TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x3274…4493

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
100
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
14

Best Category: NBA, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 57 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Weather Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1747.1%8 W · 9 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick35cpaid+17.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Weather — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 22°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+118.2%+$14.98
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 21°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+54%+$6.48
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 32°C on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+167.2%+$35.64
Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 15°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.1
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on April 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT+153.9%+$17.41
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 15°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.36
Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on April 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.48
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+192.9%+$72.37
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+122.5%+$23.18
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.02
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 28°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+324.6%+$44.97
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 25°C on April 26?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.12
Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+65.8%+$9.47
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C on April 26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.04
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on April 22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.16
All 17 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT1526.7%4 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-31.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Middle East — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+159.6%+$37.21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+77.8%+$21.73
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Israel x Hezbollah Ceasefire extended by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT+352.3%+$84.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 29, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$81
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 27, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 26, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$33
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 23, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 22, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT+40.1%+$20.38
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 21, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.54
All 15 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.5wins+0.19per pick27cpaid+103.4%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
NBA — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rockets vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.75
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.28
Lakers vs. Rocketsbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 25, 2026, EDT+266.7%+$107.24
Suns vs. Thunderbacked Suns · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.88
Magic vs. Pistonsbacked Magic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.36
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+464.3%+$101.62
76ers vs. Celticsbacked 76ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+749.1%+$212.86
Timberwolves vs. Nuggetsbacked Timberwolves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+248%+$61.72
Hawks vs. Knicksbacked Hawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+216.1%+$62.16
Raptors vs. Cavaliersbacked Raptors · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.27
Trail Blazers vs. Spursbacked Trail Blazers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Hornets vs. Magic: O/U 218.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT+100%+$12.32
All 13 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.13per pick47cpaid-30.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
NHL — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Canadiens vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Ducks vs. Oilersbacked Oilers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 29, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$8.34
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+147.6%+$21.34
Bruins vs. Sabresbacked Bruins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.1
Ducks vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.16
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.33
All 6 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick32cpaid-47.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Commodities — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tennis Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick14cpaid-35.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Apr 26, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-0.7wins-0.13per pick33cpaid-56.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.32
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Detroit Tigersbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.28
Chicago White Sox vs. Athleticsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$22.72
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.01
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
All 5 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+19.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick24cpaid-13.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 29, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.2wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorant Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 19, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.23
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.1wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.62per pick62cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SC Braga win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-04-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.61per pick39cpaid+159.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+159.2%+$33.42
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+126.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+126.4%+$22
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.11per pick11cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Apr 20, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Team Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.14
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.30per pick30cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)backed Real Madrid CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.5
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.