Lol · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x2f96b4051fc160f4db8c8c01b864c7a23a9cb0d360a9e99d25950cfd300d71f5
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $45,183
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $42,980
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $45,183 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4337…8882backed Over | 27c | 24,448$6,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,706.73 | 1,098 | 34.8%382 W · 716 L | -17.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…0ff5backed Under | 72c | 17,534$12,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,921.43 | 594 | 50.2%298 W · 296 L | +6.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Under | 74c | 7,562$5,584 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,978.05 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x509d…0a6bbacked Under | 68c | 5,885$4,002 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,883.14 | 670 | 56.9%381 W · 289 L | +17.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa5…ff32backed Over | 29c | 2,074$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$611.41 | 1,225 | 49.6%607 W · 618 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Over | 26c | 1,504$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked Over | 23c | 1,309$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.08 | 1,134 | 31%352 W · 782 L | -7.8wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd1f…2bd0backed Over | 28c | 1,252$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$349.76 | 39 | 30.8%12 W · 27 L | -0.7wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 27c | 1,111$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$299.97 | 77 | 36.4%28 W · 49 L | -6.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Over | 28c | 1,000$280 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$280 | 103 | 46.6%48 W · 55 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3449…4030backed Under | 69c | 853.39$589 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$264.55 | 214 | 40.2%86 W · 128 L | -12.0wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Over | 29c | 825.34$239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$239.35 | 394 | 50.3%198 W · 196 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2a…3706backed Over | 32c | 821.92$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.01 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.0wins | -0.10per pick | 40cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Under | 76c | 746.97$569 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.22 | 1,170 | 66.2%774 W · 396 L | +69.6wins | +0.06per pick | 60cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xceed…f8eebacked Over | 27c | 700$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189 | 89 | 34.8%31 W · 58 L | -10.4wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Over | 31c | 600$186 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$186 | 508 | 48.4%246 W · 262 L | +13.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd507…a6ddbacked Over | 30c | 548.68$164 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.41 | 300 | 35%105 W · 195 L | -21.3wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xccbd…f1b7backed Over | 27c | 535.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.57 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.22per pick | 39cpaid | +87.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3274…4493backed Over | 10c | 272.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.47 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 24cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a3e…5d9dbacked Under | 68c | 216.35$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.23 | 480 | 42.3%203 W · 277 L | +6.0wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0aae…5efabacked Under | 68c | 135.35$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.31 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked Over | 17c | 133.71$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.26 | 348 | 34.2%119 W · 229 L | -39.9wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2e7c…164dbacked Under | 69c | 131.51$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.77 | 447 | 43.6%195 W · 252 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad72…4f5ebacked Over | 11c | 116.29$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.66 | 759 | 42%319 W · 440 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee49…fc0dbacked Over | 29c | 95.74$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05bc…eabbbacked Over | 21c | 93.69$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.28 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -9.0wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x045d…185dbacked Under | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 634 | 58.4%370 W · 264 L | +9.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc7e…70ecbacked Over | 26c | 60$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 390 | 44.6%174 W · 216 L | -6.2wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5252…a7cdbacked Over | 30c | 48.02$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.37 | 644 | 35.4%228 W · 416 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed Under | 71c | 38.49$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.16 | 285 | 59.6%170 W · 115 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 2.5this page
- First Blood in Game 1?G2 Esports won
- First Blood in Game 2?G2 Esports won
- Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)G2 Esports won
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular SeasonG2 Esports won
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 1 WinnerG2 Esports won
- LoL: Shifters vs G2 Esports - Game 2 WinnerG2 Esports won
- Total Kills Over/Under 22.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 23.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 1?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 24.5 in Game 2?Over won
- Total Kills Over/Under 25.5 in Game 1?Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.