La Liga · resolved market
Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x84cbe898b9efcc82d26f07a02a8de9cf3f9e608a793d35a274d063cd39a17f40
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Betis Balompiéof Real Madrid CF, Real Betis Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,393
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,923
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,393 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 11 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Real Madrid CF | 9c | 3,018$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$263.11 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Real Madrid CF | 10c | 2,991$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.92 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Real Madrid CF | 13c | 936.67$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121.77 | 481 | 53.6%258 W · 223 L | +16.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0b45…ac9fbacked Real Madrid CF | 15c | 633.32$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.09per pick | 44cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9531…18ffbacked Real Madrid CF | 25c | 382$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.5 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Real Madrid CF | 18c | 329.51$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.53 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Real Madrid CF | 10c | 152.14$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.53 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked Real Madrid CF | 20c | 130.84$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.94 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Real Madrid CF | 19c | 127.1$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.89 | 444 | 24.1%107 W · 337 L | -50.1wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8cf0…ab54backed Real Madrid CF | 16c | 121.28$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Real Betis Balompié | 75c | 49.24$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.31 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.