TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

CS2 · resolved market

Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 3 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
FURIAof Vitality, FURIA
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$107,909
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$121,603

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $107,909 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 114 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in CS2
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x7e9c…e386backed Vitality0c20,478$101 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10120%0 W · 2 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3993…cdedbacked FURIA50c10,500$5,217 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,283.0983652.5%439 W · 397 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6304…e570backed FURIA50c5,525$2,759 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,765.7522849.6%113 W · 115 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52ec…a6f3backed Vitality49c4,540$2,225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.6146949.7%233 W · 236 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4635…9f6fbacked Vitality51c4,079$2,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,080.285862.1%36 W · 22 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick60cpaid+1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf32d…bbbbbacked Vitality51c3,918$1,998 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,99860953.4%325 W · 284 L-31.0wins-0.05per pick58cpaid-11.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xec98…afcdbacked Vitality45c3,307$1,497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,497.151,61145.4%731 W · 880 L+30.0wins+0.02per pick44cpaid-14.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8156…27c2backed Vitality51c2,985$1,537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,536.863548.6%17 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9975…e7e6backed FURIA51c2,851$1,462 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,389.242360.9%14 W · 9 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick62cpaid-0.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x72aa…90e0backed Vitality49c2,739$1,338 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,337.634,22849.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L+59.9wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-10.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x9823…02dbbacked Vitality50c2,587$1,281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,281.1847055.7%262 W · 208 L+27.7wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+1.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xb7e2…826cbacked FURIA61c2,377$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$920.668342.2%35 W · 48 L-1.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbd8…e8e9backed FURIA54c2,305$1,249 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,056.44633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…53ffbacked Vitality42c2,008$852 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85219849.5%98 W · 100 L+7.7wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+13.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xabdf…e8e4backed FURIA51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.783366.7%22 W · 11 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick59cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x7cf4…20b3backed FURIA48c1,851$891 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.6910748.6%52 W · 55 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed FURIA70c1,831$1,285 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545.6833043.3%143 W · 187 L+1.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8056…b64dbacked FURIA36c1,792$649 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,143.361,62344.9%728 W · 895 L+4.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7a78…add7backed Vitality59c1,509$893 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$892.561,96946.7%919 W · 1,050 L+12.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-14.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd56b…342dbacked Vitality50c1,467$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.711443%49 W · 65 L-12.0wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-24.1%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x4ffe…9f71backed Vitality1c1,453$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.211,5009.9%148 W · 1,352 L-15.8wins-0.01per pick11cpaid-55.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8541…a367backed Vitality47c1,415$658 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$658.228344.2%125 W · 158 L+17.1wins+0.06per pick38cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6df5…6430backed Vitality50c1,187$592 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$591.771,27821.9%280 W · 998 L-24.3wins-0.02per pick24cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6ee9…78e3backed FURIA52c1,158$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$557.69520%1 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-61.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xe0ad…683fbacked FURIA52c996.44$518 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$478.2935550.1%178 W · 177 L-8.4wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-4.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x33dc…bb81backed Vitality51c991.76$506 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505.8250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-20.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5623…6930backed FURIA46c800$368 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43211852.5%62 W · 56 L+10.5wins+0.09per pick44cpaid+25.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x48a5…a903backed FURIA51c750$383 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367.511440.4%46 W · 68 L-9.2wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-21.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xa5fa…2afebacked FURIA52c738.96$384 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$354.75060%30 W · 20 L+4.1wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+16%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb819…cc67backed Vitality52c685.53$356 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$356.2824155.6%134 W · 107 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d8e…b1c7backed FURIA52c642.52$334 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$308.524551.1%23 W · 22 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xaacf…5f84backed Vitality55c569$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.9558961.3%361 W · 228 L-1.6wins0.00per pick62cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x60b6…eb2bbacked Vitality46c543.48$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25026438.6%102 W · 162 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-16.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xef1a…d048backed FURIA30c528.33$158 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8311558.3%67 W · 48 L+9.6wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xea7a…446bbacked FURIA52c423.15$220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$203.146141%25 W · 36 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick42cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfd14…2267backed Vitality51c400$204 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2045,83037.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L+79.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid+0.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x480d…f219backed FURIA50c400$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20036751%187 W · 180 L-15.8wins-0.04per pick55cpaid-10.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1693…bf49backed FURIA51c360$185 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1755655.4%31 W · 25 L+4.9wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+10.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc36b…3ecfbacked FURIA50c357.69$180 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.691764.7%11 W · 6 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick61cpaid+11.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe5c0…3cd3backed FURIA61c341.64$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131.6422560.4%136 W · 89 L+8.1wins+0.04per pick57cpaid+8.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4cb9…3783backed FURIA49c320$157 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.225941.3%107 W · 152 L+6.2wins+0.02per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfc21…9eb9backed FURIA35c300$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$195425%1 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick26cpaid-28.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xba50…ad0bbacked Vitality50c300$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15076748%368 W · 399 L-21.8wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-7.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x696e…0fd8backed Vitality42c266.76$112 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$112.0220%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe203…1b53backed FURIA39c219.44$86 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.4935344.8%158 W · 195 L-1.4wins0.00per pick45cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca38…460bbacked Vitality51c209.8$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10713235.6%47 W · 85 L-8.7wins-0.07per pick42cpaid-17.1%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x30b8…f41fbacked FURIA46c205.13$95 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.99560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.18per pick42cpaid+60.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb83f…b17ebacked FURIA49c204.52$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.8724249.2%119 W · 123 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7eb3…0710backed FURIA52c204.1$106 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$97.9712763%80 W · 47 L+0.2wins0.00per pick63cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4731…cba8backed Vitality50c200$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010055%55 W · 45 L+7.3wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+14.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8b55…d74bbacked FURIA48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10449849.6%247 W · 251 L+4.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6a76…2890backed FURIA51c196.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0818254.4%99 W · 83 L-2.9wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-3.6%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f7b…725cbacked FURIA52c192.31$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.31757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+26.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x953e…79ffbacked FURIA47c188.55$89 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10030348.5%147 W · 156 L+3.0wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+5.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x66c6…e75bbacked Vitality53c188.55$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001947.4%9 W · 10 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1df7…6d89backed Vitality55c181.82$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Vitality49c154.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.0520%0 W · 2 L-1.2wins-0.60per pick60cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8e92…cd3dbacked Vitality50c150$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$752231.8%7 W · 15 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick45cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd92d…e560backed FURIA37c149.99$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$94.4958651%299 W · 287 L+3.8wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe4bb…61babacked FURIA51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.061100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3f6b…fba5backed Vitality69c144.93$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-34.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x498b…ca86backed FURIA51c137.25$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.2520659.2%122 W · 84 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick61cpaid-5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb47f…d792backed Vitality52c136.54$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7115954.7%87 W · 72 L-4.0wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbb99…5d0fbacked FURIA48c134.49$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$69.935750.9%29 W · 28 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x644e…ff58backed FURIA47c129.37$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$68.055147.1%24 W · 27 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-8.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12c4…ff8cbacked FURIA47c120.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$642236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.3wins-0.10per pick47cpaid-29.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x6dc0…699abacked Vitality50c120$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$601,18122.5%266 W · 915 L+3.6wins0.00per pick22cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f21…fa6dbacked FURIA51c111.76$57 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.76450%2 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0a63…fc03backed Vitality50c110.99$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.542142%177 W · 244 L+0.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x12ff…0852backed Vitality50c105.14$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$52.5720445.6%93 W · 111 L-3.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked Vitality60c100$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6042149.6%209 W · 212 L-1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6754…e4fcbacked Vitality50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509153.8%49 W · 42 L+7.2wins+0.08per pick46cpaid+123.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x4f65…a0adbacked Vitality50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5011150.5%56 W · 55 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb2ed…2a85backed Vitality51c100$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5122556.9%128 W · 97 L+0.6wins0.00per pick57cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d9f…578abacked FURIA29c100$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7113044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.0wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+12.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fa9…22ebbacked Vitality60c98.45$59 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$592142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1182…b6bbbacked FURIA57c97.25$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.2512351.2%63 W · 60 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick53cpaid-14.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a2…c111backed FURIA26c96.15$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$71.155731.6%18 W · 39 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick37cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x33f1…7a59backed FURIA52c94.79$49 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$45.518543.2%80 W · 105 L-0.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2bba…cf95backed Vitality52c84.62$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$443452.9%18 W · 16 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2ef5…39edbacked Vitality50c81.62$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8111631.9%37 W · 79 L-2.6wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6f2a…e0d7backed Vitality50c79.8$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.921141.7%88 W · 123 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x2f78…b642backed FURIA47c76.99$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.965044%22 W · 28 L+4.2wins+0.08per pick36cpaid+9.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xf4ad…d00bbacked FURIA27c75$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.7514820.3%30 W · 118 L+2.6wins+0.02per pick19cpaid-28.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2359…f5febacked Vitality72c69.32$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50540%2 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick47cpaid+20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7f22…be14backed FURIA53c66.04$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.047660.5%46 W · 30 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick59cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x037c…509ebacked FURIA49c60.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.831973.7%14 W · 5 L+4.4wins+0.23per pick50cpaid+49.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x7ac4…14f1backed FURIA28c60$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.24531.1%14 W · 31 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-12.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x604a…30e9backed Vitality50c59.46$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.731127.3%3 W · 8 L-2.8wins-0.25per pick53cpaid-44.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xdcaf…8229backed Vitality53c56.34$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308941.6%37 W · 52 L-6.2wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-15.5%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x1103…1a7ebacked FURIA64c56$36 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.26475%3 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.09per pick66cpaid+5.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc5b…f102backed FURIA51c54.9$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.973658.2%428 W · 308 L-22.8wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x733e…859dbacked FURIA55c51.29$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.964944.9%22 W · 27 L-1.5wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+2.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x98b7…4947backed Vitality42c50$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213030%9 W · 21 L-3.6wins-0.12per pick42cpaid-37.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Vitality51c49.02$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2511834.7%41 W · 77 L-10.0wins-0.09per pick43cpaid-18.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x53f9…e920backed FURIA58c48.28$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.283956.4%22 W · 17 L+2.6wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+17.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x5896…643cbacked Vitality52c48.08$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4863…dfa4backed Vitality42c48$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015151%77 W · 74 L+6.3wins+0.04per pick47cpaid-1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ec1…89f5backed FURIA48c48$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.78333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-31.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x664a…1b46backed FURIA42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.629759.8%58 W · 39 L+3.3wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-0.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.