NHL · resolved market
Capitals vs. Panthers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb28f5e7b5645ce6d1b98097d34ea23c6205682431595d4558bf1f9aca9e4a769
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Panthersof Capitals, Panthers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,215,318
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,214,986
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,215,318 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 362 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xed88…f3c4backed Panthers | 54c | 547,013$293,294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$253,718.55 | 93 | 40.9%38 W · 55 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x16b2…a881backed Capitals | 46c | 273,737$125,919 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125,919.21 | 881 | 51.2%451 W · 430 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b3d…7422backed Panthers | 54c | 190,316$102,771 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87,545.34 | 140 | 57.9%81 W · 59 L | +10.5wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +15.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…33eebacked Capitals | 43c | 155,406$66,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66,748.93 | 1,345 | 54.8%737 W · 608 L | +21.0wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2c57…c94dbacked Panthers | 54c | 100,000$54,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45,999.96 | 42 | 64.3%27 W · 15 L | +3.6wins | +0.09per pick | 56cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaa07…2125backed Capitals | 46c | 76,843$35,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,670.34 | 1,070 | 49.9%534 W · 536 L | +22.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Capitals | 46c | 74,728$34,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34,374.95 | 390 | 47.9%187 W · 203 L | -13.2wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Capitals | 29c | 60,000$17,304 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,303.84 | 425 | 52.2%222 W · 203 L | +25.0wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf90e…0b56backed Capitals | 47c | 56,622$26,612 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,612.42 | 134 | 49.3%66 W · 68 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc29a…7816backed Capitals | 47c | 48,000$22,560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22,560 | 82 | 40.2%33 W · 49 L | -5.9wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3151…0977backed Panthers | 70c | 44,975$31,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,313.39 | 145 | 38.6%56 W · 89 L | -19.2wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Capitals | 40c | 34,641$13,804 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,803.7 | 2,664 | 51.6%1,375 W · 1,289 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x006c…16eabacked Capitals | 46c | 30,000$13,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,800 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +1.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x057a…3bacbacked Capitals | 11c | 26,582$2,888 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,888.29 | 271 | 43.5%118 W · 153 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3745…cf3bbacked Capitals | 47c | 22,000$10,240 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,240 | 56 | 44.6%25 W · 31 L | -2.6wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5b…5b15backed Panthers | 55c | 20,000$11,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9,000 | 36 | 55.6%20 W · 16 L | +2.4wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30f3…279abacked Panthers | 55c | 16,000$8,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,200 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebc0…fa41backed Capitals | 46c | 15,597$7,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,174.45 | 170 | 57.6%98 W · 72 L | +15.0wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Capitals | 46c | 15,555$7,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,155.3 | 218 | 50.9%111 W · 107 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6ce2…e868backed Capitals | 46c | 15,000$6,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,900 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa39a…1246backed Capitals | 46c | 13,297$6,182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,182 | 83 | 48.2%40 W · 43 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f09…4632backed Capitals | 46c | 12,500$5,775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,775 | 57 | 45.6%26 W · 31 L | -4.6wins | -0.08per pick | 54cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb369…5f87backed Panthers | 54c | 10,990$5,935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,055.38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.46per pick | 54cpaid | +85.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xef54…d1eebacked Panthers | 52c | 10,572$5,498 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,074.76 | 177 | 49.2%87 W · 90 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a75…4347backed Capitals | 8c | 10,330$826 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$826.41 | 26 | 57.7%15 W · 11 L | +1.7wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefc9…b337backed Capitals | 47c | 10,000$4,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,700 | 69 | 40.6%28 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Panthers | 77c | 9,594$7,422 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,171.98 | 618 | 48.1%297 W · 321 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a89…2f26backed Panthers | 56c | 8,995$5,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,957.8 | 705 | 47.7%336 W · 369 L | -26.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Capitals | 34c | 8,536$2,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,867.36 | 1,301 | 52.6%684 W · 617 L | +23.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4445…b4c7backed Capitals | 46c | 8,500$3,910 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,910 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a77…9d74backed Capitals | 47c | 8,171$3,840 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,840.37 | 520 | 50%260 W · 260 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2953…1392backed Capitals | 46c | 7,500$3,450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,450 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb3…f766backed Panthers | 54c | 7,011$3,802 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,208.37 | 540 | 47.6%257 W · 283 L | -15.9wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd696…8a49backed Capitals | 47c | 6,776$3,185 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,184.52 | 514 | 52.3%269 W · 245 L | +17.1wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d5e…7004backed Panthers | 47c | 6,424$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.36 | 89 | 55.1%49 W · 40 L | +9.3wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3850…c4b4backed Capitals | 48c | 6,292$3,025 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,024.59 | 103 | 52.4%54 W · 49 L | +6.4wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Capitals | 47c | 5,500$2,585 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,585 | 304 | 47.4%144 W · 160 L | -5.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25f8…15ddbacked Panthers | 55c | 5,363$2,950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,413.35 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 48cpaid | +112.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Capitals | 47c | 5,266$2,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,456 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed Panthers | 52c | 5,253$2,731 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,521.36 | 418 | 50%209 W · 209 L | +7.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcacf…35ffbacked Capitals | 0c | 4,626$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 145 | 8.3%12 W · 133 L | +4.9wins | +0.03per pick | 5cpaid | +135.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e04…564dbacked Panthers | 54c | 4,376$2,342 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034 | 1,891 | 52.4%991 W · 900 L | +36.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf3fb…b8e1backed Capitals | 47c | 4,255$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x559e…7fe2backed Panthers | 53c | 4,193$2,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,970.52 | 36 | 61.1%22 W · 14 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8e…5c3cbacked Capitals | 46c | 4,000$1,855 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,855 | 144 | 51.4%74 W · 70 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c86…1ed3backed Capitals | 47c | 3,818$1,794 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,794.46 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe948…ff23backed Panthers | 55c | 3,636$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,636.36 | 296 | 51.7%153 W · 143 L | +3.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5137…1556backed Capitals | 46c | 3,404$1,579 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,579.08 | 874 | 47%411 W · 463 L | +3.5wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f13…e0fdbacked Panthers | 52c | 3,292$1,712 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,580.22 | 479 | 51.4%246 W · 233 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8f7a…db40backed Capitals | 47c | 3,200$1,504 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,504 | 119 | 46.2%55 W · 64 L | -4.3wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Capitals | 46c | 3,000$1,380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,380 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56c6…f706backed Capitals | 50c | 2,878$1,439 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,438.69 | 159 | 54.1%86 W · 73 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5116…58c4backed Capitals | 44c | 2,527$1,115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,115.44 | 752 | 51.7%389 W · 363 L | -2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Panthers | 54c | 2,486$1,334 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,151.79 | 916 | 53.9%494 W · 422 L | +39.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6a8…5009backed Capitals | 6c | 2,402$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.01 | 1,406 | 47%661 W · 745 L | +58.6wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Capitals | 46c | 2,400$1,104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,103.99 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5feb…693abacked Panthers | 72c | 2,340$1,685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$655.24 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.25per pick | 58cpaid | +76.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb6a…f116backed Capitals | 45c | 2,266$1,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,019.7 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.8wins | -0.21per pick | 52cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x1161…ed62backed Capitals | 11c | 2,100$222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$221.6 | 64 | 43.8%28 W · 36 L | -4.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6239…c24fbacked Capitals | 47c | 2,059$968 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$967.8 | 695 | 50.1%348 W · 347 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xabe5…743dbacked Capitals | 46c | 2,051$943 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$943.46 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -51%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Capitals | 46c | 2,035$936 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$936.1 | 928 | 48.5%450 W · 478 L | +17.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9534…1fe8backed Capitals | 46c | 2,000$920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$920 | 228 | 52.6%120 W · 108 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda2…4375backed Panthers | 53c | 2,000$1,060 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$939.98 | 36 | 50%18 W · 18 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x65e3…266fbacked Capitals | 46c | 1,983$912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$912.18 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Panthers | 53c | 1,755$930 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$824.72 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Capitals | 46c | 1,750$805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$805 | 428 | 47.2%202 W · 226 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e48…c23bbacked Capitals | 12c | 1,687$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.83 | 54 | 20.4%11 W · 43 L | +3.2wins | +0.06per pick | 14cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…49a8backed Capitals | 47c | 1,577$741 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$741 | 301 | 52.5%158 W · 143 L | +17.8wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce99…637ebacked Capitals | 47c | 1,511$710 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$710 | 269 | 46.1%124 W · 145 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1331…3d82backed Panthers | 76c | 1,500$1,142 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$358.32 | 71 | 63.4%45 W · 26 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5c57…5b16backed Capitals | 46c | 1,500$690 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$690 | 1,475 | 48.3%712 W · 763 L | +2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x18c3…0964backed Panthers | 54c | 1,500$810 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$690 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5adf…a5e7backed Panthers | 55c | 1,500$825 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$674.98 | 632 | 49.5%313 W · 319 L | +2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x371a…34b0backed Capitals | 1c | 1,379$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.79 | 745 | 0.7%5 W · 740 L | -13.2wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -94.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x550b…a964backed Capitals | 46c | 1,328$611 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$610.88 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba26…23c9backed Panthers | 54c | 1,325$711 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$614.21 | 1,143 | 50.8%581 W · 562 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…d0e5backed Panthers | 54c | 1,255$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$580.52 | 976 | 51.6%504 W · 472 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x96bc…7fb4backed Capitals | 47c | 1,100$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$517 | 248 | 45.2%112 W · 136 L | +9.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8889…a9d1backed Capitals | 47c | 1,099$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.73 | 203 | 45.3%92 W · 111 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x31c6…588cbacked Capitals | 47c | 1,064$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Capitals | 11c | 1,062$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.64 | 996 | 38.2%380 W · 616 L | -10.3wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Panthers | 50c | 1,055$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$527.77 | 2,112 | 42.9%907 W · 1,205 L | -10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Capitals | 47c | 1,052$494 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$493.96 | 1,024 | 48.4%496 W · 528 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c82…1f13backed Capitals | 47c | 1,040$489 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$488.8 | 35 | 54.3%19 W · 16 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +10%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x89c2…f884backed Capitals | 47c | 1,024$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.47per pick | 47cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x977a…f2cabacked Capitals | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1,163 | 2.3%27 W · 1,136 L | -10.7wins | -0.01per pick | 3cpaid | -87.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbddd…3d9abacked Capitals | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 22 | 68.2%15 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked Panthers | 54c | 1,000$540 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460 | 684 | 49.9%341 W · 343 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa71a…e4e2backed Panthers | 54c | 925.93$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.93 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.13per pick | 52cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9807…157bbacked Capitals | 45c | 900$405 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$405 | 201 | 44.8%90 W · 111 L | +7.8wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Panthers | 65c | 803.65$520 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.94 | 1,054 | 42.5%448 W · 606 L | -25.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01a1…88f3backed Capitals | 47c | 800$376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$376 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.19per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Capitals | 37c | 790.24$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.67 | 3,704 | 50.5%1,871 W · 1,833 L | +105.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…9958backed Capitals | 6c | 777.98$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.03 | 21 | 14.3%3 W · 18 L | +1.4wins | +0.07per pick | 8cpaid | +46.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5276…74ddbacked Capitals | 47c | 744.69$350 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$350 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.13per pick | 50cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbad2…5296backed Capitals | 44c | 714.49$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.33 | 892 | 49.9%445 W · 447 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf08a…e78fbacked Capitals | 45c | 713$321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe59b…d895backed Panthers | 55c | 666.13$366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.76 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +81.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a44…d80abacked Capitals | 46c | 648.4$298 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.26 | 72 | 50%36 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Capitals vs. Panthersthis page
- Capitals vs. Panthers: O/U 5.5Over won
- Spread: Panthers (-1.5)Panthers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.