TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Real Betis Balompiéof Real Madrid CF, Real Betis Balompié
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$61,178
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$66,720

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $61,178 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 122 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdb85…152fbacked Real Madrid CF30c15,967$4,790 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,7903525.7%9 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.19per pick45cpaid-47.3%equal weight37-0.11 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed Real Betis Balompié70c8,000$5,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,40011054.5%60 W · 50 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Real Betis Balompié63c4,898$3,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,802.6214146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ae4…0ddebacked Real Madrid CF31c4,600$1,425 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,425.4310%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Real Betis Balompié61c3,097$1,900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,196.74645.7%21 W · 25 L-3.7wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-15.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x762e…4bf0backed Real Betis Balompié61c2,671$1,635 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.99366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+21.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfb13…5946backed Real Betis Balompié70c2,657$1,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$79710558.1%61 W · 44 L+3.5wins+0.03per pick55cpaid+4.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF38c2,222$845 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$844.844,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Real Betis Balompié69c2,169$1,497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$672.3422448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Real Betis Balompié69c1,869$1,296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.036160.7%37 W · 24 L+1.9wins+0.03per pick58cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Real Betis Balompié61c1,155$709 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$446.973,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95b7…d633backed Real Betis Balompié69c1,100$759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3417851.3%40 W · 38 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Real Betis Balompié61c1,090$664 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$425.874450%22 W · 22 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+6.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Real Betis Balompié70c1,082$754 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.3264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Real Madrid CF39c1,014$396 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395.6324344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x72d7…1b97backed Real Madrid CF25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25023727%64 W · 173 L+8.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid+6.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe75e…4b67backed Real Betis Balompié70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3009056.7%51 W · 39 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x288a…0048backed Real Betis Balompié70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30010257.8%59 W · 43 L+2.2wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Real Madrid CF29c999.98$290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$289.9911120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Real Betis Balompié70c976.34$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$292.948251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc61d…3933backed Real Madrid CF30c958$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.48432.1%27 W · 57 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-13.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40b4…1483backed Real Madrid CF51c948.18$485 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485.361266.7%8 W · 4 L+2.3wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+78.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x3f6a…a7bfbacked Real Betis Balompié70c900$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27010759.8%64 W · 43 L+5.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8f8b…9e2dbacked Real Betis Balompié70c800$560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2409556.8%54 W · 41 L-0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x32cc…bb62backed Real Madrid CF31c795.85$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$244.35714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick28cpaid-58%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Real Betis Balompié71c771.49$548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$223.731471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x5445…439ebacked Real Madrid CF30c713.39$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$214.021050%5 W · 5 L+0.5wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+14.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb272…ee5abacked Real Madrid CF27c708.3$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.2430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Real Betis Balompié70c679.94$477 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$202.7292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfef8…0b4dbacked Real Madrid CF30c638.67$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.6425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick21cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Real Madrid CF31c617.16$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.242821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7eb8…902abacked Real Madrid CF34c560.33$192 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$192.23735.1%13 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick37cpaid-17.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Real Madrid CF30c523.61$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157.0812626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc0e…a1fabacked Real Madrid CF39c513.72$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.391241.7%5 W · 7 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick29cpaid+46.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xfe11…18cfbacked Real Betis Balompié70c510$357 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15313163.4%83 W · 48 L+8.5wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+9.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Real Madrid CF38c502.87$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.041,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf1e0…041bbacked Real Betis Balompié70c500$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1509660.4%58 W · 38 L+4.2wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x315f…85c6backed Real Madrid CF45c498.06$222 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$222.372142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e05…2ebcbacked Real Betis Balompié70c436.67$306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13112863.3%81 W · 47 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+10%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Real Madrid CF42c400$168 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1682334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb85…8464backed Real Betis Balompié62c394.03$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.7315446.1%71 W · 83 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+7.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Real Madrid CF29c390.49$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.242,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d13…643cbacked Real Madrid CF29c373.96$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.454146.3%19 W · 22 L-4.1wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-19.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x47fb…0c7bbacked Real Betis Balompié70c354.93$248 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$106.4412066.7%80 W · 40 L+12.3wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+15.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Real Betis Balompié70c354.51$247 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$107.21,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcf45…c794backed Real Madrid CF29c349.98$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.4920%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.40per pick40cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf853…8088backed Real Madrid CF30c318.69$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.611330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick51cpaid-47.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a61…bbb2backed Real Madrid CF31c309.38$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.861225%3 W · 9 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick18cpaid+79.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6ed3…0a22backed Real Betis Balompié70c300$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$908758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+2.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3d6a…26f7backed Real Madrid CF30c283.4$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86.241533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Real Madrid CF35c272.89$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.7620142.8%86 W · 115 L+2.6wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcff3…2eeebacked Real Madrid CF36c267.11$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.161637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-26.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x00c1…8768backed Real Madrid CF38c261.63$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.1810%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Real Madrid CF40c252.39$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100.3120241.6%84 W · 118 L+5.3wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Real Betis Balompié70c248$174 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.428045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5e0f…c18cbacked Real Madrid CF30c234.58$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.372035%7 W · 13 L-1.9wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-30.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x503a…860abacked Real Betis Balompié62c220.66$137 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.85955.6%5 W · 4 L+2.0wins+0.22per pick33cpaid+45.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc6af…05c6backed Real Madrid CF46c210.35$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.763135.5%11 W · 20 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick48cpaid-26.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x9531…18ffbacked Real Madrid CF48c202.39$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.875738.6%22 W · 35 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+10.2%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Real Madrid CF48c201.83$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.883026.7%8 W · 22 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6f81…2bb7backed Real Betis Balompié70c200$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$609060%54 W · 36 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xb4f3…999fbacked Real Madrid CF6c169.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.216836.3%61 W · 107 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-6.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Real Betis Balompié55c163.31$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.283939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1dca…ce96backed Real Madrid CF30c159.67$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.9825%2 W · 6 L-1.2wins-0.15per pick40cpaid-62.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Real Madrid CF35c152.13$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.8722729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3e4…d6b2backed Real Betis Balompié70c150$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4529053.4%155 W · 135 L-1.4wins0.00per pick54cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Real Madrid CF30c149.42$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.827850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Real Madrid CF56c142.97$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.460147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xdecf…caf2backed Real Madrid CF41c117.63$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.235742.1%24 W · 33 L-3.0wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-14.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf1d8…8dd3backed Real Madrid CF41c116.39$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7280%0 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x682f…3265backed Real Betis Balompié71c110.72$79 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.1117856.2%100 W · 78 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Real Madrid CF31c109.93$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.6720441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1df5…1e18backed Real Betis Balompié44c109.82$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.56259.7%37 W · 25 L+8.4wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+24.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Real Betis Balompié70c109.26$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.321,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa07d…a037backed Real Madrid CF33c104.55$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.6441323.2%96 W · 317 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x6924…1455backed Real Madrid CF40c103.15$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.461163.6%7 W · 4 L+2.4wins+0.21per pick42cpaid+50.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xeba1…44dfbacked Real Madrid CF48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48425%1 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick45cpaid-35.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd16b…d69ebacked Real Madrid CF29c99.97$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.99728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick42cpaid-60.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf33f…51dabacked Real Madrid CF50c97.13$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.510361.2%63 W · 40 L+13.8wins+0.13per pick48cpaid+28.3%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Real Madrid CF30c96.95$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.0844039.3%173 W · 267 L-1.0wins0.00per pick40cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed Real Madrid CF29c94.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4133161.3%203 W · 128 L+12.1wins+0.04per pick58cpaid+3.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Real Madrid CF29c94.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4123957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Real Madrid CF29c94.52$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.4120050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ba3…1aecbacked Real Madrid CF38c88.26$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.392737%10 W · 17 L-2.2wins-0.08per pick45cpaid-14%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x37c1…8de1backed Real Betis Balompié44c87.85$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.26529.2%19 W · 46 L-5.7wins-0.09per pick38cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x5a54…4aaebacked Real Madrid CF46c84.14$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.740%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cdd…e595backed Real Madrid CF28c80.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9444424.1%107 W · 337 L-50.1wins-0.11per pick35cpaid-47.7%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x78bf…6df9backed Real Betis Balompié61c80.05$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.22955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.5wins+0.06per pick49cpaid-0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ce2…7e4cbacked Real Madrid CF38c76.78$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.883339.4%13 W · 20 L-2.0wins-0.06per pick45cpaid-31.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x81ae…4440backed Real Betis Balompié71c76.12$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.071758.8%10 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick60cpaid-2.6%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9f9f…2a51backed Real Betis Balompié71c69.2$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.075863.8%37 W · 21 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick63cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4177…a2b4backed Real Madrid CF30c63.87$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.162835.7%10 W · 18 L-1.9wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d6a…8bbcbacked Real Madrid CF30c63.55$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.061844.4%8 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-2.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1c39…442dbacked Real Madrid CF35c62.72$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.974327.9%12 W · 31 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick26cpaid+12.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xfbbc…4572backed Real Madrid CF31c62.65$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.422050%10 W · 10 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7a4…31eebacked Real Madrid CF36c58.13$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.851442.9%6 W · 8 L+0.8wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+15.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Real Betis Balompié69c52$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9768450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Real Betis Balompié69c51$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.6722658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked Real Betis Balompié69c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.2524546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Real Betis Balompié70c50$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1517651.7%91 W · 85 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.