TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Team Falcons (BO5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof FURIA, Team Falcons
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$909,941
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,049,100

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $909,941 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 506 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa925…e1c8backed FURIA48c84,983$40,792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44,191.338446.4%39 W · 45 L-5.3wins-0.06per pick53cpaid-13.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcd9b…414dbacked Team Falcons52c75,131$39,141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,140.7111146.8%52 W · 59 L-7.6wins-0.07per pick54cpaid-16.6%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Team Falcons50c44,142$22,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,064.8233043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb3dd…a7e0backed Team Falcons52c41,667$21,667 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,666.659247.8%44 W · 48 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x56c9…0d9ebacked FURIA76c40,678$30,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,878.4322468.8%154 W · 70 L-8.2wins-0.04per pick72cpaid-6.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6ee…697bbacked Team Falcons59c35,078$20,770 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,770.19861.2%60 W · 38 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+11.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3719…2df0backed FURIA48c25,000$12,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13,0002147.6%10 W · 11 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Team Falcons53c22,500$11,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,949.9167041.8%280 W · 390 L-5.9wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-3.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd9a3…b1dfbacked FURIA78c21,711$16,844 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,866.7913050%65 W · 65 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaebf…e1cabacked Team Falcons54c21,681$11,683 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,683.1735940.4%145 W · 214 L-15.9wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-11.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb744…5210backed FURIA50c19,302$9,603 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,698.79942.4%42 W · 57 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2cdb…4d30backed FURIA66c16,360$10,826 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,534.394862.5%30 W · 18 L+5.8wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+35.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x2765…7ee4backed FURIA68c15,339$10,375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,963.7564552.9%341 W · 304 L+27.2wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x3151…0977backed Team Falcons51c14,572$7,463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,462.81984.2%16 W · 3 L+4.6wins+0.24per pick60cpaid+36.2%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x8d36…68fdbacked FURIA58c14,375$8,409 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,966.661127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.7wins-0.25per pick52cpaid-55.8%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x5b45…7f58backed Team Falcons29c14,227$4,085 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,084.573531.4%11 W · 24 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick37cpaid-27.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5ad4…3c1abacked FURIA48c12,345$5,926 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,419.42729.6%8 W · 19 L-2.8wins-0.10per pick40cpaid-34.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA43c11,299$4,848 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,450.971,62144.8%726 W · 895 L+3.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4337…8882backed FURIA46c11,252$5,170 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,081.6988242.3%373 W · 509 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-1.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd735…968ebacked FURIA47c11,170$5,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,920.21825%2 W · 6 L-2.0wins-0.24per pick49cpaid-39.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Team Falcons34c10,981$3,753 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,7533,09648.5%1,501 W · 1,595 L+135.0wins+0.04per pick44cpaid-5.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc701…f932backed FURIA46c10,000$4,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,4001100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.54per pick46cpaid+117.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb875…68a8backed FURIA47c9,972$4,687 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,285.1610549.5%52 W · 53 L+0.1wins0.00per pick49cpaid+8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked FURIA40c9,571$3,820 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,751.4281751.7%422 W · 395 L-6.0wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Team Falcons54c9,271$5,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,006.09520%1 W · 4 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick62cpaid-66.7%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x21ec…5348backed FURIA46c9,000$4,140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,86072453.7%389 W · 335 L+11.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb3d0…5c32backed FURIA48c8,773$4,211 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,562.0716335%57 W · 106 L+4.2wins+0.03per pick32cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x988d…9899backed FURIA47c8,723$4,124 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,598.7326344.5%117 W · 146 L-13.5wins-0.05per pick50cpaid-13.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4b9b…7e7cbacked FURIA48c8,694$4,155 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,538.8821042.9%90 W · 120 L-12.2wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3ffb…df76backed FURIA46c8,043$3,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,343.4825052.8%132 W · 118 L+6.9wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf3ae…7b92backed Team Falcons54c8,000$4,320 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,3208042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd041…7b26backed FURIA49c6,672$3,265 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,406.913633.3%12 W · 24 L-4.1wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-20.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4572…83ffbacked Team Falcons54c6,665$3,574 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,57432348.9%158 W · 165 L-11.5wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-6.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcccc…dbddbacked FURIA47c6,608$3,123 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,48517148%82 W · 89 L-5.5wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-6.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed Team Falcons46c6,444$2,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,959.83548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked Team Falcons53c6,210$3,264 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,263.6583652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bc…8ca3backed Team Falcons48c6,183$2,944 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,943.591,25942.5%535 W · 724 L+20.6wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0bbe…87aebacked FURIA72c6,093$4,414 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,678.771100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdff0…f573backed Team Falcons53c5,590$2,938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,937.734146.6%159 W · 182 L-6.8wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-4.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x25f4…20e0backed FURIA47c5,319$2,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,819.1521251.4%109 W · 103 L-6.9wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-9.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7eed…5a28backed Team Falcons53c5,009$2,655 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,654.949329%27 W · 66 L+2.5wins+0.03per pick26cpaid-3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xbec7…5977backed FURIA48c5,000$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,60057647.6%274 W · 302 L-25.7wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4047…7293backed Team Falcons52c4,992$2,596 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,595.7345848.5%222 W · 236 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+4.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Team Falcons53c4,985$2,642 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,64260953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x25ed…6ac6backed Team Falcons30c4,968$1,478 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,477.889050%45 W · 45 L-0.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa5cf…8cc5backed Team Falcons74c4,888$3,605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,605.0624139%94 W · 147 L-7.4wins-0.03per pick42cpaid+3.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x27c5…6d61backed Team Falcons32c4,747$1,519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5196934.8%24 W · 45 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf516…79a0backed Team Falcons53c4,730$2,507 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,506.92250%11 W · 11 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-11.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2307…3934backed Team Falcons52c4,345$2,259 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,259.2123852.9%126 W · 112 L-0.8wins0.00per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8331…965abacked FURIA55c4,338$2,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,960.223100%3 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.36per pick64cpaid+59.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Team Falcons42c3,974$1,672 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,671.532,32655.7%1,296 W · 1,030 L+44.8wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x51c7…98aabacked FURIA48c3,688$1,770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.525261.5%155 W · 97 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+4.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd6bd…270cbacked FURIA48c3,657$1,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.42450%2 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+4.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x56c6…f706backed FURIA47c3,618$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,917.334362.8%27 W · 16 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick57cpaid+10.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb900…fe44backed Team Falcons63c3,552$2,255 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,254.5310%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5eab…d552backed Team Falcons13c3,518$443 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443.4518624.2%45 W · 141 L-5.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-30.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x60cc…f0dfbacked FURIA50c3,517$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,766.8318051.1%92 W · 88 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6df6…8458backed FURIA46c3,333$1,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,799.8132425.3%82 W · 242 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick26cpaid+10.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x81f5…70afbacked FURIA46c3,200$1,487 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,713.420855.3%115 W · 93 L+18.1wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Team Falcons37c3,137$1,165 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,164.711,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x22d0…6293backed FURIA46c3,130$1,440 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,690.24555.6%25 W · 20 L+2.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ae8…c2a8backed Team Falcons29c3,062$888 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88824846.8%116 W · 132 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x644b…2145backed FURIA47c3,000$1,410 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,59015749%77 W · 80 L+11.4wins+0.07per pick42cpaid+15.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Team Falcons59c2,857$1,688 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,688.185,81037.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L+78.9wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2529…548abacked FURIA46c2,845$1,319 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,526.353,21751.3%1,649 W · 1,568 L+89.2wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc352…a152backed Team Falcons53c2,831$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,500.241668.8%11 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x919d…60e1backed Team Falcons54c2,800$1,504 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5047653.9%41 W · 35 L-1.2wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x15fe…86bebacked Team Falcons29c2,788$815 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$815.1313646.3%63 W · 73 L+2.7wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-3.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe7fa…44e5backed FURIA47c2,766$1,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,465.966546.2%30 W · 35 L+2.7wins+0.04per pick42cpaid+7.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe4da…1772backed FURIA44c2,590$1,150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,439.8253746.2%248 W · 289 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc322…3f23backed FURIA54c2,574$1,378 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,195.98683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.4wins+0.23per pick61cpaid+38.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed FURIA56c2,520$1,405 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,114.8710748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x76a2…9e4cbacked Team Falcons54c2,500$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.9810%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x722b…c68bbacked FURIA80c2,491$1,987 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$504.31070%7 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.12per pick58cpaid+21.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x000a…4ba4backed Team Falcons53c2,455$1,301 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,301.371442.9%6 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.09per pick52cpaid-15.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3f3f…da87backed FURIA33c2,450$798 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,651.993132.3%10 W · 21 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick28cpaid+24.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x40ba…7ea5backed Team Falcons24c2,408$567 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$566.5542057.6%242 W · 178 L+19.3wins+0.05per pick53cpaid+6.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x490a…1d4bbacked Team Falcons31c2,393$742 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$741.829235.6%104 W · 188 L-11.0wins-0.04per pick39cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xcac9…10ecbacked Team Falcons61c2,374$1,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,456.13250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3a37…869bbacked FURIA48c2,349$1,120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,229.17552%39 W · 36 L-3.3wins-0.04per pick56cpaid-8.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xb1bc…bd81backed FURIA49c2,348$1,160 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,188.832100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+68.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1f2d…2b35backed FURIA47c2,339$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,239.9315251.3%78 W · 74 L-3.8wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf6c0…722ebacked FURIA48c2,314$1,111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.272100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.52per pick48cpaid+110.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x39aa…583cbacked FURIA39c2,203$856 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,346.4714142.6%60 W · 81 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf58d…914abacked FURIA48c2,083$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,083.339252.2%48 W · 44 L-4.8wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xae30…079ebacked Team Falcons43c2,062$880 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$880.036544.6%29 W · 36 L-4.2wins-0.06per pick51cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xbdd1…ae72backed FURIA49c2,041$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,040.8228852.1%150 W · 138 L+0.8wins0.00per pick52cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,099.9811852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfcca…c460backed FURIA47c1,920$902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,017.610252%53 W · 49 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdb6a…f116backed Team Falcons73c1,911$1,401 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,401.13425%1 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.36per pick61cpaid-47.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0a68…6525backed FURIA26c1,885$490 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,394.69215.2%14 W · 78 L-6.5wins-0.07per pick22cpaid-54.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x879a…f00ebacked Team Falcons74c1,883$1,392 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,392.3310%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.74per pick74cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3402…9446backed Team Falcons55c1,820$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00110043%43 W · 57 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed FURIA29c1,800$529 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,271.528344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1f99…c209backed Team Falcons44c1,782$785 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$784.566253.2%33 W · 29 L-2.7wins-0.04per pick58cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Team Falcons25c1,705$418 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$417.871,56729.8%467 W · 1,100 L-86.0wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-39%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3520…f128backed FURIA56c1,700$944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75610951.4%56 W · 53 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick48cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA28c1,697$475 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,221.9946340.8%189 W · 274 L-9.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0659…d74dbacked FURIA32c1,673$542 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,131.0297952.4%513 W · 466 L+26.4wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8725…eb10backed FURIA48c1,617$776 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$841.585446.4%396 W · 458 L+0.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.