CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 4.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3275bb97cdd6eccbac788dd0857e557bf15178aa932f1fa0342415cee02a1fa4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $106,803
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,199
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $106,803 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1341…0853backed Over | 58c | 16,704$9,739 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,739.25 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa925…e1c8backed Under | 45c | 15,339$6,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,442.93 | 84 | 46.4%39 W · 45 L | -5.3wins | -0.06per pick | 53cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52ec…a6f3backed Under | 45c | 12,857$5,769 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,087.92 | 469 | 49.7%233 W · 236 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Over | 59c | 8,765$5,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,156.23 | 3,096 | 48.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L | +135.0wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed Under | 32c | 7,112$2,246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,865.86 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 46c | 6,740$3,117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,117.46 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Over | 50c | 4,709$2,345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,345.26 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked Over | 57c | 3,659$2,089 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,089.19 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x000a…4ba4backed Over | 57c | 1,969$1,122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,122.48 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 52cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad4b…e93dbacked Over | 52c | 1,910$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993 | 90 | 50%45 W · 45 L | +6.2wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b3…501cbacked Under | 25c | 1,830$455 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,374.47 | 42 | 19%8 W · 34 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xabaa…81ccbacked Over | 41c | 1,676$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$684.49 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdf43…ae9abacked Over | 56c | 1,659$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.29 | 104 | 45.2%47 W · 57 L | -6.0wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | -22.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83a2…9452backed Over | 72c | 1,259$907 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$907.2 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -38.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…65edbacked Over | 57c | 1,059$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc23e…1461backed Under | 26c | 1,023$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$753.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1464…5e75backed Over | 57c | 1,000$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 218 | 46.8%102 W · 116 L | -9.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Under | 41c | 921.03$378 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$542.65 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x73fd…4c98backed Over | 55c | 846.87$466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$465.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed Over | 37c | 844.79$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310.4 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56f3…e5d3backed Under | 45c | 802.59$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$441.5 | 26 | 42.3%11 W · 15 L | -2.3wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe0ad…683fbacked Over | 57c | 746.04$425 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$425 | 355 | 50.1%178 W · 177 L | -8.4wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f4…20e0backed Under | 70c | 716.14$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.14 | 212 | 51.4%109 W · 103 L | -6.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Over | 53c | 645.41$343 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.96 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0659…d74dbacked Over | 57c | 610$348 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$347.7 | 980 | 52.4%514 W · 466 L | +26.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c0b…7aa5backed Under | 18c | 582.76$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$477.16 | 818 | 43.2%353 W · 465 L | +23.0wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed Over | 57c | 538.6$307 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$307 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…9ec4backed Under | 38c | 500.91$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.91 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed Over | 76c | 499$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.24 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x03f0…63e0backed Under | 62c | 484.12$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.12 | 222 | 53.2%118 W · 104 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1182…b6bbbacked Under | 47c | 429.5$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.5 | 123 | 51.2%63 W · 60 L | -2.6wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0129…53cebacked Under | 55c | 374.68$206 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.61 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.31per pick | 49cpaid | +115.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3b1b…7d5ebacked Under | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 65 | 35.4%23 W · 42 L | -3.7wins | -0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -25.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf7…6428backed Under | 68c | 322.93$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.34 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfcfe…d420backed Over | 57c | 296.49$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 687 | 53.9%370 W · 317 L | -21.6wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcf83…915dbacked Over | 37c | 270.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 107 | 29.9%32 W · 75 L | -8.9wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Under | 43c | 233.26$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.26 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa61d…df1abacked Over | 46c | 220$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.2 | 166 | 49.4%82 W · 84 L | -15.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc2e2…af35backed Under | 33c | 207.86$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.12 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcd7c…454fbacked Over | 54c | 201.67$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.97 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +4.7wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4f65…a0adbacked Over | 58c | 200$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116 | 111 | 50.5%56 W · 55 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9670…b752backed Over | 25c | 194.7$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.88 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68cd…9ea6backed Over | 49c | 182$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.18 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x442d…c987backed Under | 51c | 170$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d75…cf0bbacked Under | 31c | 168.87$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.69 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf98b…57bbbacked Under | 60c | 150$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.64 | 381 | 57.7%220 W · 161 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8b72…6dbebacked Over | 38c | 140$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.1 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +2.5wins | +0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77ed…b5eebacked Under | 44c | 130$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.8 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Under | 35c | 114.29$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.29 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked Under | 10c | 101$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.9 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4627…7c23backed Over | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 374 | 48.4%181 W · 193 L | -16.6wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -10%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd960…1adebacked Under | 45c | 100$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55 | 213 | 43.7%93 W · 120 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x644e…ff58backed Under | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 51 | 47.1%24 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…7d09backed Under | 33c | 100$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd48…b205backed Over | 72c | 94.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.85 | 12 | 75%9 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 67cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7f52…72a2backed Over | 45c | 91.21$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.31 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked Under | 58c | 86.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.38 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbd8…e8e9backed Under | 46c | 80$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.2 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -33%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Over | 61c | 74.29$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.16 | 2,326 | 55.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L | +44.8wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5ab6…bf68backed Over | 57c | 70$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.9 | 25 | 32%8 W · 17 L | -6.1wins | -0.24per pick | 56cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xdd36…873bbacked Under | 28c | 70$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.4 | 246 | 48.8%120 W · 126 L | +17.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed Over | 37c | 64.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 854 | 46.4%396 W · 458 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0657…14efbacked Over | 64c | 54.69$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 83 | 53%44 W · 39 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8331…965abacked Under | 73c | 52.52$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.18 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +59.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdcca…64f6backed Over | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c15…45a0backed Over | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 134 | 41.8%56 W · 78 L | -5.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Under | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4121…0d76backed Under | 30c | 50$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df6…ac3bbacked Over | 57c | 50$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.5 | 307 | 48.9%150 W · 157 L | +6.5wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc05d…abc5backed Over | 80c | 49.28$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.8wins | -0.80per pick | 80cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…431cbacked Under | 31c | 48.54$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.54 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Under | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaaab…a7c6backed Over | 55c | 41.82$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd6…16abbacked Under | 33c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.8 | 109 | 56.9%62 W · 47 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 61cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x97c7…37adbacked Under | 32c | 40$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.2 | 667 | 53.1%354 W · 313 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0974…003dbacked Over | 39c | 39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.18 | 69 | 42%29 W · 40 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x338f…dd63backed Under | 67c | 35.15$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.65 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +3.5wins | +0.11per pick | 61cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x09e4…973ebacked Under | 72c | 31.86$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.92 | 17 | 11.8%2 W · 15 L | -2.7wins | -0.16per pick | 28cpaid | -84.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaa96…4450backed Under | 67c | 30.64$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.11 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked Under | 47c | 29.83$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.83 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 61c | 29.51$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2765…7ee4backed Over | 53c | 23.4$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.4 | 645 | 52.9%341 W · 304 L | +27.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x697e…c4dfbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 268 | 62.3%167 W · 101 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 4.5this page
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 WinnerTeam Falcons won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 3 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.