La Liga · resolved market
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9d78582176971025c79a1489bb1ef11e1a3b1509071d21bad558b714d3d21065
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $39,341
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $44,104
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,341 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 55 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 7c | 7,264$535 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$535.44 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 11c | 5,851$660 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.84 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Over | 8c | 3,092$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.21 | 1,662 | 43.7%727 W · 935 L | -23.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Over | 13c | 3,008$381 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.57 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95ef…ff92backed Over | 25c | 1,999$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.85 | 104 | 18.3%19 W · 85 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 18cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83d9…651bbacked Under | 72c | 675.91$490 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.32 | 601 | 47.9%288 W · 313 L | +50.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over | 15c | 634.53$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.9 | 177 | 31.1%55 W · 122 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1f4…2df9backed Under | 69c | 448$309 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.88 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f31…e2b6backed Under | 80c | 426.08$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.22 | 119 | 62.2%74 W · 45 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Under | 80c | 406.44$323 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | -3.9wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -21%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1105…09d0backed Under | 77c | 389.62$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.61 | 55 | 70.9%39 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 69cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Over | 24c | 386.9$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.52 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Over | 23c | 367.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.46 | 1,017 | 33.4%340 W · 677 L | -8.3wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Over | 14c | 362.22$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.36 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8796…c744backed Over | 21c | 357$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.97 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -1.6wins | -0.12per pick | 35cpaid | -60.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc2b4…74dcbacked Under | 77c | 354.95$275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.29 | 26 | 65.4%17 W · 9 L | -1.1wins | -0.04per pick | 70cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1430…a753backed Over | 24c | 330.19$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.69 | 50 | 32%16 W · 34 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb817…bdc7backed Under | 76c | 300.82$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.2 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb9f…557bbacked Over | 23c | 299.25$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.9 | 126 | 26.2%33 W · 93 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb357…2587backed Under | 76c | 258.07$196 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.94 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8662…958dbacked Under | 78c | 227.72$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.1 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 61cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x397e…3d84backed Over | 31c | 214.33$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 490 | 57.1%280 W · 210 L | +26.6wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f93…bffabacked Under | 78c | 194.73$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.84 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 76cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 74c | 191.87$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.95 | 509 | 49.5%252 W · 257 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…a830backed Under | 71c | 152.23$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.15 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 38cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0276…8454backed Under | 69c | 142.23$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9a67…af26backed Under | 70c | 140.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.51 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 70cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2104…b10fbacked Under | 74c | 133.03$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.59 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 73cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Under | 69c | 132.52$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.42 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -29%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee7…f36ebacked Under | 76c | 129.68$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.12 | 19 | 63.2%12 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…8f9fbacked Over | 26c | 110.26$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.67 | 24 | 37.5%9 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a5a…3427backed Under | 75c | 90$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -5.7wins | -0.08per pick | 65cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x811c…fd36backed Under | 78c | 88.03$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.93 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9b1f…f549backed Under | 71c | 86.47$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.08 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +2.3wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee5b…dac8backed Under | 69c | 82.44$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.56 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6c…dc37backed Under | 76c | 77.71$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.65 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.29per pick | 71cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe235…aba2backed Under | 76c | 75.97$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.23 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fcd…bc90backed Under | 73c | 74.12$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.01 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +95.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbb7c…82f2backed Over | 26c | 73.51$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.11 | 65 | 26.2%17 W · 48 L | -2.4wins | -0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2566…03dcbacked Under | 69c | 71.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.05 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +36.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x958d…3501backed Under | 78c | 64.51$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.19 | 194 | 61.9%120 W · 74 L | -7.3wins | -0.04per pick | 66cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x672d…97f1backed Over | 25c | 54.21$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.55 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb4ac…cb84backed Under | 73c | 39.37$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.63 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef92…f133backed Over | 30c | 35.81$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.7 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -1.5wins | -0.13per pick | 54cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…3762backed Under | 68c | 31$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.92 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xade7…9d34backed Under | 71c | 29.48$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.45 | 72 | 63.9%46 W · 26 L | +6.8wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38cf…54fbbacked Under | 76c | 25.94$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Under | 75c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6 | 1,577 | 51.4%811 W · 766 L | -10.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x491c…b765backed Under | 77c | 19.93$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | -9.0wins | -0.12per pick | 66cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2878…2e36backed Under | 76c | 19.06$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.58 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x033c…b4afbacked Under | 75c | 17.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.36 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed Under | 80c | 16.85$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.37 | 746 | 57.4%428 W · 318 L | +22.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8d1f…18cebacked Under | 77c | 16.7$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.84 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +30%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2654…b45fbacked Under | 70c | 16.55$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.92 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 56cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4547…ac9bbacked Under | 75c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.75 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 64cpaid | +22.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5this page
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 1.5Over won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5Under won
- Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-1.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Betis Balompié (-2.5)Real Madrid CF won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-1.5)Real Betis Balompié won
- Spread: Real Madrid CF (-2.5)Real Betis Balompié won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.