Weather · resolved market
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x81cddb9f7c7c17e33223a3f3ac277b7cd61c10c047a2ee509f4b5dc64a032644
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Weatherevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $119,328
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $137,059
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $119,328 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 116 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Weather is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Weather | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x585a…26ecbacked No | 0c | 5,469$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.71 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -49.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf6bd…2bd4backed No | 0c | 5,096$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0b6…20febacked No | 1c | 4,544$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.03 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe2b5…326dbacked No | 1c | 3,818$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -14%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1775…85b0backed Yes | 60c | 2,423$1,457 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.91 | 366 | 48.4%177 W · 189 L | +25.4wins | +0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b2…9a9bbacked No | 44c | 1,905$844 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$844.49 | 43 | 39.5%17 W · 26 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x579a…9908backed No | 5c | 1,561$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.55 | 121 | 54.5%66 W · 55 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x64ad…bde6backed Yes | 74c | 1,255$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.88 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…b5d0backed Yes | 7c | 1,047$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$974.91 | 4,496 | 19.6%882 W · 3,614 L | +49.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19e1…976dbacked No | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 191 | 1%2 W · 189 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 1cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83e4…757dbacked No | 35c | 875.07$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.27 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 23cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f21…b376backed Yes | 9c | 856.05$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.66 | 17,355 | 19.9%3,460 W · 13,895 L | +396.7wins | +0.02per pick | 18cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85bd…7f75backed Yes | 61c | 758.35$461 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.06 | 253 | 62.8%159 W · 94 L | +16.0wins | +0.06per pick | 57cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51a5…a647backed Yes | 10c | 661.28$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$596.41 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | -1.9wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09a8…47c1backed No | 45c | 590.36$264 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.65 | 418 | 45.2%189 W · 229 L | +14.7wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ba2…eb93backed Yes | 23c | 589.09$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.77 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb06a…52f5backed Yes | 68c | 563.1$383 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.76 | 5,832 | 36.7%2,138 W · 3,694 L | +211.1wins | +0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e5c…d892backed Yes | 8c | 519.03$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.21 | 570 | 44.9%256 W · 314 L | +36.5wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +13%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a8…58fdbacked Yes | 56c | 512.33$285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.23 | 718 | 23.4%168 W · 550 L | -26.6wins | -0.04per pick | 27cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x425d…6cb0backed Yes | 25c | 419.97$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$316.82 | 253 | 44.7%113 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x97ab…a19fbacked Yes | 75c | 400.83$301 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.25 | 299 | 53.8%161 W · 138 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…a124backed Yes | 62c | 383.87$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.47 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.4wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +108%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3de…e227backed Yes | 70c | 371.62$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.49 | 36 | 22.2%8 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 22cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c48…6b72backed Yes | 14c | 357.13$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.13 | 452 | 38.5%174 W · 278 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34a…1a73backed Yes | 58c | 340.15$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.12 | 186 | 68.8%128 W · 58 L | +27.3wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0729…5f54backed No | 62c | 320.31$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.54 | 671 | 58.6%393 W · 278 L | -8.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbd0d…1fb4backed Yes | 21c | 302.52$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$238.16 | 242 | 38%92 W · 150 L | +11.6wins | +0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcc09…88edbacked Yes | 32c | 287.88$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 566 | 27.7%157 W · 409 L | +17.8wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc34f…7d2ebacked No | 29c | 285.02$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.38 | 12,173 | 46.8%5,692 W · 6,481 L | -42.2wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6733…acb9backed Yes | 11c | 279.63$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.71 | 27 | 22.2%6 W · 21 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54f9…9f4dbacked Yes | 11c | 278.68$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.03 | 230 | 7.8%18 W · 212 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 8cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc138…9baabacked Yes | 6c | 276.3$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$259.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +195.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x57ee…8112backed Yes | 8c | 274.97$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$252.44 | 1,727 | 18%311 W · 1,416 L | +74.3wins | +0.04per pick | 14cpaid | +11%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc17e…906abacked Yes | 73c | 230.48$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.97 | 540 | 43.9%237 W · 303 L | +11.2wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c38…f194backed No | 35c | 227$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.39 | 2,517 | 47.2%1,188 W · 1,329 L | +52.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…6c41backed Yes | 6c | 226.19$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.81 | 62 | 41.9%26 W · 36 L | +2.9wins | +0.05per pick | 37cpaid | +28%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb0…611abacked Yes | 39c | 223.04$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.5 | 55 | 41.8%23 W · 32 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89b4…55bcbacked Yes | 10c | 218.9$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.63 | 930 | 34%316 W · 614 L | +53.0wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Yes | 37c | 210.86$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.12 | 1,840 | 37%681 W · 1,159 L | -8.2wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x33f2…4fc0backed Yes | 15c | 209.89$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.89 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 31cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x51fd…4272backed Yes | 6c | 200$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.4 | 99 | 19.2%19 W · 80 L | +5.5wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +84.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b31…852cbacked Yes | 38c | 196.2$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.72 | 257 | 42.4%109 W · 148 L | +8.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x399f…e8d8backed No | 76c | 193.28$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.4 | 101 | 54.5%55 W · 46 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 59cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64da…2292backed Yes | 11c | 188.61$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167 | 58 | 24.1%14 W · 44 L | -3.8wins | -0.06per pick | 31cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Yes | 69c | 188.36$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 1,089 | 59.4%647 W · 442 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x11c3…2555backed No | 10c | 183.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.69 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 11cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8ae…7f3ebacked Yes | 15c | 179.23$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$152.58 | 191 | 23%44 W · 147 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 21cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3683…1bb0backed Yes | 10c | 174.39$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +97.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10b6…5c95backed No | 62c | 173.9$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.67 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -78.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfed5…ee90backed Yes | 11c | 171.92$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.71 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | +2.9wins | +0.16per pick | 28cpaid | +39.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0a6d…1d0abacked Yes | 17c | 164.21$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.72 | 214 | 29.4%63 W · 151 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 27c | 161.94$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.54 | 3,366 | 31.1%1,047 W · 2,319 L | -34.1wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -29.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…7054backed Yes | 9c | 160.37$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.49 | 7,481 | 37.5%2,808 W · 4,673 L | +97.4wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8887…681bbacked Yes | 20c | 156.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.34 | 134 | 24.6%33 W · 101 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa28…090bbacked Yes | 8c | 149.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.78 | 2,239 | 15%335 W · 1,904 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 13cpaid | +24%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2354…fab1backed Yes | 51c | 148.59$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.59 | 140 | 62.9%88 W · 52 L | +11.8wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked No | 59c | 146.78$87 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$87.19 | 999 | 62.8%627 W · 372 L | +37.5wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6659…b7cabacked Yes | 16c | 146.43$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.05 | 938 | 37.6%353 W · 585 L | -14.5wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb72…f5f9backed Yes | 15c | 142.42$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.78 | 304 | 28%85 W · 219 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0aa…96f5backed No | 39c | 141.12$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 62cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6c8…b8c0backed Yes | 13c | 127.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.02 | 328 | 30.5%100 W · 228 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x16c6…9534backed Yes | 11c | 125.35$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.69 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bac…cf49backed Yes | 16c | 121.42$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.63 | 1,089 | 29.7%323 W · 766 L | +36.6wins | +0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf0bd…fe2abacked Yes | 12c | 117.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.84 | 106 | 42.5%45 W · 61 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32f0…c659backed No | 28c | 107.65$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.14 | 235 | 47.7%112 W · 123 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4478…7f8abacked No | 56c | 100$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.8 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x79ba…c42fbacked Yes | 34c | 99.5$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.67 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36f6…ae14backed Yes | 31c | 93.14$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.93 | 116 | 63.8%74 W · 42 L | +7.0wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd33…5452backed Yes | 20c | 83.45$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.79 | 111 | 40.5%45 W · 66 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf51b…ca1bbacked No | 31c | 80$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.8 | 1,274 | 34%433 W · 841 L | +46.9wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb1d…de1cbacked Yes | 65c | 78.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.56 | 146 | 45.2%66 W · 80 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f3d…f35abacked Yes | 75c | 77.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.21 | 24 | 91.7%22 W · 2 L | +5.8wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x5b5f…eed5backed Yes | 14c | 77$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.86 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab8a…8dc7backed Yes | 17c | 74.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.36 | 133 | 22.6%30 W · 103 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -26%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe036…c94abacked Yes | 79c | 73.99$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.51 | 56 | 64.3%36 W · 20 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked No | 36c | 71.23$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.93 | 2,119 | 36.1%764 W · 1,355 L | -12.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd399…4517backed Yes | 62c | 70.5$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +6.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +41.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed No | 59c | 70.4$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 12,498 | 19.5%2,441 W · 10,057 L | -2,667.3wins | -0.21per pick | 41cpaid | -66.8%equal weight | 26-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0x0209…2f35backed Yes | 71c | 63.34$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.56 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -36.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf7c…b00dbacked No | 66c | 60$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 786 | 63.6%500 W · 286 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3edb…5c3ebacked Yes | 35c | 56.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.57 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce3…4291backed Yes | 34c | 53.55$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.17 | 2,165 | 23.8%516 W · 1,649 L | +83.8wins | +0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb61b…4dc9backed Yes | 34c | 52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.32 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…219ebacked Yes | 78c | 50.47$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.19 | 262 | 65.6%172 W · 90 L | +14.2wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2ac0…071ebacked Yes | 74c | 50$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +5.6wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1546…778bbacked Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35 | 354 | 29.9%106 W · 248 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -23.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2986…b3a9backed No | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 2,995 | 31.4%940 W · 2,055 L | +41.6wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed No | 21c | 48.07$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.19 | 263 | 27.8%73 W · 190 L | +14.9wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x525c…23acbacked Yes | 79c | 47.01$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.73 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 66cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4248…60abbacked No | 71c | 42.34$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.96 | 2,219 | 58.7%1,303 W · 916 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8bd4…ed07backed No | 55c | 42.32$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.27 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +1.1wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfc41…108fbacked Yes | 35c | 42.14$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.43 | 98 | 52%51 W · 47 L | +5.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked No | 48c | 42.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.21 | 218 | 48.6%106 W · 112 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61b8…e749backed Yes | 80c | 40$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f46…76f5backed Yes | 34c | 38.93$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.86 | 301 | 31.9%96 W · 205 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…10c3backed Yes | 47c | 38.78$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.71 | 402 | 42.5%171 W · 231 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5aad…dc28backed Yes | 35c | 38.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.84 | 676 | 33.7%228 W · 448 L | +33.8wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaad7…cf8fbacked No | 76c | 38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 861 | 73.2%630 W · 231 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 72cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa542…3f6cbacked No | 31c | 37.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc80f…6147backed Yes | 30c | 36.4$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.66 | 525 | 33.7%177 W · 348 L | +22.8wins | +0.04per pick | 29cpaid | +32%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Weather and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 14°C on April 21?this page
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 11°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 12°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 13°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 15°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 16°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 17°C on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 18°C or higher on April 21?No won
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 8°C or below on April 21?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.