Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xe1d18adf983e8776a45e0219f7fac7bf3df04b8d3eeb565e42cb5f6ec93d7493
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- G2 Esportsof G2 Esports, Shifters
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $42,703
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,882
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $42,703 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x88b9…0fc9backed Shifters | 31c | 15,000$4,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,649.99 | 348 | 37.4%130 W · 218 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Shifters | 33c | 15,000$4,950 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,949.96 | 960 | 48.8%468 W · 492 L | +13.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcc3e…37efbacked G2 Esports | 69c | 9,901$6,831 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,069.2 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 26cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x183f…85e3backed G2 Esports | 67c | 9,306$6,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,070.98 | 1,091 | 53.8%587 W · 504 L | +38.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Shifters | 33c | 3,005$992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$991.62 | 537 | 50.5%271 W · 266 L | +14.6wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2248…bc0ebacked G2 Esports | 67c | 2,194$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$724.18 | 197 | 45.2%89 W · 108 L | -8.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked G2 Esports | 69c | 1,530$1,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$473.4 | 2,406 | 42.6%1,026 W · 1,380 L | +21.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed G2 Esports | 66c | 1,516$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.4 | 918 | 54%496 W · 422 L | -1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a5e…8fd0backed G2 Esports | 67c | 1,463$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.7 | 537 | 53.6%288 W · 249 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed G2 Esports | 68c | 1,327$903 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$424.3 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa5cf…8cc5backed Shifters | 34c | 960.4$327 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.54 | 1,180 | 44.5%525 W · 655 L | -10.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked G2 Esports | 69c | 757.37$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed G2 Esports | 69c | 757.37$523 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.78 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +60.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa2e9…a86ebacked G2 Esports | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 264 | 48.5%128 W · 136 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7af0…509dbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 731.49$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.39 | 252 | 68.3%172 W · 80 L | +14.5wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03f4…7e44backed Shifters | 33c | 630.58$209 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.79 | 962 | 50.1%482 W · 480 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x10b0…8525backed G2 Esports | 67c | 607.39$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200.63 | 1,794 | 51.1%917 W · 877 L | +50.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…f4adbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 438.9$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.84 | 103 | 51.5%53 W · 50 L | +1.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f17…7035backed G2 Esports | 67c | 438.88$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.83 | 115 | 67.8%78 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Shifters | 32c | 433.02$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.57 | 2,362 | 32%755 W · 1,607 L | +42.0wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c4e…6c11backed G2 Esports | 69c | 392.56$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.69 | 367 | 49.9%183 W · 184 L | +15.0wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcea6…67adbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 307.23$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.38 | 281 | 50.5%142 W · 139 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb503…7552backed G2 Esports | 67c | 277.34$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.52 | 163 | 46.6%76 W · 87 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb003…d962backed G2 Esports | 67c | 266.26$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.87 | 791 | 51.8%410 W · 381 L | +15.5wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e59…beeebacked G2 Esports | 73c | 227.91$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.54 | 51 | 60.8%31 W · 20 L | +3.1wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad9a…c3f4backed G2 Esports | 67c | 219.45$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.42 | 62 | 32.3%20 W · 42 L | -3.1wins | -0.05per pick | 37cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8044…358ebacked G2 Esports | 69c | 196.22$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.81 | 254 | 66.5%169 W · 85 L | +22.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked G2 Esports | 68c | 192.04$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.6 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…8a9bbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 153.61$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.69 | 509 | 56.2%286 W · 223 L | +14.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 146.3$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.28 | 166 | 47%78 W · 88 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Shifters | 33c | 142.77$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.11 | 299 | 52.2%156 W · 143 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74ac…9189backed G2 Esports | 67c | 99.66$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.89 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc553…5928backed G2 Esports | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 417 | 43.9%183 W · 234 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x91bc…a124backed G2 Esports | 67c | 98.02$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 53 | 56.6%30 W · 23 L | +4.0wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc22a…8259backed Shifters | 34c | 84.74$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.81 | 381 | 44.6%170 W · 211 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa7f4…46babacked G2 Esports | 67c | 69.87$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.06 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf69…4fa2backed Shifters | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 760 | 28.9%220 W · 540 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c82…5a52backed G2 Esports | 67c | 57.44$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.95 | 316 | 61.1%193 W · 123 L | +16.9wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe891…e3ddbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 57.11$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa3e8…5289backed G2 Esports | 67c | 52.36$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 157 | 59.2%93 W · 64 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed Shifters | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 539 | 54.7%295 W · 244 L | +12.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd80…5ef4backed G2 Esports | 69c | 49.78$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.43 | 83 | 60.2%50 W · 33 L | +9.6wins | +0.12per pick | 49cpaid | +55.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8e86…7932backed Shifters | 34c | 49.43$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.81 | 611 | 50.6%309 W · 302 L | +8.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 43.89$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.48 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcef4…22e0backed G2 Esports | 67c | 36.21$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.95 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 67cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf740…09c1backed G2 Esports | 67c | 30.72$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.14 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 62cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcb…78cfbacked G2 Esports | 66c | 29.4$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 647 | 49.9%323 W · 324 L | -24.9wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb3ce…2ea5backed G2 Esports | 67c | 29.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.66 | 25 | 64%16 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5f22…0fb4backed G2 Esports | 69c | 24.89$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 118 | 59.3%70 W · 48 L | +11.0wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfa9f…7e5dbacked G2 Esports | 67c | 22.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.41 | 204 | 63.2%129 W · 75 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbef9…d257backed G2 Esports | 67c | 19.6$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.47 | 167 | 53.3%89 W · 78 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7645…3117backed G2 Esports | 67c | 18.27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.03 | 823 | 52.7%434 W · 389 L | +41.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…e369backed G2 Esports | 67c | 15.14$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 215 | 46%99 W · 116 L | -8.8wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- Games Total: O/U 2.5Under won
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.