TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x0fa9…22eb

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
136
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst NHL at 40.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
World Politicslast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT2556%14 W · 11 L+3.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+47%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 25 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Count Binface win 20–30% of votes in the Clacton parliamentary by-election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.22
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+62.7%+$37.59
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.53
Will Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.13
Will Starmer say "War" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.38
Will Starmer say "Abuse" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$21.09
Will Starmer say "Reform" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$4.57
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.9
Will Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$31.82
Will Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 18, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.6
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.2
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+445.8%+$111.44
Will Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+28.2%+$7.05
Will Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$48Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+71.9%+$34.31
Will Starmer say "Europe" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+185.7%+$46.43
Will Starmer say "Labour" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$25
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+38.9%+$11.2
Will Keir Starmer say "Epstein" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+242.3%+$62.25
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$28.6
Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+117.4%+$32.4
Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+25%+$2.5
Will Keir Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+840.9%+$113.29
Will Keir Starmer say "McSweeney" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST-100%-$22.91
All 25 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT2441.7%10 W · 14 L+2.1wins+0.09per pick33cpaid+30.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 24 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+520.5%+$265.43
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$35.91
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+143.3%+$88.94
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Spread: England (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.22
England vs. Argentina: Team to Advancebacked England · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.79
Will England reach the Semifinals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.3
Norway vs. England: Team to Advancebacked Norway · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.59
Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$28.66
Norway vs. England: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+87.4%+$20.09
Exact Score: France 2 - 1 Morocco?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Spread: France (-1.5)backed France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$49
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$66.28
Argentina vs. Egypt: Team to Advancebacked Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+525%+$262.5
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$51
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.5
Will Germany win on 2026-06-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$27.18
Will Australia vs. Türkiye end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$15.06
Will Türkiye win on 2026-06-14?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$22
All 24 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jun 20, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L+0.8wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+6.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
CS2 — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs Team Falcons - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Aurora Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$78.32
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs G2 - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$20.58
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs 9z - Map 2 Winnerbacked FURIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$8.47
Counter-Strike: Aurora Gaming vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Playoffsbacked BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Counter-Strike: 9z vs TheMongolz (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed TheMongolz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Counter-Strike: B8 vs FUT Esports (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT+84.8%+$15.12
Counter-Strike: Team Falcons vs G2 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Team Falcons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+81.2%+$26.69
Counter-Strike: MOUZ vs Legacy (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.18
Counter-Strike: TheMongolz vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 3backed BetBoom Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 11, 2026, EDT+134.9%+$16.98
Counter-Strike: BIG vs B8 (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT+182.8%+$28.17
Counter-Strike: B8 vs GamerLegion (BO3) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 2backed B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+501.7%+$96.72
Will "Defuse" be said 5+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "Headshot" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Will "AWP" be said 10+ times during the PGL Bucharest 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Counter-Strike: Spirit vs FURIA (BO3) - IEM Krakow Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$47Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 7, 2026, EST-100%-$47
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 2 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$30
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs FURIA - Map 3 Winnerbacked Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$59Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$59
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Astralis - Map 2 Winnerbacked Astralis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST+125.6%+$15.08
All 21 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 21, 2026, EDT1330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick38cpaid-28.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US-Iran 60 day negotiation period extended?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.39
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$21Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$6.48
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$145Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT+244.8%+$354.98
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.84
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$78.2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$264Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$264.13
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$294Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$293.57
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$218Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$218
US strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$211Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+100.6%+$212.04
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by December 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 23, 2025, EST-100%-$10
Trump agrees to sell F-35 to Saudi Arabia by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 13 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2025, EDT1030%3 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.09per pick39cpaid-3.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
MLB — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Blue Jays vs. Tigersbacked Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2025, EDT-100%-$11
White Sox vs. Raysbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT+495.9%+$54
Red Sox vs. Philliesbacked Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2025, EDT-100%-$15.6
Mets vs. Oriolesbacked Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2025, EDT-100%-$15
Marlins vs. Redsbacked Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$16.62
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$18.45
Cubs vs. Twinsbacked Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2025, EDT-100%-$20
Rockies vs. Red Soxbacked Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+30.7%+$6.14
Dodgers vs. Brewersbacked Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT-100%-$39.23
Blue Jays vs. White Soxbacked White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2025, EDT+138.1%+$27.62
All 10 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST1020%2 W · 8 L-3.0wins-0.30per pick50cpaid-63.9%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
NHL — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rangers vs. Golden Knightsbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST-100%-$12
Penguins vs. Predatorsbacked Penguins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Ducks vs. Red Wingsbacked Ducks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 14, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Capitals vs. Panthersbacked Capitals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST-100%-$15
Kings vs. Maple Leafsbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+72.4%+$14.48
Rangers vs. Lightningbacked Lightning · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$20
Stars vs. Senatorsbacked Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 12, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Kings vs. Canadiensbacked Kings · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+88.7%+$17.74
Islanders vs. Devilsbacked Devils · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$25
Predators vs. Rangersbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 10, 2025, EST-100%-$15
All 10 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-16.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

College Football Inactivelast resolved Nov 19, 2025, EST683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.3wins+0.21per pick62cpaid+35.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
College Football — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in College Football, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Western Michigan vs. Northern Illinoisbacked Western Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 19, 2025, EST+40.8%+$4.9
Texas State vs. Southern Missbacked Southern Miss · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST-100%-$20
UTEP vs. Missouri Statebacked Missouri State · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 15, 2025, EST+47.1%+$9.41
Buffalo vs. Central Michiganbacked Central Michigan · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 13, 2025, EST+75.4%+$11.32
Kansas vs. Arizonabacked Arizona · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+56.3%+$14.06
Houston vs. UCFbacked Houston · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 8, 2025, EST+92.3%+$18.46
All 6 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Nov 18, 2025, EST475%3 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+27.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Cowboys vs. Raidersbacked Cowboys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 18, 2025, EST+56.3%+$6.75
49ers vs. Cardinalsbacked 49ers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 16, 2025, EST+56.3%+$8.44
Eagles vs. Packersbacked Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 11, 2025, EST+96.1%+$24.02
Spread: Texans (-3.5)backed Jaguars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST-100%-$25
All 4 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.7wins-0.55per pick55cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved Nov 9, 2025, EST2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Lol — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will T1 win LoL Worlds 2025?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$17.62
LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)backed T1 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageNov 9, 2025, EST+58.7%+$23.49
All 2 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid-33.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Tweetslast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.12per pick38cpaid+92.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Tweets — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jun 30, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Dec 1, 2025, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+47.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
US x Venezuela military engagement by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageDec 1, 2025, EST+47.1%+$47.63
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Solana reach $120 in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Lincoln: Darwin Blanch vs Bernard Tomicbacked Darwin Blanch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Feb 3, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the government shutdown last 5 days or more?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$81Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 3, 2026, EST-100%-$80.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Nov 7, 2025, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Uspenivka by November 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageNov 7, 2025, EST-100%-$10
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.