MLB · resolved market
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c61aeebca2d67da35f49675b9f6ce67d5f0ebc7d5c6494a4d299dc75591697f
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Atlanta Bravesof Philadelphia Phillies, Atlanta Braves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $842,651
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $872,028
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $842,651 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 297 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Atlanta Braves | 64c | 114,278$73,612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40,666.89 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 100,000$36,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,000 | 210 | 40%84 W · 126 L | -4.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8e0…ad50backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 90,000$30,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30,599.83 | 311 | 49.2%153 W · 158 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63a5…8e33backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 66,573$27,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,959.9 | 64 | 45.3%29 W · 35 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Atlanta Braves | 66c | 50,203$32,913 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,290.13 | 1,381 | 48.1%664 W · 717 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 17c | 49,220$8,227 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,227 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a2…14b8backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 48,980$32,327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,653.2 | 182 | 41.2%75 W · 107 L | -9.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1d1a…0df6backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 47,944$30,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,220.68 | 154 | 51.9%80 W · 74 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 37,085$12,795 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,794.68 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x22f9…f814backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 32,759$19,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,758.62 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 26,514$9,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,491.54 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd36…a8acbacked Atlanta Braves | 65c | 24,565$15,990 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,575.6 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 24,475$15,909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,566.25 | 595 | 49.7%296 W · 299 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3349…c0b8backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 23,909$13,867 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,041.88 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x691a…d113backed Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 19,223$1,624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,624.17 | 280 | 49.6%139 W · 141 L | +8.9wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfa5f…6bfebacked Atlanta Braves | 58c | 18,342$10,638 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,703.48 | 75 | 50.7%38 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd100…853dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 17,236$7,239 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,239 | 541 | 52.1%282 W · 259 L | +12.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 16,643$6,990 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,989.96 | 1,215 | 47.6%578 W · 637 L | -19.4wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3625…1187backed Atlanta Braves | 62c | 15,761$9,772 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,989.29 | 379 | 53.6%203 W · 176 L | +18.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 14,897$5,317 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,317.33 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 14,121$9,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,978.92 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6498…8910backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 13,714$9,052 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,662.9 | 517 | 56.5%292 W · 225 L | +5.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0767…36b0backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 12,304$7,136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,167.64 | 77 | 50.6%39 W · 38 L | -1.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 21c | 11,551$2,379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,378.51 | 2,389 | 43.4%1,037 W · 1,352 L | -25.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Atlanta Braves | 63c | 10,640$6,697 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,943.19 | 1,660 | 50.1%832 W · 828 L | -22.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf519…906bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 10,000$3,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,500 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fba…d08abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 9,622$3,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,560.14 | 531 | 50.5%268 W · 263 L | +19.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcd21…a494backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 8,562$3,153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,153.48 | 111 | 46.8%52 W · 59 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b05…aed5backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 8,029$4,657 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,372.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1711…5698backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 7,853$4,555 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,298.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb317…4704backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 7,820$4,536 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,284.4 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24c2…3696backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 7,768$4,505 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,262.56 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2037…473dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 6,240$2,558 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,558.28 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | -4.8wins | -0.25per pick | 52cpaid | -48.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x805e…a098backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 5,858$3,398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,460.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Atlanta Braves | 65c | 5,753$3,739 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,013.41 | 920 | 54%497 W · 423 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 5,555$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.8 | 1,402 | 48.8%684 W · 718 L | -11.6wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 4,868$1,801 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,801.06 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9019…64c3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 4,846$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.51 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | +0.7wins | +0.07per pick | 12cpaid | -29%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5c45…2160backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 4,703$2,728 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,975.26 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd106…c79cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 4,399$1,538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,538.46 | 1,515 | 51.1%774 W · 741 L | +7.5wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c4…5919backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 3,975$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.33 | 1,180 | 7.2%85 W · 1,095 L | -13.6wins | -0.01per pick | 8cpaid | -37.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 3,918$2,586 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,332.26 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 3,844$1,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,345.4 | 190 | 53.7%102 W · 88 L | +4.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 9c | 3,153$284 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$283.71 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 3,117$1,233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,233.14 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 3,079$1,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,293.1 | 1,289 | 47.2%609 W · 680 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54d0…8e20backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 2,968$1,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,009.28 | 321 | 57%183 W · 138 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 2,947$1,120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,119.79 | 1,572 | 48.3%759 W · 813 L | -6.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7760…21f0backed Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 2,892$1,157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,156.8 | 2,369 | 47.4%1,122 W · 1,247 L | -11.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd3df…82fabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 2,834$1,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,018.2 | 488 | 50.2%245 W · 243 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 2,765$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.7 | 206 | 47.1%97 W · 109 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebce…f3a2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 1c | 2,536$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.13 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | +33.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 0c | 2,504$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 876 | 2.9%25 W · 851 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 2cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b1e…65c1backed Philadelphia Phillies | 31c | 2,250$698 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.5 | 299 | 48.8%146 W · 153 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8545…23bebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 2,201$815 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$814.57 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa969…1a84backed Philadelphia Phillies | 36c | 2,105$757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$756.66 | 174 | 52.9%92 W · 82 L | +8.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 1,977$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$672.34 | 86 | 46.5%40 W · 46 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 2c | 1,954$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.89 | 60 | 46.7%28 W · 32 L | +4.3wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | +11.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,733$643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$642.66 | 1,769 | 51.6%912 W · 857 L | +16.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 1,652$1,057 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$594.67 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,643$603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$602.75 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x986c…3180backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 1,562$552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$551.8 | 515 | 47%242 W · 273 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5dc…ec43backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.64 | 407 | 53.6%218 W · 189 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdad7…4d85backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,456$597 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$597 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5525…9ab2backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,371$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$562 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x861f…e2bbbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,354$555 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd714…9a62backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 1,321$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.81 | 49 | 44.9%22 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 1,187$784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$403.71 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5760…40aabacked Philadelphia Phillies | 42c | 1,149$483 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$482.6 | 53 | 37.7%20 W · 33 L | -7.1wins | -0.13per pick | 51cpaid | -27.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x49f2…d7b4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,106$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.47 | 51 | 43.1%22 W · 29 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3237…5658backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 1,031$598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$432.99 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6dd4…160cbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -34.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,000$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 159 | 42.1%67 W · 92 L | -7.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f01…0d90backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 1,000$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9693…1c29backed Philadelphia Phillies | 41c | 1,000$410 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$410 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 1,000$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$375 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x329c…2485backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 974.8$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$409.42 | 92 | 62%57 W · 35 L | +8.9wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +21.8%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 854.43$316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$316.14 | 707 | 35.1%248 W · 459 L | -31.7wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Philadelphia Phillies | 37c | 816.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.46 | 1,010 | 48.1%486 W · 524 L | -13.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7fea…8f74backed Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 816.22$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.21 | 880 | 46.4%408 W · 472 L | -22.6wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5a…4289backed Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 815.29$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.35 | 86 | 48.8%42 W · 44 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbddf…5964backed Philadelphia Phillies | 11c | 806.68$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.73 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.8wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef3…df7fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 28c | 804.32$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.37 | 117 | 25.6%30 W · 87 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 26cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc463…9a2fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 38c | 801.41$308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307.96 | 338 | 52.7%178 W · 160 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc314…3501backed Philadelphia Phillies | 3c | 749.64$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 45cpaid | -59.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 7c | 708$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.26 | 263 | 15.6%41 W · 222 L | -11.9wins | -0.05per pick | 20cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x87af…c990backed Philadelphia Phillies | 34c | 706.18$240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.1 | 327 | 42.2%138 W · 189 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe292…84b8backed Philadelphia Phillies | 39c | 670$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.6 | 1,402 | 43.1%604 W · 798 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Atlanta Braves | 66c | 667.91$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.09 | 1,708 | 49.9%852 W · 856 L | -17.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Atlanta Braves | 68c | 662.17$452 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$209.76 | 4,035 | 57.7%2,330 W · 1,705 L | +72.2wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc070…203abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 35c | 549.14$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.2 | 119 | 41.2%49 W · 70 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed Atlanta Braves | 64c | 547.9$351 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.25 | 406 | 45.1%183 W · 223 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0862…dc29backed Atlanta Braves | 58c | 544.98$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$230.85 | 198 | 43.9%87 W · 111 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Atlanta Braves | 67c | 514.79$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$169.88 | 507 | 51.7%262 W · 245 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Atlanta Braves | 77c | 511.04$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.45 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xae51…0d08backed Atlanta Braves | 61c | 507.26$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.83 | 364 | 40.1%146 W · 218 L | +9.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies | 33c | 503$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.21 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x70db…f73fbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 40c | 500$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 108 | 42.6%46 W · 62 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc23f…6c8abacked Philadelphia Phillies | 8c | 480.64$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 23cpaid | +62.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe30e…4eedbacked Philadelphia Phillies | 4c | 472.74$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 111 | 16.2%18 W · 93 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -11%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Bravesthis page
- Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)Atlanta Braves won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta BravesYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.