CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf5f2ba3bb800246469f5261dc216fe5e018a249316aa1ec5b60cd563c45526f6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- FURIAof Vitality, FURIA
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $83,336
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,752
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $83,336 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 72 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x12ce…b9d0backed Vitality | 0c | 35,106$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1569…4e0cbacked FURIA | 71c | 8,001$5,652 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,349.06 | 21 | 71.4%15 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 73cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30b8…f41fbacked Vitality | 48c | 3,250$1,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.3 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.18per pick | 42cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cf4…20b3backed FURIA | 39c | 3,232$1,266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,965.66 | 107 | 48.6%52 W · 55 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa0bd…efddbacked Vitality | 72c | 2,994$2,142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,142.3 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.12per pick | 46cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Vitality | 35c | 2,638$929 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$929.01 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd56b…342dbacked Vitality | 55c | 2,081$1,134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,134.47 | 114 | 43%49 W · 65 L | -12.0wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb7e2…826cbacked Vitality | 76c | 1,840$1,399 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,399.49 | 83 | 42.2%35 W · 48 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed FURIA | 50c | 1,498$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$749 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality | 37c | 1,168$433 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$433.11 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b45…7f58backed Vitality | 36c | 1,163$419 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$419.1 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec98…afcdbacked FURIA | 42c | 1,095$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.49 | 1,611 | 45.4%731 W · 880 L | +30.0wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Vitality | 52c | 1,030$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$530.73 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xaeb5…58e2backed FURIA | 51c | 576.72$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.09 | 463 | 40.8%189 W · 274 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x644b…2145backed FURIA | 31c | 555$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$382.95 | 157 | 49%77 W · 80 L | +11.4wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +15.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbb99…5d0fbacked FURIA | 46c | 551.83$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$297.45 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaacf…5f84backed FURIA | 69c | 466.17$322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.09 | 589 | 61.3%361 W · 228 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0321…bbfabacked Vitality | 45c | 444.44$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e6…53b2backed Vitality | 37c | 409.36$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 60 | 50%30 W · 30 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +15.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc9f…45debacked FURIA | 61c | 401.4$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.5 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d8e…b1c7backed FURIA | 66c | 302.61$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.61 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd92d…e560backed FURIA | 14c | 300$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$257.18 | 586 | 51%299 W · 287 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9f…578abacked FURIA | 33c | 280$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.4 | 130 | 44.6%58 W · 72 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed Vitality | 58c | 261.36$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.59 | 265 | 63%167 W · 98 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 66cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed FURIA | 48c | 260$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.48 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x14fa…73f0backed FURIA | 61c | 219.67$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.67 | 107 | 53.3%57 W · 50 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x677f…1228backed FURIA | 47c | 214.89$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.89 | 137 | 40.9%56 W · 81 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA | 59c | 213.87$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.79 | 225 | 60.4%136 W · 89 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeee2…c762backed FURIA | 48c | 208.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.98 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 62cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…995abacked FURIA | 50c | 194.09$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.22 | 20 | 35%7 W · 13 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -32%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Vitality | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Vitality | 18c | 160$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.6 | 1,181 | 22.5%266 W · 915 L | +3.6wins | 0.00per pick | 22cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x62af…89f3backed Vitality | 67c | 149.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked FURIA | 67c | 124.99$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41 | 303 | 48.5%147 W · 156 L | +3.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xced3…ce6bbacked Vitality | 40c | 122.63$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.4 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf307…a5bdbacked Vitality | 37c | 120$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8e92…cd3dbacked Vitality | 30c | 120$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.4 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 45cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xef39…6ff3backed Vitality | 50c | 119.76$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.96 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xebd7…a617backed Vitality | 21c | 107.78$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.8 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 27cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4731…cba8backed FURIA | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 100 | 55%55 W · 45 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7b…725cbacked FURIA | 36c | 100$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66c6…e75bbacked Vitality | 53c | 94.34$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5cab…a8cfbacked FURIA | 66c | 90.88$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 250 | 70.8%177 W · 73 L | +3.2wins | +0.01per pick | 70cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc36b…3ecfbacked Vitality | 68c | 90.59$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.51 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 61cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe0fd…5b3cbacked Vitality | 60c | 87.62$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.57 | 116 | 44%51 W · 65 L | -5.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4863…dfa4backed Vitality | 45c | 80$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 151 | 51%77 W · 74 L | +6.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc7db…35bdbacked Vitality | 36c | 80$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.8 | 33 | 39.4%13 W · 20 L | +1.4wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2a…e0d7backed FURIA | 50c | 79.98$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.99 | 211 | 41.7%88 W · 123 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14a0…22bbbacked FURIA | 58c | 70$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.4 | 1,393 | 65.9%918 W · 475 L | +26.8wins | +0.02per pick | 64cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…1b46backed Vitality | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 97 | 59.8%58 W · 39 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53f9…e920backed FURIA | 16c | 68.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.75 | 39 | 56.4%22 W · 17 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xca82…997bbacked Vitality | 44c | 68.35$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 30 | 43.3%13 W · 17 L | +0.8wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked Vitality | 62c | 60$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.2 | 421 | 49.6%209 W · 212 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…22b2backed Vitality | 67c | 59.7$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 454 | 55.1%250 W · 204 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed FURIA | 36c | 55.56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.56 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA | 51c | 54.9$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.9 | 736 | 58.2%428 W · 308 L | -22.8wins | -0.03per pick | 61cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2bba…cf95backed FURIA | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0cd0…0e01backed Vitality | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 48 | 37.5%18 W · 30 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe663…7d09backed FURIA | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked FURIA | 47c | 48.7$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.81 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb83f…b17ebacked FURIA | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef8a…4df2backed FURIA | 38c | 40.45$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.97 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +30.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x037c…509ebacked FURIA | 51c | 39.22$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.22 | 19 | 73.7%14 W · 5 L | +4.4wins | +0.23per pick | 50cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02aa…9c2abacked FURIA | 67c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.71 | 289 | 64%185 W · 104 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba96…7379backed FURIA | 52c | 28.85$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.85 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3380…656cbacked FURIA | 44c | 24.64$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe144…e1b4backed FURIA | 62c | 24.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.3 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 59cpaid | +39%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2dae…a50bbacked FURIA | 51c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.31 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -18.8wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -32.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x11c0…a5acbacked Vitality | 60c | 23$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.84 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Vitality | 67c | 22.39$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0433…06c0backed Vitality | 52c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.52per pick | 52cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5769…a5dabacked FURIA | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 69cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 3 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 3.5Under won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.