TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcff8…bea7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
167
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: CS2, grading 54 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category CS2 at 54 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennislast resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT5950.8%30 W · 29 L+3.4wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+26.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
Tennis — the 59 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cincinnati Open: Flavio Cobolli vs Arthur Filsbacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Marta Kostyuk vs Iga Swiatekbacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
National Bank Open: Ignacio Buse vs Cameron Norriebacked Ignacio Buse · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
National Bank Open: Valentin Vacherot vs Mariano Navonebacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$127.5
National Bank Open: Zizou Bergs vs Sebastian Baezbacked Sebastian Baez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
National Bank Open: Alexei Popyrin vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Roman Andres Burruchaga · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$73Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$73
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 3, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$163.16
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Naomi Osaka vs Alexandra Ealabacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$97.06
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Jessica Pegula vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Diana Shnaider vs Liudmila Samsonovabacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alex de Minaur vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+100%+$100
Set 1 Winner: Cocciaretto vs Osakabacked Cocciaretto · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT+25%+$25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Ugo Humbert vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ugo Humbert · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Jakub Mensikbacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$56.25
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Aleksandar Vukic vs Lorenzo Musettibacked Lorenzo Musetti · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$47.06
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alexandra Eala vs Qinwen Zhengbacked Alexandra Eala · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 28, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keysbacked Liudmila Samsonova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+1,011.1%+$202.22
Mubadala Citi DC Open: Alejandro Tabilo vs Tallon Griekspoorbacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.93
Set 1 Winner: Volynets vs Golubicbacked Golubic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Mubadala Citi DC Open, Qualification: Zachary Svajda vs Cruz Hewittbacked Zachary Svajda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Set 1 Winner: Assche vs Blockxbacked Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Livesport Prague Open: Daria Snigur vs Lilli Taggerbacked Lilli Tagger · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+334.8%+$66.96
Estoril Open: Alexander Blockx vs Luciano Darderibacked Alexander Blockx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT+83.3%+$83.27
Livesport Prague Open: Lilli Tagger vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$500Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$500
Generali Open: Alexander Bublik vs Quentin Halysbacked Alexander Bublik · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Showing 25 of 59 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT4551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
CS2 — the 45 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group Bbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Vitality (BO5) - IEM Rio Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 19, 2026, EDT+41%+$40.25
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.62
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 27, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.1
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Spirit (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Bbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - BLAST Open Rotterdam Group Abacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+199.7%+$99.85
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs FUT Esports (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffsbacked MOUZ · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Astralis vs FURIA (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Legacy - Map 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs 3DMAX (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed 3DMAX · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.4
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.91
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs B8 - Map 1 Winnerbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Games Total: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
Counter-Strike: Monte vs Legacy (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Monte · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs Monte (BO3) - ESL Pro League Stage 2backed Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+203%+$101.52
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs PARIVISION - Map 3 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs MOUZ - Map 2 Winnerbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST+177.8%+$53.33
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Playoffsbacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+151.1%+$75.57
Counter-Strike: Natus Vincere vs G2 (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+100%+$100
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs PARIVISION (BO3) - PGL Cluj-Napoca Group Stagebacked PARIVISION · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.12
Showing 25 of 45 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 11, 2026, EDT2839.3%11 W · 17 L+1.1wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+25.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
UFC — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Brandon Royval vs. Lone'er Kavanagh (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Brandon Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$63.75
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Navajo Stirling (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.31
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Khamzat Chimaev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Tatsuro Taira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
O/U 2.5 Roundsbacked Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$300Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$217.24
UFC Fight Night: Aljamain Sterling vs. Youssef Zalal (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Aljamain Sterling · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$113.59
UFC 327: Paulo Costa vs. Azamat Murzakanov (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Paulo Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+203%+$85.74
UFC 327: Curtis Blaydes vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Curtis Blaydes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.56
UFC Fight Night: Renato Moicano vs. Chris Duncan (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Renato Moicano · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 5, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$138.81
UFC Fight Night: Roman Dolidze vs. Christian Leroy Duncan (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Roman Dolidze · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Ion Cutelaba vs. Oumar Sy (Light Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Ion Cutelaba · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 15, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$73.45
Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$104
UFC 326: Charles Oliveira vs. Max Holloway (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Charles Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+178.6%+$89.28
UFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Reinier de Ridder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$50
UFC 325: Fiziev vs. Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Fiziev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$50
Will the fight be won by submission?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+67.9%+$20.36
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+212.5%+$212.5
Will the match end in a draw or not be completed?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 30, 2025, EST+809.1%+$394.35
UFC 323: Ziam vs. Sadykhov (Lightweight, Prelims)backed Sadykhov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageDec 6, 2025, EST-100%-$50
UFC Fight Night: Muhammad vs. Machado Garry (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Muhammad · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Bautista vs. Nurmagomedovbacked Bautista · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT-100%-$10
Volkov vs. Almeidabacked Volkov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 25, 2025, EDT+156.4%+$46.92
UFC 317: Topuria vs. Oliveirabacked Oliveira · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
UFC 317: Royval vs. Vanbacked Royval · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2025, EDT-100%-$30
Pena vs. Harrisonbacked Pena · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 8, 2025, EDT-100%-$29.6
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2240.9%9 W · 13 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-24.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$440Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$440
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$933Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+495.2%+$4,620.57
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+34.7%+$34.68
Will England win on 2026-07-18?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$540Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$540
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$896Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$896
Will Spain win on 2026-07-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+31.1%+$31.15
Norway vs. England: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+34.2%+$34.23
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$70.27
Switzerland vs. Colombia: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$63.16
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$593Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$593
Portugal vs. Spain: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$470
Brazil vs. Norway: Brazil O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$29.87
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Egypt win on 2026-07-03?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$275Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$275
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$290Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$290
All 22 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Jan 10, 2026, EST633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+28.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-31.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FK Dynamo Kyiv win on 2026-07-16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$26.73
Elimai FK vs. Alashkert FA: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 2 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Apr 28, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Bayern München: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$130Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$130
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-04-14?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.38
All 2 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2025, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.71per pick29cpaid+246.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Nicușor Dan win the Romanian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$1,000Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2025, EDT+246.7%+$2,467.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Apr 24, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Real Betis Balompié vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 24, 2026, EDT+48.1%+$47.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Jan 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 1, 2026, EST-100%-$118
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.