TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x91bc…a124

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
120
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
10

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Commodities at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT5356.6%30 W · 23 L+4.0wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+7.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Lol — the 53 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$32.35
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$180Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$70
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$74
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs T1 - Game 1 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
LoL: Top Esports vs Invictus Gaming - Game 1 Winnerbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 18, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$100
LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+150%+$144.6
LoL: Kiwoom DRX vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Kiwoom DRX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.2
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
LoL: KT Rolster vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$319Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+66.1%+$210.98
LoL: Nongshim Red Force vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Nongshim Red Force · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$50.38
LoL: Disguised vs FlyQuest (BO3) - LCS Regular Seasonbacked FlyQuest · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: G2 Esports vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$78
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$382Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+63.6%+$243.21
LoL: Top Esports vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$59.69
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs BNK FEARX (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
LoL: KT Rolster vs Nongshim Red Force (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked Invictus Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: T1 vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winnerbacked T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$67Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$67.27
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed KT Rolster · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$370Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$370
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$102Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+47.1%+$48
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 3 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$90
Games Total: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$310Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$310
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$78Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$78
LoL: T1 vs Top Esports - Game 1 Winnerbacked Top Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$74Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 2, 2025, EST-100%-$74
Showing 25 of 53 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT1040%4 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.06per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Washington Nationals vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$36.32
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$56.82
Chicago Cubs vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$130Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+284.6%+$370
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.54
Athletics vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.12
Spread: New York Mets (-1.5)backed New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.86
Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 14.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$194Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$194.23
Athletics vs. New York Mets: O/U 11.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$186
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$217Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$216.83
All 10 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick42cpaid-41.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$190
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$116Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$84
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.3
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$437Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$437.19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $85 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$208Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$208
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$424Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$424.46
US x Iran ceasefire before Oil hits $120?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.82
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $100 by end of March?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$36.29
All 10 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick48cpaid+3.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tweets — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 14 to April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$284Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+47%+$133.62
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+30.9%+$47.2
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$113Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$112.55
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from April 7 to April 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$291Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$156.37
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$61Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$39
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$28.5
All 8 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 15, 2026, EDT862.5%5 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick59cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$275
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$322Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+53.9%+$173.26
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$67Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$31.39
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$297Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$297
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$194Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+53.5%+$103.62
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs 3DMAX (BO3) - IEM Rio Group Abacked Liquid · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.5
Counter-Strike: HyperSpirit vs bond1e (BO3) - LORGAR RANKINGS Closed Qualifier Play-Inbacked HyperSpirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$13.2
All 8 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT850%4 W · 4 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-28.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+108%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L0.0wins+0.01per pick65cpaid+12.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Tennis — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 14, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+80.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$86.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+62.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$188Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$76.71
Will Bitcoin reach $74,000 April 6-12?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 13, 2026, EDT+85%+$43.6
All 2 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$65
All 2 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 16, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Warriors vs. Clippersbacked Clippers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$63
Magic vs. 76ersbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$1,460Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,460
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will CR Vasco da Gama win on 2026-04-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
Golf Inactivelast resolved Apr 12, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Golf — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Golf, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Rory McIlroy win the 2026 Masters tournament?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$32
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 9, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.30per pick70cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Apr 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.25per pick75cpaid+33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Indian Premier League: Rajasthan Royals vs Mumbai Indiansbacked Rajasthan Royals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$25
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Sep 17, 2025, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2025 meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageSep 17, 2025, EDT-100%-$176.07
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 5, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Current shutdown longest in U.S. history?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 5, 2025, EST-100%-$45
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AC Milan vs. Udinese Calcio: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
SC Freiburg vs. RC Celta de Vigo: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$161Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$160.99
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.