TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe663…7d09

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
59
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Tweets, grading 52 out of 100 (+0.02 per pick).

Best Category Tweets at 52 out of 100; worst Cricket at 47.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2133.3%7 W · 14 L+0.6wins+0.03per pick30cpaid-23.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.6
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$213Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+605.6%+$1,287.39
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$187Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.1
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.7
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$129Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.9
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Mexico · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$102Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$102.5
Canada vs. Morocco: Team to Advancebacked Morocco · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$6
Will Spain reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$3.65
Will Austria reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will England reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$24
Will Sweden reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$36Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$36
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$62Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$61.8
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.5
Will Brazil reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$66Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$34
Will Japan reach the Round of 16 at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Will Canada win on 2026-06-28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$98.49
Iraq vs. Norway: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 16, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$5.6
Brazil vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
All 21 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT1428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FURIA Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Will Team Vitality Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$125Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$125
Will Team Falcons Win the CS2 EWC 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$85
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs MOUZ (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team - Map 1 Winnerbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.5
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+35.2%+$21.11
Will PARIVISION win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$98.58
Will Team Falcons win Blast Bounty Winter 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs PARIVISION (BO5) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST-100%-$15.88
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Team Falcons (BO3) - BLAST Bounty Playoffsbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 24, 2026, EST-100%-$100
Games Total: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+203%+$67
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST-100%-$27
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+400%+$40
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+117.4%+$27
All 14 picks, newest first.
Token Launches Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.08per pick41cpaid-37%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Token Launches — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Token Launches, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Over $1M committed to the Hurupay public sale?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$39.08
Sentient FDV above $600M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$163Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 23, 2026, EST-100%-$162.92
Football.Fun FDV above $100M one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 16, 2026, EST-100%-$45.98
Lighter market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 31, 2025, EST+42.9%+$45.6
Monad market cap (FDV) >$4B one day after launch?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 27, 2025, EST+170.3%+$63
Over $600M committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$411Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$411
Over $1B committed to the Monad public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$302Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 22, 2025, EST-100%-$302
Over $1.4B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT-100%-$106
Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$202Won — open this pick on its own pageOct 30, 2025, EDT+54.1%+$109.25
All 9 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-54.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 17, 2026, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in February?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+58.5%+$99.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Feb 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.31per pick69cpaid+44.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Heat vs. Celticsbacked Celtics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST+44.9%+$8.54
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 8, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Tití Me Preguntó" be played first at the Super Bowl halftime show?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST+37%+$8.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Nov 20, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
World Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Johannes Kaiser win the Chilean presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 20, 2025, EST+31.4%+$36.17
All 1 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Feb 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
AI — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$18.27
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jan 29, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Meta reach $720 in January?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$87Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST-100%-$87.02
All 1 picks, newest first.
Euroleague Inactivelast resolved Apr 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.78per pick78cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Euroleague — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Euroleague, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Qingdao Eagles vs. Guangdong Southern Tigersbacked Qingdao Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$226Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$225.68
All 1 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved Feb 11, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Cricket — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
T20 World Cup: England vs West Indies (Game 1)backed England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.