CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce86fa7b0e7ffb71f5a7fa8eabe614011e3923254301fc6bb959b09dca44828e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Vitalityof Spirit, Vitality
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $843,660
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,008,920
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $843,660 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 709 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xa5ea…d96abacked Spirit | 29c | 93,317$27,475 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,475.32 | 424 | 40.3%171 W · 253 L | -12.5wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Spirit | 39c | 49,803$19,593 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19,592.83 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc05…013abacked Vitality | 62c | 40,622$25,035 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15,586.59 | 49 | 71.4%35 W · 14 L | +5.4wins | +0.11per pick | 60cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x67bb…b6efbacked Vitality | 70c | 40,077$28,049 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,028.52 | 760 | 58%441 W · 319 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9bad…861fbacked Vitality | 70c | 36,130$25,314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,816.49 | 16 | 68.8%11 W · 5 L | +3.1wins | +0.19per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Spirit | 36c | 34,267$12,478 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,477.54 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56c9…0d9ebacked Vitality | 70c | 28,747$20,154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,592.64 | 224 | 68.8%154 W · 70 L | -8.2wins | -0.04per pick | 72cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd88…dadbbacked Vitality | 71c | 22,411$15,902 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,508.68 | 648 | 52%337 W · 311 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x871f…5ac9backed Vitality | 71c | 19,653$13,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,699.27 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.3wins | -0.21per pick | 55cpaid | -44.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Spirit | 38c | 18,897$7,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,142.8 | 392 | 48.7%191 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x61fe…0956backed Vitality | 67c | 15,897$10,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,172.27 | 106 | 63.2%67 W · 39 L | +10.5wins | +0.10per pick | 53cpaid | +7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2cad…eb66backed Spirit | 51c | 14,237$7,261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,260.83 | 125 | 71.2%89 W · 36 L | +11.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2924…0f31backed Spirit | 32c | 13,030$4,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,224.39 | 496 | 46.6%231 W · 265 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdd54…b245backed Spirit | 29c | 11,110$3,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,221.86 | 72 | 56.9%41 W · 31 L | +3.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97fd…3313backed Spirit | 30c | 10,000$3,050 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,049.98 | 114 | 39.5%45 W · 69 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3993…cdedbacked Spirit | 30c | 9,175$2,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,752.6 | 836 | 52.5%439 W · 397 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6f2…b422backed Vitality | 72c | 8,278$5,968 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,309.55 | 124 | 51.6%64 W · 60 L | -3.5wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf60…a6f5backed Vitality | 58c | 8,247$4,785 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,462.39 | 500 | 54.4%272 W · 228 L | -9.9wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x90eb…db79backed Vitality | 71c | 8,237$5,848 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,388.8 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc0…4b85backed Spirit | 28c | 7,349$2,029 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,028.64 | 2,066 | 41.5%858 W · 1,208 L | -49.5wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25ac…3e47backed Vitality | 80c | 6,643$5,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,343.24 | 85 | 64.7%55 W · 30 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x87da…53d1backed Spirit | 31c | 6,306$1,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,954.82 | 376 | 46.3%174 W · 202 L | -17.2wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd3b0…329ebacked Vitality | 64c | 6,266$4,031 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,234.85 | 255 | 55.3%141 W · 114 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Spirit | 45c | 6,175$2,757 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,756.56 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d11…99cabacked Vitality | 55c | 6,000$3,300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,700 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Spirit | 37c | 5,952$2,213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,212.71 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d39…6053backed Spirit | 39c | 5,839$2,306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,306.18 | 887 | 46.7%414 W · 473 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Spirit | 31c | 5,562$1,708 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,707.6 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0e1b…ecafbacked Spirit | 43c | 5,482$2,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,340.18 | 2,328 | 51.1%1,189 W · 1,139 L | +92.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3471…f17ebacked Spirit | 37c | 5,438$2,033 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,032.83 | 1,054 | 49%516 W · 538 L | +38.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Spirit | 27c | 5,317$1,446 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,445.73 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Spirit | 36c | 4,836$1,724 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,724.27 | 6,480 | 42.9%2,782 W · 3,698 L | -79.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca40…83f6backed Spirit | 30c | 4,790$1,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,437 | 33 | 24.2%8 W · 25 L | -6.3wins | -0.19per pick | 43cpaid | -51.8%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Spirit | 32c | 4,735$1,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,510.6 | 79 | 48.1%38 W · 41 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x880b…c98bbacked Spirit | 45c | 4,600$2,091 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,090.66 | 410 | 40%164 W · 246 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e53…bf9abacked Spirit | 24c | 4,377$1,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,056.43 | 69 | 47.8%33 W · 36 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfaf1…795fbacked Spirit | 30c | 4,350$1,308 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,308.29 | 290 | 46.9%136 W · 154 L | -7.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6395…d69dbacked Spirit | 36c | 4,262$1,517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,517.1 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf559…f462backed Vitality | 69c | 4,249$2,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,303.98 | 190 | 55.8%106 W · 84 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x746e…4238backed Vitality | 49c | 4,136$2,046 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,089.6 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -28.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6bdd…1b11backed Spirit | 33c | 4,121$1,360 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,360 | 220 | 45.5%100 W · 120 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb95c…7913backed Vitality | 70c | 4,067$2,847 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,220.06 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x955c…ce96backed Spirit | 37c | 3,837$1,432 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,432.4 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf21d…922bbacked Vitality | 71c | 3,817$2,710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,107.03 | 230 | 56.1%129 W · 101 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Spirit | 40c | 3,749$1,502 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,501.86 | 1,513 | 57.2%865 W · 648 L | +65.4wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xce80…08edbacked Vitality | 50c | 3,702$1,851 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,851.22 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Spirit | 43c | 3,635$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,551.11 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3bae…885abacked Vitality | 69c | 3,453$2,393 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060.34 | 276 | 58%160 W · 116 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f97…4059backed Spirit | 30c | 3,450$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.99 | 461 | 49.9%230 W · 231 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8f76…aea6backed Vitality | 71c | 3,394$2,410 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$984.34 | 148 | 39.2%58 W · 90 L | -15.4wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad8f…6b52backed Spirit | 41c | 3,259$1,352 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,352.25 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd752…85d4backed Vitality | 53c | 3,250$1,725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525 | 368 | 37.5%138 W · 230 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7972…594fbacked Vitality | 72c | 3,206$2,309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$897.12 | 89 | 51.7%46 W · 43 L | -5.2wins | -0.06per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf67d…c986backed Spirit | 30c | 3,184$955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$955.13 | 111 | 33.3%37 W · 74 L | -5.5wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8056…b64dbacked Spirit | 31c | 3,118$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.45 | 1,623 | 44.9%728 W · 895 L | +4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf7c2…9b8dbacked Spirit | 32c | 3,057$979 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$979.37 | 471 | 47.3%223 W · 248 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fa8…b715backed Vitality | 67c | 3,025$2,026 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$999.37 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +38%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x634a…6de3backed Vitality | 69c | 3,000$2,070 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$930 | 426 | 51.6%220 W · 206 L | -12.3wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6df5…6430backed Spirit | 2c | 2,893$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 1,278 | 21.9%280 W · 998 L | -24.3wins | -0.02per pick | 24cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x928a…8044backed Vitality | 55c | 2,887$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,299.35 | 203 | 58.6%119 W · 84 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8976…7367backed Spirit | 50c | 2,867$1,444 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,443.79 | 156 | 48.1%75 W · 81 L | +10.0wins | +0.06per pick | 42cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe41f…d9dcbacked Vitality | 70c | 2,806$1,964 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.71 | 656 | 50.3%330 W · 326 L | -15.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf2a…5ae1backed Spirit | 31c | 2,783$863 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$862.74 | 129 | 55%71 W · 58 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Spirit | 46c | 2,745$1,263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,262.82 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2371…d59fbacked Spirit | 40c | 2,463$974 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$974.22 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe308…25cdbacked Spirit | 48c | 2,400$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,162.89 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 27cpaid | -64.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3351…4e2dbacked Spirit | 31c | 2,369$745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$745.04 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecee…a577backed Spirit | 29c | 2,284$662 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$662.39 | 82 | 26.8%22 W · 60 L | -7.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -39.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0cdc…b939backed Vitality | 49c | 2,234$1,095 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,139.35 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.39per pick | 61cpaid | +69.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe407…d090backed Vitality | 69c | 2,181$1,495 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.66 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked Spirit | 31c | 2,167$669 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$668.62 | 92 | 32.6%30 W · 62 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3763…345fbacked Spirit | 42c | 2,093$889 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$889.09 | 535 | 45%241 W · 294 L | -11.6wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b10…9659backed Vitality | 68c | 2,052$1,395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$656.57 | 467 | 49.7%232 W · 235 L | -12.4wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c9c…bcfcbacked Spirit | 30c | 2,021$606 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$606.41 | 152 | 55.3%84 W · 68 L | +8.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8705…edbabacked Spirit | 28c | 2,013$556 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$555.66 | 401 | 40.6%163 W · 238 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc3a…a2abbacked Spirit | 50c | 2,000$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.50per pick | 50cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a96…4e13backed Vitality | 70c | 2,000$1,390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$609.99 | 223 | 58.7%131 W · 92 L | +11.1wins | +0.05per pick | 54cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2aa7…003fbacked Vitality | 62c | 2,000$1,240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$759.94 | 117 | 53.8%63 W · 54 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x252f…8911backed Vitality | 49c | 1,939$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$988.79 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | +4.6wins | +0.12per pick | 35cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Spirit | 26c | 1,883$484 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$484.22 | 612 | 28.9%177 W · 435 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3741…517ebacked Spirit | 42c | 1,882$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$784.45 | 197 | 41.6%82 W · 115 L | -7.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10c3…44b4backed Vitality | 61c | 1,881$1,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$735.9 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +82.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x678c…1debbacked Vitality | 64c | 1,873$1,204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$669.51 | 30 | 60%18 W · 12 L | +2.3wins | +0.08per pick | 52cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x933f…1540backed Spirit | 47c | 1,860$873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$872.85 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf5e…4189backed Vitality | 55c | 1,818$1,008 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$809.93 | 334 | 52.1%174 W · 160 L | +10.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86af…f384backed Vitality | 71c | 1,739$1,235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.3 | 97 | 64.9%63 W · 34 L | +4.2wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0bb9…9dd0backed Vitality | 70c | 1,687$1,181 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$506.08 | 41 | 73.2%30 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.12per pick | 61cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5922…bf1cbacked Vitality | 59c | 1,663$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$685.89 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.33per pick | 67cpaid | +51.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Vitality | 69c | 1,645$1,129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$515.9 | 789 | 63.8%503 W · 286 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x31d4…a7abbacked Spirit | 30c | 1,533$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.84 | 164 | 47%77 W · 87 L | +7.6wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x846c…0366backed Vitality | 65c | 1,509$977 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$531.66 | 189 | 63.5%120 W · 69 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7951…bb41backed Spirit | 29c | 1,500$435 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$434.99 | 970 | 40.7%395 W · 575 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbc6f…f0f0backed Vitality | 66c | 1,484$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.71 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x994d…3d8dbacked Spirit | 28c | 1,481$417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$417.11 | 528 | 34.3%181 W · 347 L | -6.4wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…39d8backed Vitality | 67c | 1,472$980 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.44 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcdca…66ebbacked Vitality | 49c | 1,454$708 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$745.67 | 284 | 43.7%124 W · 160 L | -5.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa16b…b541backed Vitality | 55c | 1,453$795 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$658.38 | 434 | 55.1%239 W · 195 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed Vitality | 50c | 1,452$730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$721.83 | 618 | 37.9%234 W · 384 L | -22.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x182d…73e9backed Spirit | 30c | 1,438$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.39 | 786 | 39.4%310 W · 476 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…db99backed Spirit | 30c | 1,437$431 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$431.1 | 117 | 40.2%47 W · 70 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio PlayoffsVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 1 WinnerVitality won
- Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality - Map 3 WinnerVitality won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-1.5) vs Spirit (+1.5)Vitality won
- Map Handicap: VIT (-2.5) vs Spirit (+2.5)Vitality won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.