Premier League · resolved market
Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ab9a3a615358693c843f7be7289e6055dfe01fce094c51e2d79270149c470dd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Premier Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $26,963
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $34,620
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,963 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 50 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Premier League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Premier League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 4,292$1,281 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,280.81 | 2,530 | 47.7%1,206 W · 1,324 L | +43.2wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdd8e…f023backed Over | 70c | 4,209$2,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,262.57 | 76 | 50%38 W · 38 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 13c | 2,760$364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$364.06 | 6,047 | 45.9%2,776 W · 3,271 L | -21.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 13c | 2,355$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$314.96 | 4,696 | 41.7%1,957 W · 2,739 L | +21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde05…1ababacked Over | 71c | 1,035$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300.14 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 75cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Under | 16c | 925.19$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.19 | 584 | 46.1%269 W · 315 L | -12.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb0d7…0df5backed Under | 31c | 655.56$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Under | 30c | 499.99$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.09 | 418 | 50.7%212 W · 206 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd9ea…b781backed Over | 69c | 451.32$311 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.91 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Under | 30c | 400$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 553 | 51.9%287 W · 266 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 30c | 345$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.5 | 277 | 52.3%145 W · 132 L | +8.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Under | 29c | 316.8$91 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.08 | 1,615 | 34.9%564 W · 1,051 L | -28.7wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 24c | 271.73$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 71 | 43.7%31 W · 40 L | -4.2wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Over | 62c | 251.06$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.16 | 141 | 28.4%40 W · 101 L | -5.1wins | -0.04per pick | 32cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf23c…de23backed Under | 31c | 236.99$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.91 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +22.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 14c | 213.47$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.82 | 1,923 | 42.4%815 W · 1,108 L | -42.9wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a08…2e25backed Under | 14c | 199.43$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.92 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa38e…8917backed Over | 68c | 196.16$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.77 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +3.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Over | 69c | 148.52$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.04 | 1,161 | 57.4%666 W · 495 L | +40.5wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd69e…3393backed Over | 68c | 144.24$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.16 | 68 | 60.3%41 W · 27 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b38…4d61backed Under | 30c | 143.7$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.11 | 161 | 36.6%59 W · 102 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0095…42c1backed Over | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 48 | 52.1%25 W · 23 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4d16…4e1fbacked Over | 70c | 140.29$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.09 | 74 | 63.5%47 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b44…d8debacked Over | 67c | 128$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.24 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | +6.5wins | +0.08per pick | 41cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3322…7dc2backed Under | 13c | 126.36$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.43 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fe9…33fbbacked Over | 70c | 125$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 67c | 111.62$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 611 | 43.7%267 W · 344 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 29c | 111$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.15 | 1,589 | 53.3%847 W · 742 L | +39.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Under | 29c | 108.61$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.61 | 578 | 47.8%276 W · 302 L | +18.8wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed Over | 69c | 104.44$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.35 | 696 | 51.1%356 W · 340 L | +6.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 70c | 98.2$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.46 | 596 | 45.5%271 W · 325 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 36c | 84.85$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.85 | 746 | 44.8%334 W · 412 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 30c | 71.99$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.58 | 808 | 53.6%433 W · 375 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed Over | 70c | 66.81$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.32 | 329 | 51.4%169 W · 160 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc98d…778fbacked Under | 31c | 64.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60f6…25d5backed Over | 71c | 61.72$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1513…831abacked Under | 37c | 52.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.24 | 34 | 67.6%23 W · 11 L | +5.5wins | +0.16per pick | 52cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Over | 70c | 51.87$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.61 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.18per pick | 68cpaid | -31.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaab6…607ebacked Over | 70c | 50.02$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.25 | 396 | 51.5%204 W · 192 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb63a…7637backed Over | 70c | 49.1$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.73 | 61 | 60.7%37 W · 24 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 70c | 47.7$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.31 | 42 | 66.7%28 W · 14 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24f…7c58backed Over | 70c | 42.74$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 59cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd815…9e3bbacked Over | 71c | 41.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.04 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0045…9007backed Over | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -4.0wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -46.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 70c | 35.07$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.52 | 208 | 64.9%135 W · 73 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Over | 69c | 32$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 1,179 | 50%590 W · 589 L | +7.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea65…d27dbacked Over | 70c | 29.46$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.84 | 58 | 60.3%35 W · 23 L | -8.2wins | -0.14per pick | 75cpaid | -18.9%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6769…f8b9backed Over | 71c | 27.68$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.03 | 52 | 51.9%27 W · 25 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a91…7ebabacked Over | 66c | 22.26$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.57 | 83 | 62.7%52 W · 31 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb2e4…dfbebacked Over | 70c | 15.43$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Premier League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Nottingham Forest FC (-2.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Spread: Sunderland AFC (-1.5)Nottingham Forest FC won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 3.5Over won
- Sunderland AFC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 4.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.