CS2 · resolved market
Games Total: O/U 3.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xeb92b96a52614208a55c1afd0157323f32fd61b74b7155052139f3a01b8843c6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $8,938
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,279
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $8,938 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x4047…7293backed Under | 41c | 1,558$643 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$915.35 | 458 | 48.5%222 W · 236 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x877e…b283backed Over | 76c | 1,132$861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$861.29 | 63 | 50.8%32 W · 31 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d28…9b1cbacked Over | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed Under | 42c | 982.71$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.64 | 4,238 | 49.2%2,085 W · 2,153 L | +60.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48a5…a903backed Over | 74c | 700$518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$518 | 114 | 40.4%46 W · 68 L | -9.2wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a78…add7backed Over | 50c | 524.23$263 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.98 | 1,969 | 46.7%919 W · 1,050 L | +12.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9823…02dbbacked Under | 35c | 382.03$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.91 | 470 | 55.7%262 W · 208 L | +27.7wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4635…9f6fbacked Under | 56c | 354.39$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$154.39 | 58 | 62.1%36 W · 22 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Under | 76c | 159.5$121 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.26 | 330 | 43.3%143 W · 187 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xef1a…d048backed Under | 39c | 137$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.03 | 115 | 58.3%67 W · 48 L | +9.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9318…a645backed Over | 76c | 131.66$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 136 | 46.3%63 W · 73 L | -9.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x38ce…5431backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 174 | 62.1%108 W · 66 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 64cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed Over | 76c | 131.58$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 367 | 51%187 W · 180 L | -15.8wins | -0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ab…f282backed Under | 23c | 127.52$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.19 | 1,089 | 50.9%554 W · 535 L | +38.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98b7…4947backed Under | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 30 | 30%9 W · 21 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6149…8a58backed Under | 25c | 99.99$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.99 | 121 | 52.1%63 W · 58 L | +10.9wins | +0.09per pick | 43cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7eb3…0710backed Over | 75c | 93.89$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.42 | 127 | 63%80 W · 47 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61be…7ce5backed Under | 35c | 90$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.4 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +40%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f5…1caabacked Under | 24c | 80.03$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.82 | 79 | 35.4%28 W · 51 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -16.9%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x498b…ca86backed Over | 76c | 65.79$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 206 | 59.2%122 W · 84 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x218e…e49dbacked Over | 76c | 50$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 354 | 54.2%192 W · 162 L | -20.1wins | -0.06per pick | 60cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc31…431cbacked Over | 76c | 26.32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +32.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b8d…00b4backed Over | 77c | 25.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 32 | 71.9%23 W · 9 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 64cpaid | +21.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Games Total: O/U 3.5this page
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA (BO5)FURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 1 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 WinnerFURIA won
- Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 3 WinnerFURIA won
- Games Total: O/U 4.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.