TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$156,380
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$194,559

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $156,380 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 139 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over31c24,385$7,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,677.884,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over31c16,246$4,972 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,971.783,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Under62c16,019$9,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,073.52343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x3234…8b1abacked Under50c9,422$4,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,677.34141.5%17 W · 24 L-4.2wins-0.10per pick52cpaid-29%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8b4b…541bbacked Under70c4,999$3,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,499.84666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick70cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b75…433bbacked Over44c3,297$1,450 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,449.576550.8%33 W · 32 L+5.5wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+21%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over27c3,004$796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$796.3748153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb177…1914backed Under57c2,569$1,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,104.592356.5%13 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+10.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xabd6…ca90backed Under57c2,531$1,443 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,088.361968.4%13 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8393…f0aebacked Under56c2,402$1,345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.84366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.28per pick38cpaid+40.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Under58c2,269$1,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.95683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+125.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8873…09fcbacked Over43c2,267$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$974.961442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-16.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Over35c1,851$654 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$654.0360147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over19c1,536$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$285.3410418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under57c1,357$769 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.350449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x30d9…41c7backed Under57c1,231$701 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$529.14560%3 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+12%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over42c1,229$514 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$513.8264457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over43c1,083$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$465.471,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over22c1,041$228 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$228.061,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under66c1,039$683 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$355.3822753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf58c…0b79backed Under62c913.15$566 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$347.241163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Over42c889.8$378 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$378.0648251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x172d…36cabacked Under58c885.23$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$371.8333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-42.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd14…76b4backed Under59c871.97$514 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$357.511471.4%10 W · 4 L+2.7wins+0.19per pick52cpaid+25.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Under57c854.56$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.464250%21 W · 21 L+1.9wins+0.05per pick45cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbf63…ba76backed Under57c853.42$487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$366.31080%8 W · 2 L+2.5wins+0.25per pick55cpaid+45.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe9d3…079fbacked Under70c732.21$513 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$219.66757.1%4 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.14per pick71cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1a93…c3eabacked Over43c696.63$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.551546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.1wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+19.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xce9d…3c05backed Under58c588.24$341 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$247.063060%18 W · 12 L+3.0wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+26.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x1f4f…6dddbacked Over43c587.21$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.53545.7%16 W · 19 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid-1.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under56c583.37$329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$254.261,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under73c574.47$419 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.8913251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd81f…6b75backed Over43c562.61$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.4422448.2%108 W · 116 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over44c549.09$242 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$241.61872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Over39c516.61$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202.6992345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Under59c495.97$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.352142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid-6.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x03c0…44febacked Under57c487.1$278 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$209.452100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.45per pick55cpaid+80.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Under62c472.84$293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$179.6823152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd243…56e5backed Under80c429.99$342 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$87.583354.5%18 W · 15 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6556…5c7cbacked Under57c427.28$244 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$183.731464.3%9 W · 5 L+2.4wins+0.17per pick47cpaid+19.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Over37c420.94$155 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$155.244942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3982…2befbacked Over21c400.48$84 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$84.3423957.7%138 W · 101 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-1.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d43…ce68backed Under59c377.4$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$154.731145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8769…04aebacked Under80c356.06$285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.21666.7%4 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick72cpaid-11.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc041…a87bbacked Under57c341.82$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$146.981275%9 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.20per pick55cpaid+37.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under49c340.89$168 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$173.15944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd41b…f231backed Under58c336.14$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.186334.9%22 W · 41 L-3.3wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-23.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa0f5…57e2backed Under57c327.16$186 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$140.682552%13 W · 12 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick60cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x775e…6541backed Over43c314.45$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$135.211942.1%8 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick42cpaid+15.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b4cabacked Over30c312.31$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$93.691040%4 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+25%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x551c…fe91backed Over35c304.4$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105.8622553.8%121 W · 104 L+18.6wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+27.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over39c300$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11712626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x85c3…700cbacked Under65c291.06$189 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$101.872441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.5wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over43c287.14$123 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$122.9468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc75b…3ea7backed Over18c284.55$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.1220050.5%101 W · 99 L-0.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe550…4ebbbacked Over35c274.57$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.117128.1%48 W · 123 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick31cpaid-15%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1105…09d0backed Under59c268.5$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.115570.9%39 W · 16 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick69cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0563…340dbacked Under58c228.83$133 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.111100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+72.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8508…c22fbacked Over43c224.6$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.583458.8%20 W · 14 L+3.5wins+0.10per pick49cpaid+11.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under57c221.57$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.3469750.8%354 W · 343 L+3.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over43c221.18$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.4445450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd9ea…b781backed Under58c215.89$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90.676261.3%38 W · 24 L+2.8wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+6.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x20dd…f6acbacked Under59c197.61$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.021275%9 W · 3 L+2.8wins+0.23per pick52cpaid+43.3%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Over22c194.81$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.252339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x62b8…a9aebacked Under57c170.91$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.491250%6 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-8.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under64c168.12$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.473164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x827f…8027backed Under71c166.07$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.16475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.16per pick59cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8d4a…e7cabacked Under59c165.69$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.162676.9%20 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.13per pick64cpaid+20.6%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under54c160.98$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.8814146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2bc2…68cebacked Under58c147.41$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.912100%2 W · 0 L+0.9wins+0.44per pick56cpaid+77.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xcff8…bea7backed Under68c145.18$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.121100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over33c143.64$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.124344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Over45c140.36$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.3127758.5%162 W · 115 L+5.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid-3.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd2d3…a8a3backed Over45c138.26$62 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$62.2210%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Over34c126.52$43 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.7826154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xce20…fa07backed Under80c123.5$99 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.73100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+65%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8006…94dcbacked Over43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.293729.7%11 W · 26 L-0.7wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-7.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x681d…4cbfbacked Over43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.293452.9%18 W · 16 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Over43c112.3$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.291020%2 W · 8 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick44cpaid-67.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ca…5ed4backed Over42c109.99$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.25141.2%21 W · 30 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8bac…0d22backed Under72c105.15$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5cb4…4576backed Over43c103.63$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.5622658.4%132 W · 94 L+10.9wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+10.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under53c102.02$54 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.182050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x02bc…1fd2backed Under59c100$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4115344.4%68 W · 85 L+0.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x25c5…0031backed Under58c99.99$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Over43c98$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.141,56651.6%808 W · 758 L-8.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xef3a…dc6bbacked Under48c96.88$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.385352.8%28 W · 25 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+16.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbbdf…b8a0backed Under58c87.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.851855.6%10 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick58cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2ce1…a25dbacked Under58c87.73$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.852347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.9wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xce27…8a7dbacked Over44c85.66$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.691816.7%3 W · 15 L-2.4wins-0.13per pick30cpaid-51.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbbf3…aa3abacked Under57c85.46$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$36.751060%6 W · 4 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under59c82.66$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.892133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over40c80$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3242158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over44c76.87$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.8220441.7%85 W · 119 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x42a0…3762backed Under47c69.98$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.092254.5%12 W · 10 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick56cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Over43c67.38$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.972857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a3d…316cbacked Over47c64$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.0814552.4%76 W · 69 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over31c61.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.177255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b04…f467backed Over44c57.81$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25.441353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over43c56.15$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.157850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.