TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$138,303
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$158,253

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $138,303 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 111 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under34c22,401$7,632 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,632.24,72947.1%2,225 W · 2,504 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8a92…6941backed Over50c13,613$6,788 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,824.785538.2%21 W · 34 L+3.1wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…651bbacked Under19c9,761$1,810 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,810.4660147.9%288 W · 313 L+50.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+13.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x44c5…8d45backed Over55c9,100$5,005 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,094.9912553.6%67 W · 58 L+10.2wins+0.08per pick45cpaid+14.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked Over67c7,444$5,013 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,430.926468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under44c7,127$3,130 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,129.9882844.8%371 W · 457 L+15.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under32c4,228$1,341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,340.8492345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x54e8…5e6bbacked Over78c3,992$3,103 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$888.822075%15 W · 5 L+1.4wins+0.07per pick68cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under42c3,212$1,349 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,348.872853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over77c2,600$2,002 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5985050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under14c2,226$302 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302.372,33948.5%1,135 W · 1,204 L+1.2wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf07…e601backed Over39c2,224$863 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,360.672040%8 W · 12 L+1.7wins+0.09per pick31cpaid+30.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over30c2,000$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,4003438.2%13 W · 21 L+2.5wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+48.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Under12c1,844$216 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$216.0212626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under49c1,700$837 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$837.13,44443%1,482 W · 1,962 L+31.8wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under40c1,483$586 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.361,65143.9%724 W · 927 L-21.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under14c1,154$165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.261,49738.6%578 W · 919 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Under60c968.72$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.6224344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Under36c797.53$287 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$287.0520043%86 W · 114 L+2.7wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-8.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over25c767.13$191 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$576.1410418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22ac…7409backed Over75c633.24$474 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$159.261656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick66cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over47c556.09$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$296.678041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x64ae…ead9backed Over51c538$274 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$263.6211140.5%45 W · 66 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe626…92b5backed Under55c530.73$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$291.95451.9%28 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf629…38d5backed Under43c527.82$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.96757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+43.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6b…ec86backed Over25c519.52$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.643237.5%12 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.06per pick32cpaid+23.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over80c500$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7032…0a8bbacked Under36c412.4$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.15933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.7wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over55c400$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1802050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3322…7dc2backed Under11c395.87$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.322934.5%10 W · 19 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-25.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ac…5018backed Over60c325.65$195 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.451872.2%13 W · 5 L+3.3wins+0.18per pick54cpaid+26.9%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xa203…11bcbacked Under39c306.48$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.282040%8 W · 12 L-1.6wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-26.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6eb…bc82backed Under12c300$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36812.5%1 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick11cpaid-21.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5c4…89cfbacked Over20c299.36$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$239.49714.3%1 W · 6 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick41cpaid-28.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under40c283.42$113 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$113.3713151.1%67 W · 64 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec15…9b0cbacked Under10c237.44$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.652133.3%7 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick28cpaid+9.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc454…8c31backed Under16c234.6$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.73137.7%1 W · 12 L-1.1wins-0.08per pick16cpaid-46%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under14c225.98$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.6468050.4%343 W · 337 L+15.2wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29b7…48d4backed Over51c209.35$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.587031.4%22 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+23.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2480…c148backed Under14c199.99$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$286512.3%8 W · 57 L-0.3wins0.00per pick13cpaid+29.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4c16…a5e3backed Over58c199.75$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$83.895547.3%26 W · 29 L-0.3wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under61c195.32$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.152857.1%16 W · 12 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+18.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x2831…e84dbacked Over79c190$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.93953.8%21 W · 18 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick52cpaid-0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4676…1639backed Under42c183.85$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.223644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+43.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5944…d541backed Over74c178.13$132 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.31540%2 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.07per pick33cpaid-6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf26f…8f93backed Under11c170.1$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.619611.5%11 W · 85 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-4.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x0764…41d1backed Under59c165.32$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.54650%3 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-11.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa3b…8568backed Under14c161.73$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.343050%15 W · 15 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x3092…c9a8backed Under19c158.03$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.93441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-28.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Under14c155.89$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.8745250.2%227 W · 225 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed Over65c140$91 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4923255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xc46e…9ed8backed Under17c139.74$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.761450%7 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+5.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4829…97ebbacked Over58c133.6$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.48633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.18per pick52cpaid-49%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2be0…6deebacked Under25c126.89$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.672339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick44cpaid-24.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc582…853cbacked Under13c120$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.68510.6%9 W · 76 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid+17%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xade7…9d34backed Over56c119.96$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.347263.9%46 W · 26 L+6.8wins+0.09per pick54cpaid+13.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe619…6342backed Under16c119.58$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.993050%15 W · 15 L+2.2wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under16c118.7$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.9913426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x503a…1e89backed Over66c114.85$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.053141.9%13 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4a81…b80bbacked Under13c109.36$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.2210461.5%64 W · 40 L+11.7wins+0.11per pick50cpaid+23%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd7f9…29a9backed Under33c104.44$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.126154.4%142 W · 119 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick55cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7113…dba4backed Over51c100.3$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.9520341.9%85 W · 118 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-5.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9db0…0f6abacked Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5016745.5%76 W · 91 L+5.9wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+18%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x97b2…1c44backed Over50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$506450%32 W · 32 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0655…faf8backed Over69c99.88$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.27255.6%40 W · 32 L+0.2wins0.00per pick55cpaid-5.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fa5…63afbacked Under49c99.38$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.46825%2 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick31cpaid-51.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8c14…d8fbbacked Over77c98.62$76 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.68683.3%5 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick70cpaid+20.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa178…11a2backed Over63c93.35$59 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34.6922350.2%112 W · 111 L+0.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb844…8cf6backed Over55c93.08$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.85650%3 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc2af…3880backed Over56c92.37$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.031540%6 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-17.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over70c92$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.61776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under43c91.64$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.4944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x1513…831abacked Under16c89.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.243164.5%20 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.08per pick57cpaid+11.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xcfde…8ad8backed Under55c86.69$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.681172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.0wins+0.18per pick55cpaid+51.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4148…4397backed Over58c84.64$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.919246.7%43 W · 49 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9633…94cfbacked Over68c74.8$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa24f…7c58backed Over57c73.89$42 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.132955.2%16 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.04per pick60cpaid-8.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf293…ba11backed Over34c72.26$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.912100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+125%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over60c68.13$41 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.123151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over75c64.49$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$15.9920253.5%108 W · 94 L-0.8wins0.00per pick54cpaid-7.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9379…f116backed Over23c61.93$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.53450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+49.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x89b9…118ebacked Under45c59.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$277949.4%39 W · 40 L-3.0wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5c5f…8eadbacked Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.271346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick57cpaid-16.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf5f2…bb1dbacked Over49c59.35$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.271145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.08per pick54cpaid-20.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xaad3…d0d2backed Under50c58.2$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.12326.1%6 W · 17 L-4.5wins-0.20per pick46cpaid-49.7%equal weight39-0.09 edge/pick
0x35ac…0c64backed Under57c56.35$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.121250%6 W · 6 L-1.1wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-24.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under42c55.98$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.784942.9%21 W · 28 L-3.9wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-21%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1792…118abacked Under20c55.6$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.1218062.2%112 W · 68 L+8.6wins+0.05per pick57cpaid+7.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8a68…22dfbacked Under32c54.1$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.362128.6%6 W · 15 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+28.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd577…c012backed Over47c53.56$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.391250%6 W · 6 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x380c…1099backed Over63c50.88$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.8322366.8%149 W · 74 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d4…5c13backed Over49c49.46$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.226142.6%26 W · 35 L+0.2wins0.00per pick42cpaid+11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf497…5ce0backed Over72c47.79$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.3838748.1%186 W · 201 L+17.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x357b…eb2abacked Under26c47.78$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.42757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.21per pick36cpaid+29.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x1752…682bbacked Under43c47.64$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.48540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.12per pick28cpaid+44%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over51c47.58$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.3130842.9%132 W · 176 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9f28…d173backed Under45c47.23$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.266060%36 W · 24 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick61cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3711…7339backed Over46c42.07$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.723250%16 W · 16 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Over47c41.2$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.843951.3%20 W · 19 L-0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid+4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84ef…6d0dbacked Over67c40.96$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.521275%9 W · 3 L+1.5wins+0.12per pick63cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.