TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Games Total: O/U 4.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$43,493
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$55,340

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,493 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 95 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xb726…0664backed Under68c7,388$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,387.5212649.2%62 W · 64 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-7.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xef26…05babacked Over32c6,097$1,976 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,975.9759839.6%237 W · 361 L-15.9wins-0.03per pick42cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Over1c4,716$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.881,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf31b…241bbacked Over37c2,987$1,104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,103.9122927.5%63 W · 166 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick29cpaid-9.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x606d…1aafbacked Under65c2,491$1,615 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$876.313065.4%85 W · 45 L+2.5wins+0.02per pick63cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Over18c2,193$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.871,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcbf4…e3a6backed Over32c1,560$499 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.1810335.9%37 W · 66 L-5.2wins-0.05per pick41cpaid-18.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3f61…e259backed Under72c1,101$793 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.193357.6%19 W · 14 L+3.3wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x2687…1363backed Under77c1,100$847 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25338868.3%265 W · 123 L+25.7wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+3.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcd43…88d7backed Over37c1,068$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40014532.4%47 W · 98 L-4.0wins-0.03per pick35cpaid-9.9%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x4415…4767backed Under48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5201100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+108.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xdb7f…9550backed Under64c833.33$533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3002458.3%14 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick58cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x30db…07c3backed Over36c833.33$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3003116.1%5 W · 26 L-7.3wins-0.23per pick40cpaid-69.1%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under68c806.13$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$256.383,25750.3%1,638 W · 1,619 L+98.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-6.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked Over35c685.71$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24025261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x87da…53d1backed Over35c571.43$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20037646.3%174 W · 202 L-17.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-9.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd035…f165backed Over7c549.42$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.1118536.2%67 W · 118 L-5.9wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-18.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed Under63c530.49$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$196.3658651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4cbc…a37bbacked Under68c514.43$350 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.625468.5%37 W · 17 L+0.2wins0.00per pick68cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x491d…f42bbacked Under73c497.81$363 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.468758.6%51 W · 36 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa474…32cbbacked Under79c477.22$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.2225846.1%119 W · 139 L+9.6wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+3.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x37d8…36fdbacked Over34c442$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$150.211145.5%5 W · 6 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee4b…43dcbacked Under71c360.23$256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1938051.3%195 W · 185 L+12.5wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1197…8311backed Over48c352.81$169 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$168.974358.1%25 W · 18 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c16…4b37backed Over27c327.28$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.3719549.7%97 W · 98 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Under67c300$201 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99.2544648.4%216 W · 230 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-14.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb3bc…2f60backed Under68c300$204 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965543.6%24 W · 31 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-4.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff9…009dbacked Under68c294.12$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.129548.4%46 W · 49 L-5.1wins-0.05per pick54cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x61d0…6934backed Over20c280$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.85911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Over34c239.54$82 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.764,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x423f…eedcbacked Under67c221$147 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$73.940655.7%226 W · 180 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d8…1ce9backed Under67c217.36$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.736752.2%35 W · 32 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3b63…4acdbacked Under62c211.89$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.5213952.5%73 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick46cpaid+17.5%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Under30c204$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$142.852,77637.4%1,038 W · 1,738 L-140.2wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-20.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Over34c203.85$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.391,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked Over33c191.41$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.113,22551.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L+88.0wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7252…8f5fbacked Under68c191.18$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.18560%3 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.05per pick65cpaid-13%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x66b1…340fbacked Under62c175.72$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.081,15748.2%558 W · 599 L+3.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5541…f1e3backed Over38c171.05$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6519150.8%97 W · 94 L-0.5wins0.00per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfe8a…23cebacked Over36c163.91$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$59.022,21447.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L-5.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-14.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61e4…fb60backed Under67c163.26$109 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.469748.5%47 W · 50 L-4.1wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x1741…6f97backed Over34c150.65$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$511154.5%6 W · 5 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-23.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Under68c150$102 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4842057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf91e…7e0bbacked Under68c147.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.5653859.3%319 W · 219 L+18.2wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+6.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4d44…49e6backed Over35c142.86$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5037850.3%190 W · 188 L-15.7wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-11.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34cd…9675backed Under64c133.5$85 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4813144.3%58 W · 73 L-0.2wins0.00per pick44cpaid-11.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3c5b…93adbacked Over46c130.94$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601650%8 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-13.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05c…aa9bbacked Under77c129.96$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.9621557.2%123 W · 92 L+0.3wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf5f5…0044backed Under67c120$80 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.65244.2%23 W · 29 L-2.3wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5e59…1520backed Over33c119.06$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.246038.3%23 W · 37 L-4.6wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-19.3%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b7f…a8e5backed Over26c114.72$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.318641.9%36 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick39cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4e9e…4bf4backed Over35c114.6$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402850%14 W · 14 L-0.6wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-11.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2d73…044bbacked Over34c106$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.0415441.6%64 W · 90 L-3.8wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-16.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1eda…e2aabacked Over38c105.26$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9b53…5961backed Under68c104.03$71 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.292751.9%14 W · 13 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+4.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6084…e875backed Under46c101.42$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7710152.5%53 W · 48 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Over44c101.2$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.591,37845.2%623 W · 755 L+17.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-7.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa3f3…9b44backed Over34c97.7$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.227425.7%19 W · 55 L-5.9wins-0.08per pick34cpaid-28%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x03ea…1835backed Under67c96.53$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.391560%9 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Over32c89.68$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.781244.3%360 W · 452 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid+2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2b26…57e9backed Under64c88$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.281,48558%862 W · 623 L+66.5wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xe663…7d09backed Under74c81$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.111428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x6bc4…7a41backed Under68c80.92$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.94475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.14per pick61cpaid+18.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a28…41edbacked Over43c75.65$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.66347.6%30 W · 33 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1823…9a8ebacked Over35c71.43$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251936.8%7 W · 12 L-3.6wins-0.19per pick56cpaid-43.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x167d…862abacked Under67c69.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.15170.6%36 W · 15 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick62cpaid+9.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x36bf…2864backed Under42c60$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3519423.7%46 W · 148 L+6.3wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+3.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2ccc…6b82backed Over41c58.84$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.47850%39 W · 39 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc405…8b56backed Over52c52.07$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$274546.7%21 W · 24 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0cf2…6373backed Under56c50.59$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.256861.8%42 W · 26 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick55cpaid+8.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3036…15c2backed Over29c50$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.58847.7%42 W · 46 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8857…7ef8backed Under77c50$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.51546.7%7 W · 8 L-2.0wins-0.13per pick60cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b0c…d43abacked Over33c50$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.546447.6%221 W · 243 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc4c4…6dfdbacked Under69c46.99$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.7716853.6%90 W · 78 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-13.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc525…daf0backed Over32c45.45$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.7230%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcff8…bea7backed Under68c44.12$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.124551.1%23 W · 22 L+2.8wins+0.06per pick45cpaid+21.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x40cc…f83abacked Over33c40.32$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.4112450%62 W · 62 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x006a…d199backed Over38c39.68$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.085141.2%21 W · 30 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick40cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x945a…a48cbacked Over31c38.34$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.935973%18 W · 579 L-221.0wins-0.37per pick40cpaid-90.7%equal weight11-0.36 edge/pick
0xc66b…3827backed Over33c37.24$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.31250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcb6b…604ebacked Over32c35$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.282146.3%380 W · 441 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5837…9a00backed Under62c32.26$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.261450%7 W · 7 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-18.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Under55c31.08$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.031,54733.9%524 W · 1,023 L-73.4wins-0.05per pick39cpaid-33.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x39fd…849ebacked Under53c31$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.571050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-15.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4a0d…6d2ebacked Under69c30.29$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.392524%6 W · 19 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick32cpaid-46.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc209…7924backed Under67c30$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.926660.9%162 W · 104 L+4.5wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc0c2…b14dbacked Over49c26.85$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.1459647.3%282 W · 314 L+8.9wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-7.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x0354…2913backed Over46c26$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.9613540.7%55 W · 80 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-8.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x80b3…e5d9backed Under58c25.86$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.863881.6%31 W · 7 L+5.7wins+0.15per pick67cpaid+21.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x4980…f038backed Under63c19.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.41100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7b…0cc9backed Under68c19$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.086755.2%37 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick56cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb5c9…8368backed Under67c18.78$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.21172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.7wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+12.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7df1…b144backed Under68c18.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0707…1aa6backed Under68c18.44$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.941100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ac6…5780backed Under69c15.74$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.88887.5%7 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.25per pick62cpaid+30%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.