TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$109,688
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$126,326

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $109,688 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 187 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Over63c10,040$6,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,300.884,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9cb9…32f2backed Under35c8,148$2,827 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,320.759028.9%26 W · 64 L-7.0wins-0.08per pick37cpaid-30.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over37c6,887$2,531 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,530.923,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…65ddbacked Under36c5,029$1,817 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,212.032853.6%15 W · 13 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick48cpaid+21.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc0ff…9953backed Over61c4,989$3,044 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,043.522343.5%10 W · 13 L-3.7wins-0.16per pick59cpaid-29.2%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Under41c4,782$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,824.1814146.8%66 W · 75 L-7.0wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-10.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4084…357abacked Under36c3,606$1,298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,307.84683.3%5 W · 1 L+2.3wins+0.38per pick46cpaid+125.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0ddd…bea6backed Under57c3,443$1,948 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,494.631457.1%8 W · 6 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick54cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed Under37c2,889$1,069 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,820.213054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x84ad…bfb7backed Under45c2,654$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,455.7292345.5%420 W · 503 L-30.4wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-18.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Over56c2,469$1,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,374.5848153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x95ef…ff92backed Over22c2,150$477 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$476.6510418.3%19 W · 85 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+5.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over66c2,000$1,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,319.985050%25 W · 25 L-4.0wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf5d1…cdc9backed Under42c1,977$831 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,146.93138.7%12 W · 19 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over64c1,740$1,118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,118.122,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ae4…bf8cbacked Over60c1,667$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000.21060%6 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick58cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under34c1,458$497 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$961.2250449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x6340…1bd0backed Over62c1,258$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$779.8311120.7%23 W · 88 L-10.9wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-40.2%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x3242…0e0bbacked Over29c1,200$348 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3482814.3%4 W · 24 L-6.9wins-0.25per pick39cpaid-62.9%equal weight35-0.13 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under39c1,155$453 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$702.2783444.6%372 W · 462 L+14.9wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5887…994ebacked Over65c1,118$729 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$729.173354.5%18 W · 15 L+2.8wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Over63c1,063$670 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$669.6513645.6%62 W · 74 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-7.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Over77c871.95$671 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$671.483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4520…e501backed Under40c838.68$335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.211643.8%7 W · 9 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-8.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd092…342abacked Over60c834$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500.49564.2%61 W · 34 L+5.0wins+0.05per pick59cpaid+9.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Over66c816.47$536 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$535.94035%14 W · 26 L-6.8wins-0.17per pick52cpaid-39.1%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over65c751.83$488 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$488.2468450.6%346 W · 338 L+15.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb00d…af5fbacked Under57c729.22$418 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$311.111163.6%7 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.11per pick53cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed Over61c706.5$429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$429.4924344.4%108 W · 135 L-4.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-1.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd628…a698backed Under59c673.51$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$278.531675%12 W · 4 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+11.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffd…7821backed Under54c646.89$346 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$300.5113251.5%68 W · 64 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-9.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Under35c639.91$222 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$418.1248251.2%247 W · 235 L-2.8wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc510…5c9fbacked Under80c632.32$506 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$126.461250%6 W · 6 L-1.4wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-26.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee00…0b46backed Under74c600.89$444 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.631747.1%8 W · 9 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb9f…557bbacked Over62c569.8$351 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$350.7712626.2%33 W · 93 L-4.8wins-0.04per pick30cpaid+9.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x46e6…d4cdbacked Under38c565.7$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352.7122753.3%121 W · 106 L+9.7wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+19.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87c8…9cfbbacked Over70c551.39$386 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$385.98966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick66cpaid+13.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xff73…d0dfbacked Over64c526.52$338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$338.27540%2 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e19…1495backed Over58c515.05$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.73955.6%5 W · 4 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick63cpaid-10.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x28a3…f681backed Over45c500$223 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2232050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0def…4ddbbacked Under35c499.42$175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$324.622941.4%12 W · 17 L-3.2wins-0.11per pick52cpaid-20.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Under35c442.57$155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$287.531,17651.9%610 W · 566 L+18.8wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x422c…9840backed Over44c439.27$193 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$193.284235.7%15 W · 27 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick38cpaid-20.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8cc6…85f2backed Over67c415.79$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$278.5810%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe5a8…daabbacked Over66c415.59$274 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274.291471.4%10 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick60cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8644…ad01backed Under35c399.95$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$259.971050%5 W · 5 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick39cpaid+9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over9c378.16$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.0311819.5%23 W · 95 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7ec2…26d7backed Over65c374.66$244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$243.53850%4 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over64c373.27$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$238.371,50838.7%583 W · 925 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ca6…6a20backed Over59c347.18$205 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$204.838041.3%33 W · 47 L-6.5wins-0.08per pick49cpaid-15.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4d62…5409backed Over65c301.23$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$195.84170.7%29 W · 12 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick70cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Over63c300.06$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.0464457%367 W · 277 L+27.8wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xbe5a…13f5backed Over66c300$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1985149%25 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-4.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe4b3…c131backed Over50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-75%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x3a41…1cbbbacked Over58c299.99$174 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-64.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5618…f2c0backed Over59c296.26$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$174.7910%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.59per pick59cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1150…abe0backed Over67c291.76$196 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$196.11163.6%7 W · 4 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6013…9826backed Under78c290.63$226 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.751050%5 W · 5 L-2.4wins-0.24per pick74cpaid-33.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa54d…deb8backed Under63c256.25$161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.812850%14 W · 14 L-1.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb44e…c2c6backed Over66c240.98$159 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$159.053441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick53cpaid-28.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over54c230$124 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12442158%244 W · 177 L+29.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+13.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa209…ffbebacked Over9c219.49$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.93151.6%16 W · 15 L+1.6wins+0.05per pick46cpaid-0.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Over46c218.43$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101.061,65543.8%725 W · 930 L-22.5wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-15.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc621…7c5cbacked Under56c217.32$122 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$95.62944.4%4 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe612…ee20backed Over60c207.9$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.743145.2%14 W · 17 L-0.1wins0.00per pick45cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8a21…ba51backed Over44c204.26$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.8830%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x3b5f…7b99backed Over32c199.99$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$645137.3%19 W · 32 L-3.8wins-0.07per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf800…bdbabacked Under34c199.97$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.9811636.2%42 W · 74 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick43cpaid-16.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under70c199.58$139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$60.155446.3%25 W · 29 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-10.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbd38…99d4backed Over65c198.32$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.911361.5%8 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick63cpaid-4.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cca…08a9backed Over65c195.8$127 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$127.272334.8%8 W · 15 L-1.8wins-0.08per pick42cpaid-18.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xee43…ae9dbacked Over65c194.29$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$126.291656.3%9 W · 7 L-1.2wins-0.08per pick64cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Under35c190.82$66 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$124.6522455.8%125 W · 99 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick57cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf689…3e3fbacked Under35c184.36$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.635343.4%23 W · 30 L-5.5wins-0.10per pick54cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xb4d0…a1c5backed Over65c180.74$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.487850%39 W · 39 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x29a6…6ea4backed Under58c168.07$97 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.595955.9%33 W · 26 L+4.7wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+61.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe500…4b37backed Over65c167.68$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.996460.9%39 W · 25 L+3.8wins+0.06per pick55cpaid+20.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x6705…8184backed Under29c152.11$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.32050%10 W · 10 L+2.6wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+6.3%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x99ec…0da5backed Over66c148.42$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.96650%3 W · 3 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3880…ab7dbacked Over67c146.3$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98.0217458.6%102 W · 72 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over56c146$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.032536%9 W · 16 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick34cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1da…23a3backed Under36c139.37$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.34650%3 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.14per pick36cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa93e…0a8cbacked Over64c137.45$89 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.648353%44 W · 39 L-2.2wins-0.03per pick56cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3fcb…f5ebbacked Under36c133.56$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$85.4813426.1%35 W · 99 L-8.1wins-0.06per pick32cpaid-24.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xdabd…6adabacked Over33c131.61$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.8310127.7%28 W · 73 L-7.1wins-0.07per pick35cpaid-35.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xfbb5…2b6abacked Over41c131.31$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.1522729.1%66 W · 161 L+8.7wins+0.04per pick25cpaid-3.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5e68…16c7backed Over65c131.26$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.324146.3%19 W · 22 L-2.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb0d7…0df5backed Under36c129.55$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.912821.4%6 W · 22 L-3.6wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-44.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdf4f…bdc8backed Under39c123.51$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.34425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-35.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xba67…4727backed Over65c120.74$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.4828045.4%127 W · 153 L-11.1wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-10.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x876d…1327backed Over65c120.49$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$78.322161.9%13 W · 8 L+1.9wins+0.09per pick53cpaid+40.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x97b3…4a85backed Over55c120$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$666256.5%35 W · 27 L+4.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+13.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed Over64c119.98$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.5745450%227 W · 227 L-0.5wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2a73…c2e5backed Over58c118.44$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.4124757.5%142 W · 105 L-0.4wins0.00per pick58cpaid-1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3e2d…fb60backed Over47c116.18$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.614247.6%20 W · 22 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-8.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1835…83afbacked Over54c103.59$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.723441.2%14 W · 20 L-2.9wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-16.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9a36…5eabbacked Over67c100.9$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6366.7%2 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick73cpaid-12%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x93ff…84d1backed Over50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501776.5%13 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.20per pick57cpaid+32.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x1d63…2e49backed Over57c100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$576350.8%32 W · 31 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Over66c100$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6610851.9%56 W · 52 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.