TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Team Falconsof FURIA, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$216,675
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$265,567

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $216,675 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 148 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA51c49,092$25,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,061.3883652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Team Falcons48c40,643$19,446 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,197.531984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xa925…e1c8backed FURIA53c18,247$9,678 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,678.198446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xde92…5e10backed FURIA24c14,855$3,543 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,542.741258.3%7 W · 5 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons49c13,651$6,660 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,991.431,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Falcons68c10,704$7,270 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,434.1333043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed FURIA41c10,095$4,179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,178.910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6c6e…30f0backed FURIA0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons49c6,674$3,266 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,407.5124846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed FURIA50c5,000$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,50057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons78c4,976$3,859 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,116.93,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xfcf2…1a4ebacked Team Falcons50c3,015$1,507 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,507.474630.4%14 W · 32 L-9.0wins-0.20per pick50cpaid-42.6%equal weight36-0.13 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked Team Falcons66c2,653$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$898.078342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe761…cdb1backed FURIA54c2,369$1,280 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,279.687958.2%46 W · 33 L+4.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+7.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Team Falcons51c2,067$1,054 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,012.676934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xdec6…1d8ebacked Team Falcons49c2,000$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,0208052.5%42 W · 38 L+1.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Team Falcons66c1,781$1,171 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$610.291,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9eea…2625backed FURIA12c1,779$220 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22012641.3%52 W · 74 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-10.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA20c1,645$331 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$330.7946340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1464…5e75backed Team Falcons49c1,505$732 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$772.6321846.8%102 W · 116 L-9.6wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA55c1,503$827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$826.6111852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x60cd…a1b6backed Team Falcons52c1,469$771 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.31435.7%5 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-18.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons52c1,445$747 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$698.041,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe700…dc26backed FURIA12c1,400$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$167333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.12per pick21cpaid+11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Team Falcons53c1,289$685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$603.64,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4ff3…c17fbacked FURIA13c1,285$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1733644.4%16 W · 20 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+16.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa0bd…efddbacked FURIA53c1,242$663 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6631533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.12per pick46cpaid-10.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked Team Falcons50c1,232$616 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.2813050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons50c1,100$547 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$553.529235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Team Falcons48c1,000$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$520425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Team Falcons47c999.99$468 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$531.9913646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed FURIA11c958.28$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.263531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed FURIA40c888$355 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$355.215749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA14c838.09$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11858651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked FURIA51c825.68$420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.811443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x8052…1124backed Team Falcons49c800$392 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40814454.2%78 W · 66 L+9.5wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FURIA28c676.34$188 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187.5428344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed FURIA3c675$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fa…2afebacked FURIA39c647.5$254 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2545060%30 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed FURIA52c600$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3127653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked FURIA50c600$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3007552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked Team Falcons65c576.26$376 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$200.2635550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed FURIA50c556.02$279 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$279.244551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaaa3…76a8backed Team Falcons51c532$271 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$260.68425%1 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.23per pick48cpaid-51%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked Team Falcons49c529.12$258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$270.9417148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed Team Falcons45c500$225 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27511558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbc9f…45debacked FURIA60c499.48$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$299.699341.9%39 W · 54 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-14.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xebd7…9ec4backed FURIA57c499.35$285 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$284.635339.6%21 W · 32 L-2.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-15.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x67b6…b4e6backed FURIA17c473.21$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.61127.3%3 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.10per pick37cpaid-38.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xde53…e5bebacked Team Falcons48c416.98$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.831,26246.9%592 W · 670 L-34.1wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x504f…3ddcbacked Team Falcons49c408.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$208.161656.3%9 W · 7 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick55cpaid-7.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e45…4e63backed FURIA5c400$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed FURIA6c399.99$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2442057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf8a2…c111backed FURIA20c396.28$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$805731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbb4d…de5abacked Team Falcons49c380.82$187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$194.2224440.6%99 W · 145 L-12.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid-14.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked FURIA57c350.88$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2009252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA6c330$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1922560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked Team Falcons47c319.56$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$169.22236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xaf72…4893backed FURIA5c300$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$157321.9%16 W · 57 L-6.8wins-0.09per pick31cpaid-41.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x1ba9…8920backed FURIA47c273.26$128 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.184360.5%26 W · 17 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe663…7d09backed FURIA11c249.99$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$271428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick36cpaid-17.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x217f…5d10backed FURIA13c239.99$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$304827.1%13 W · 35 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick28cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked Team Falcons49c238.03$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$122.035750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5686…7e63backed FURIA31c210.17$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$64.541573.3%11 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.22per pick51cpaid+59.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x4241…6eebbacked FURIA10c206.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$207123.9%17 W · 54 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick30cpaid-44.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1cf9…b7d4backed Team Falcons49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.083154.8%17 W · 14 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd36…873bbacked FURIA7c200.1$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.0124648.8%120 W · 126 L+17.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc330…9794backed FURIA9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$186229%18 W · 44 L-2.8wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-31.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d9a…4e25backed Team Falcons49c200$98 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10214148.9%69 W · 72 L-0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56f3…e5d3backed FURIA53c200$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1062642.3%11 W · 15 L-2.3wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-1.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xdf43…ae9abacked FURIA29c199.83$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.9510445.2%47 W · 57 L-6.0wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x62d1…c018backed FURIA54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003158.1%18 W · 13 L+1.9wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+8.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6f9d…4ad7backed FURIA52c181.09$94 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$94.17728.6%2 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.17per pick46cpaid-50.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xb62e…543bbacked FURIA16c179.98$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.691827.8%5 W · 13 L-2.3wins-0.13per pick40cpaid-35.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xef41…2473backed FURIA51c177.36$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.31per pick56cpaid-54.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4fcc…25e1backed FURIA57c175.44$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006764.2%43 W · 24 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick62cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09e4…973ebacked FURIA8c168.71$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.151711.8%2 W · 15 L-2.7wins-0.16per pick28cpaid-84.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x568a…add0backed FURIA6c166.7$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$101625%4 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.14per pick39cpaid-55.3%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xb377…c4b4backed FURIA32c166.24$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.661250%6 W · 6 L+0.9wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-2.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x4bf7…6428backed Team Falcons46c150.25$69 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.13757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7db…35bdbacked FURIA17c150$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$253339.4%13 W · 20 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+16.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x746e…04dabacked FURIA24c150$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$367643.4%33 W · 43 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+23.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xed44…0cf6backed Team Falcons70c143.34$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.5540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-39.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xca82…997bbacked FURIA14c143.14$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$203043.3%13 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.03per pick41cpaid-4.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xed88…6a3dbacked FURIA54c138.89$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$753847.4%18 W · 20 L-2.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd960…1adebacked FURIA18c135.71$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2521343.7%93 W · 120 L-0.3wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0657…14efbacked Team Falcons52c135.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$65.568353%44 W · 39 L-2.0wins-0.02per pick55cpaid+2.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6cd6…16abbacked Team Falcons70c132.25$93 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.6710956.9%62 W · 47 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick61cpaid-5.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ac4…14f1backed FURIA24c130$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.94531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7acb…8c1dbacked Team Falcons58c116.82$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.8910450%52 W · 52 L-6.9wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-21.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Team Falcons44c113.64$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$63.6421141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c7…37adbacked FURIA37c109.52$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4066753.1%354 W · 313 L+1.9wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0257…22b2backed FURIA55c109.29$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6045455.1%250 W · 204 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1252…f840backed FURIA48c104.08$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501080%8 W · 2 L+1.8wins+0.18per pick62cpaid+23.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x427c…9517backed Team Falcons49c102.84$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52.845639.3%22 W · 34 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-11.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe063…8a04backed Team Falcons52c100$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$483551.4%18 W · 17 L+3.2wins+0.09per pick42cpaid+6.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x6149…8a58backed Team Falcons50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5012152.1%63 W · 58 L+10.9wins+0.09per pick43cpaid+19.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0cd0…0e01backed FURIA23c100$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.54837.5%18 W · 30 L-0.3wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-13.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xaac2…df3abacked FURIA17c100$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.24434.1%15 W · 29 L-1.7wins-0.04per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1406…7683backed FURIA20c100$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick25cpaid-17.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.