TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Premier League · resolved market

Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$89,645
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,511

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $89,645 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 156 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Premier League
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over44c21,037$9,301 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,736.3913630.9%42 W · 94 L-7.4wins-0.05per pick36cpaid-10.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc740…217ebacked Over46c6,296$2,883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,413.642035%7 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-23.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xadfa…324ebacked Under57c6,080$3,465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,465.4513348.9%65 W · 68 L-2.7wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x374a…03edbacked Under56c5,842$3,271 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,271.313155%72 W · 59 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xac75…a9e9backed Over43c5,615$2,415 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,200.623647.2%17 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6b85…a3e9backed Under56c4,547$2,546 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,546.21850%4 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+15.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x073a…91e7backed Over44c3,820$1,681 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,138.992100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.53per pick48cpaid+111.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over43c3,798$1,647 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,150.4485048.4%411 W · 439 L+12.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under55c3,724$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.31,17950%590 W · 589 L+7.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under57c3,576$2,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,023.656,04745.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L-21.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e30…ddf9backed Over44c2,450$1,078 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,3721100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.56per pick44cpaid+127.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over43c2,246$966 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,280.2510338.8%40 W · 63 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc922…2618backed Under57c2,000$1,140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,139.9940953.3%218 W · 191 L+11.6wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+7.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under56c1,932$1,082 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,081.6715757.3%90 W · 67 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick59cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under57c1,561$892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$891.875542.3%319 W · 436 L+1.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed Under57c1,554$886 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$885.6612949.6%64 W · 65 L+4.1wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under56c1,490$840 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$839.53661.1%22 W · 14 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Under56c1,222$689 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$689.424656.5%26 W · 20 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-1.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Under57c1,111$633 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$633.2726444.7%118 W · 146 L-11.7wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-2.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Under55c1,100$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6058756.3%49 W · 38 L+5.8wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7299…31f3backed Over45c1,074$484 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$590.9411229.5%33 W · 79 L-9.8wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-25.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x9b97…6084backed Over44c1,000$440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5603043.3%13 W · 17 L-1.4wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-18.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9453…22cfbacked Over38c1,000$380 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62011448.2%55 W · 59 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Under56c973.6$545 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$545.2214459%85 W · 59 L+7.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+11.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xa557…5e8abacked Under2c840.63$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.41933.2%3 W · 90 L-0.2wins0.00per pick3cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under58c840.34$487 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$487.46445.3%29 W · 35 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Under61c800.49$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.320054.5%109 W · 91 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-4.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Under56c778.88$436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$436.1713855.1%76 W · 62 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over52c760.01$393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.994,69641.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L+21.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-14.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x130b…a733backed Over43c752.1$323 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$428.71100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe1a6…d584backed Under56c747.82$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$418.7815255.9%85 W · 67 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd239…2083backed Over44c671.93$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$376.286852.9%36 W · 32 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under55c643.71$354 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$354.0458446.1%269 W · 315 L-12.7wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over43c634.97$273 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$361.945650%28 W · 28 L+3.0wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc602…7fc1backed Under55c617.31$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.527444.6%33 W · 41 L+0.1wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Under56c500$280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28014658.2%85 W · 61 L+6.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+9.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Under56c486.8$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6117959.8%107 W · 72 L+10.7wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Under56c486.8$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.6116858.3%98 W · 70 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+10.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Under54c486$262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$262.4421056.7%119 W · 91 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under55c484.33$268 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267.782,53047.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L+43.2wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked Under54c462$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.4896443.7%421 W · 543 L-10.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-5.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed Under54c462$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.481,20842.2%510 W · 698 L-27.4wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under54c462$249 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$249.481,07445%483 W · 591 L-20.4wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over43c449.21$193 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.0522242.8%95 W · 127 L-5.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Under56c447.86$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.818156.4%102 W · 79 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed Under53c444.1$235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$235.3714553.1%77 W · 68 L+3.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over46c439.96$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.736451.6%33 W · 31 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Under56c434.64$243 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.4837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac8…b6f1backed Over43c426.75$184 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$243.253737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.4wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under56c403.15$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$225.0574644.8%334 W · 412 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-17%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x167a…91d5backed Over43c381.96$164 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.72366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.13per pick53cpaid+23.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked Under58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.961369.2%9 W · 4 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick52cpaid+33.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed Under58c336.14$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$194.96850%4 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Under55c324.03$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2222146.2%102 W · 119 L-5.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under55c318.67$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.3557847.8%276 W · 302 L+18.8wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under62c315.6$195 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.431952.6%10 W · 9 L-1.3wins-0.07per pick59cpaid-10.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under37c300.34$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.467143.7%31 W · 40 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x214a…408abacked Under67c300.26$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.18250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.13per pick63cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc6…85f2backed Over56c300$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$132366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+14.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over46c292.94$135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.931758.8%10 W · 7 L+1.3wins+0.08per pick51cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9691…c6e7backed Under56c292.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.561637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.06per pick43cpaid-23.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Under56c292.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5610960.6%66 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x04a5…d093backed Under56c292.08$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.5610860.2%65 W · 43 L+7.9wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfcb5…9bf1backed Over45c287.23$129 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$157.9837342.6%159 W · 214 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-5.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under55c282.21$156 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156.232951.4%169 W · 160 L+11.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+2.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6b9…de6dbacked Under56c264.38$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$149.2612652.4%66 W · 60 L+10.3wins+0.08per pick44cpaid+11.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x154b…c63dbacked Over43c252.86$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$144.13560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+19.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over40c240.84$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.4396445.4%438 W · 526 L+12.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over43c238.01$103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.8455351.9%287 W · 266 L-1.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked Over45c236.38$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.018653.5%46 W · 40 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under57c232.07$132 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$132.281,92342.4%815 W · 1,108 L-42.9wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under63c231.01$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.5369742.5%296 W · 401 L+13.4wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over44c229.99$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.7141850.7%212 W · 206 L+4.1wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Over43c225.1$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.312138.1%8 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-17%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x35d3…e506backed Over43c224.6$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.0235028.9%101 W · 249 L-19.2wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-17.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under55c200$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11015738.9%61 W · 96 L-2.3wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Under57c193.13$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.082157.1%12 W · 9 L-1.7wins-0.08per pick65cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over40c193$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$115.561143.7%267 W · 344 L+0.9wins0.00per pick44cpaid-13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x654d…ba8fbacked Under53c188.7$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.013125.8%8 W · 23 L-3.1wins-0.10per pick36cpaid-30.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x4e8c…79bdbacked Under57c182.88$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.245856.9%33 W · 25 L+5.0wins+0.09per pick48cpaid+11.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x00a6…9ce1backed Over43c177.44$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.141100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.364242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-9.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0204…0e31backed Under56c173.86$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.363650%18 W · 18 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-9.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf23c…de23backed Over56c166.84$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.9650%3 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+22.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5f43…3a74backed Under56c150$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$847853.8%42 W · 36 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Under55c144$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.214128.4%40 W · 101 L-5.1wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-30.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x014c…38ccbacked Over44c140.23$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.539957.6%57 W · 42 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+15.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Under56c139.08$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.881040%4 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Under53c120$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.610848.1%52 W · 56 L+0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb2b4…01fdbacked Under57c119.64$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.1913561.5%83 W · 52 L+3.8wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Under56c119.08$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.277954.4%43 W · 36 L0.0wins0.00per pick54cpaid-8.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under56c116.58$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.9969651.1%356 W · 340 L+6.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over43c112.3$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.013129%9 W · 22 L0.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid-18.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under54c111.27$61 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.561,61534.9%564 W · 1,051 L-28.7wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under43c101.07$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.463342.4%14 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.07per pick49cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1669…1363backed Over36c100$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642638.5%10 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x505a…bb61backed Over44c99.97$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.982766.7%18 W · 9 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+39.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4215…f03abacked Under56c97.36$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5219853%105 W · 93 L+12.2wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+14.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1da…23a3backed Under60c97.08$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.25450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+24.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over43c96.58$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.0559645.5%271 W · 325 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.