 87.03$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.46 | 146 | 32.9%48 W · 98 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x71d0…b73abacked No | 73c | 83.49$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.8 | 107 | 57.9%62 W · 45 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8454…3587backed No | 78c | 80.55$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.55 | 273 | 76.6%209 W · 64 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 76cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb2…ad6fbacked Yes | 24c | 80.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.26 | 163 | 24.5%40 W · 123 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f18…5b28backed No | 75c | 77.2$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 265 | 66.4%176 W · 89 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd36…a832backed Yes | 21c | 76.57$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 650 | 43.4%282 W · 368 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…5c95backed No | 78c | 75.25$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.57 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc52f…0981backed No | 74c | 74.22$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.4 | 146 | 71.2%104 W · 42 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 71cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe4…e7f5backed Yes | 25c | 74.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.5 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +2.2wins | +0.12per pick | 51cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5e8f…3179backed Yes | 27c | 68.67$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.54 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d99…bf7fbacked Yes | 27c | 66.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.08 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.27per pick | 27cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac0d…3498backed Yes | 28c | 65.59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.57 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc7b4…847ebacked No | 74c | 64.37$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.74 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +21.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed No | 77c | 63.57$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.33 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb211…10b3backed No | 76c | 63.44$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.23 | 94 | 53.2%50 W · 44 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x87a2…2250backed No | 75c | 58.99$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.99 | 170 | 66.5%113 W · 57 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x256a…c1fbbacked Yes | 32c | 58.95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.63 | 56 | 35.7%20 W · 36 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +32.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x58d5…d270backed Yes | 24c | 58.8$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 56 | 41.1%23 W · 33 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf483…3f62backed Yes | 27c | 51.5$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.91 | 37 | 10.8%4 W · 33 L | -1.0wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -21%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc52a…e37abacked No | 76c | 50.45$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.28 | 182 | 72%131 W · 51 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 73cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea74…2fadbacked No | 73c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.5 | 120 | 68.3%82 W · 38 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x354e…c0b2backed Yes | 20c | 49.52$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?Yes won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.